DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-5.185.2022.132-137

The article analyzes mathematical modeling as a methodology for the study of finance, which today is quite limited and outdated. The directions of the introduction of additional methodology in the field of finance — behavioral science are studied. The behavioral methodology is revealed for: predicting the reaction of investors; considering the general question of how financial markets help the country in allocating resources and ensuring long-term economic stability; contributing to improving the process of making financial and investment decisions. The usefulness of introducing behavioral models into financial science is substantiated, which in combination with mathematical modeling will allow for significant updates in this area.

References:

1. Bukhvalov A.V., Okulov V.L. Klassicheskie modeli tsenoobrazovaniya na kapital’nye aktivy i rossiiskii fondovyi rynok. Chast’ 1. Empiricheskaya proverka modeli CAPM [Classic Pricing Models for Capital Assets and the Russian Stock Market. P. 1. Empirical Verification of the CAPM Model]. Nauchnye doklady, 2006, no 36 (R). Saint Petersburg, NII menedzhmenta SPbGU.

2. Semenkova E.V. Operatsii s tsennymi bumagami [Operations with Securities]. Moscow, Poisk, 2005, p. 374.

3. Zaleznik A., Christensen S.R., Roethlisberger F.J. Motivation, Productivity and employee Satisfaction. Boston, Harvard University Graduate School of Business Administration, 1958.

4. Fama E., Miller M.H. Theory of Finance. Hinsdale, Dryden Press, 1972.

5. Simon H.A. Rationality as Process and as Product of Thought. Richard T. Ely Lecture. American Economic Review, May, 1978, vol. 68, N 2, pp. 1–16. American Economic Association, 1978.

6. Herzberg F. Work and Human Nature. New York, World Publishing Co., 1966.

7. Maslow A. Motivation and Personality. New York, Harper & Bros, 1954; 1987.

8. Fourier J.B.J. The Analytical Theory of Heat, quoted in Herbert A. Simon’s book “Human Models”. New York, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1957.

9. Filer R., Maytal Sh., Simon J. “Risk Taking and Risk Aversion: A Stock Market Simulation Game”, unpublished paper read at the Eastern Financial Association Spring Meeting. April 21, 1979. Washington, DC.

10. Ash S.E. Opinions and Social Pressure: Readings in Management Psychology. Ed. Harold J. Leavitt and Louis R. Pondy. Chicago, University of Chicago Press, 1964, pp. 304–314.

11. Friedman M., Savage L.J. An Analysis of the Utility of Risk-taking Choices. Journal of Political Economy, August, 1948, pp. 279–304.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-4.105.2022.39-44

The scientific article presents an analysis of the Russian competitive market of tourism services, classifies promising areas of domestic tourism, and defines a strategy for the development of Russian outbound (inbound) tourism.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-3.104.2022.38-45

In a scientific article, based on the relativistic theory, a terminological interpretation of the concepts of «tourism», «tourist service» and their specific classification is presented. Varieties of domestic tourism have been supplemented with a shift in focus to regional development in six areas (business tourism; ecological tourism; cultural and educational tourism; autotourism-youth-family tourism; rural tourism and sanatorium tourism). Compiled rating of competitiveness of tourist services on the example of the Republic of Tatarstan.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-1.181.2022.52-57

The article discusses development of a methodology for selecting strategic investment initiatives, its purpose, as well as the basic concepts used herein. The principles of selecting strategic investment initiatives for the subject of the Federation are identified. In conclusion, the author provides a response to the question on the role of ecosystems in changing technological and world economic patterns, as well as information on the ways to access measures of state support for originators of strategic investment initiatives.

Источники:

1. Federal’nyi zakon ot 28 iyunya 2014 g. N 172-FZ “O strategicheskom planirovanii v Rossiiskoi Federatsii” [Federal Law No. 172-FZ of June 28, 2014 “On Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation”]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Prezidenta RF, available at: http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/38630.

2. Kontseptsiya dolgosrochnogo sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiiskoi Federatsii na period do 2020 goda (utv. rasporyazheniem Pravitel’stva RF ot 17 noyabrya 2008 g. N 1662-r) [The concept of long-term socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2020 (approved by the Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation dated No. 1662-r dated November 17, 2008]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Pravitel’stva RF, available at: http://static.government.ru/media/files/aaooFKSheDLiM99HEcyrygytfmGzrnAX.pdf.

3. Prognoz sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiiskoi Federatsii na period do 2036 goda (utv. Pravitel’stvom Rossiiskoi Federatsii 22 noyabrya 2018 g. (protokol N 34, razdel II, punkt 2)) [Forecast of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2036 (approved by the Government of the Russian Federation on November 22, 2018 (Protocol No. 34, Section II, paragraph 2))]. Sait Ministerstva ekonomicheskogo razvitiya RF, available at: https://www.economy.gov.ru/material/file/a5f3add5deab665b344b47a8786dc902/prognoz2036.pdf.

4. Prikaz Ministerstva ekonomicheskogo razvitiya RF ot 23 marta 2017 g. N 132 “Ob utverzhdenii Metodicheskikh rekomendatsii po razrabotke i korrektirovke strategii sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya sub”ekta Rossiiskoi Federatsii i plana meropriyatii po ee realizatsii” [Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation No. 132 dated March 23, 2017 “On approval of Methodological  Recommendations for the development and adjustment of the strategy of socio-economic development of the subject of the Russian Federation and the action plan for its implementation”]. Sait Ministerstva ekonomicheskogo razvitiya RF, available at: https://www.economy.gov.ru/material/file/3b00b259b4cccebf36dd63177813aa7a/Prikaz132.pdf.

5. Mityaev D.A., Matchenko E.A. Obosnovanie neobkhodimosti realizatsii strategicheskikh investitsionnykh initsiativ v sub”ektakh Rossiiskoi Federatsii s uchetom razvitiya tekhnologii chetvertoi industrial’noi revolyutsii [Justification of the need to implement strategic investment initiatives in the subjects of the Russian Federation, taking into account the development of technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution]. Voprosy novoi ekonomiki, 2019, no 3(51), pp. 18–27.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.177.2021.72-85

The article discusses particular features of the appraisal activities transformation in the Russian Federation, focused on the priority methodology in cost management of the appraisal objects’ life cycles as the basis for sustainable socio-economic development, especially in implementing national projects. The relevance of this study is based on the importance of solving such a national economic problem as providing the launch of innovative high-tech investment cycles in development of industries, enterprises and investment projects based on forming an updated methodological base for appraisal activities focused on long-term strategic cycles with planning horizon up to 60 years. Furthermore, as the main national evaluation ideology it is proposed to use the concept of formalizing evaluation and value management processes in economic systems, where the main object of assessment is the life cycle of goods, products and works, which are characterized by innovative, high-tech qualities of a breakthrough highly competitive type, as well as by the effect of emergence and synergy.

The aim of the present study is to elaborate a set of relevant search methodological proposals and recommendations for modeling the transformation processes of the national evaluation activity of Russia based on the priorities of cost evaluation and of the life cycles management of goods and works that can provide sustainable and breakthrough socio-economic development of the country on the long-term strategic basis with a planning horizon of up to 50-60 years, with a view to ensuring priority implementation of national projects.

The study is focused on the processes of genesis and  transformation of national appraisal activity in the course of exploratory fundamental research in the field of modeling theoretical provisions and conceptual approaches to structuring methodological framework of evaluation and management of costs, life cycles of goods in the process of implementing national projects based on minimizing the cost of their life cycles, contracts on life cycles, total costs and life cycles’ cost of ownership.

Integrated and systemic approaches based on analysis and synthesis, logical analysis, expert approach, methods of economic and mathematical modeling and forecasting were used as research methods.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.97.2021.64-74

The paper proposes a business process model of regulating electric power distribution tariff-setting. The model differs from the existing today model in that the regulatory decision-making process is carried out straight from the top down without intersection of information flows. At first key regulation indicators are set at macroeconomic level. These indicators support the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals adopted by the United Nations in 2015. Then the key regulation indicators are distributed among the subjects of the Russian Federation based on empirical dependencies. At the lowest level the actual performance indicators received from independent automated state information systems are compared with the key regulation indicators. Such a model has got a clear structure, allows to increase the objectivity and reduce the resource intensity of regulatory decision-making.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-1.96.2021.22-26

The scientific article reveals attributive models of innovative solutions on the example of information technology; the application of multichannel attribution in the field of small and medium-sized businesses has been substantiated, and key principles for the successful strategic development of innovations have been proposed.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-5.94.2020.93-98

The research article studies the specifics of the service market using the example of the Republic of Tatarstan, within the framework of which the structural components of improving the quality of service are identified and the main directions for the development of innovations are determined. The monitoring of the state and development of the service market was carried out, in the process of which the respondents assessed the problem areas on a 5-point scale. When researching the questionnaires of a sociological survey, the main directions of development of the service sector are presented.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-5.94.2020.74-81

The scientific article assesses the innovative potential of enterprises in the retail and trade sector of the service sector in order to identify the level of their competitiveness. The modular categories are highlighted, according to which it is possible to identify the degree of readiness of enterprises for innovation. The algorithm for determining the innovative potential has been determined; the systemic components of the mesofractal of innovative potential were identified, and the methodology for assessing the readiness of an enterprise for innovation was improved, on the basis of which empirical indicators were obtained.

DOI: 10.33917/es-7.173.2020.24-31

The authors considered the organization of strategic planning and forecasting of five countries that are among the world’s economic leaders — USA, Great Britain, Germany, France, Japan and Russia. The main features of the organization of the process of strategic planning and strategic forecasting in these countries are revealed, and a brief description of the organizational paradigms in the area under consideration is given. The purpose of the article is to determine the possibilities of borrowing in the field of methodology of strategic planning and forecasting. While there are no borrowing problems in the field of technical forecasting methods, there are a number of obstacles in the organizational field, determined by various factors. The authors identified nine such factors, and concluded that the prospects for the development of strategic planning and forecasting in Russia lie outside the directly specified area