The "Economic Strategies" journal

2020




Sunlight Against Coal

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.169.2020.134-141

The article dwells on the topic of competition between coal and solar energy as types of fuel. The authors provide a comparison of the installed capacity of a virtual solar power station and an existing coal power station located within the land allotment of a coal mine. The development prospects of the coal industry in terms of thermal coal are shown.

COVID-19 in Russia: Realities Justified by Statistical Analytics and Forecasting

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.170.2020.42-53

In recent days, the Russian scientific community has sought to provide forward-looking assessments of the development of the situation with COVID-19. The article presents the forecasts made by the authors of a number of indicators characterizing the distribution of COVID-19 in Russia. The obtained forecasting results can be used by government bodies in the development /  adjustment of operational measures aimed at reducing the scale and consequences of a pandemic

Opportunities of modification of the external environment by oligopolistic companies

DOI: 10.33917/mic-3.92.2020.5-11

The article discusses the functioning of oligopolistic companies in the global economy, analyzes their ability to modify the external environment in their own interests: lobbying laws favorable to companies; providing better working conditions and attracting state support measures in comparison with other subjects of market relations; dominant influence on counterparties; the formation of upward and downward global value chains. Particular attention is paid to ways to modify the external environment of companies that are leaders in the digital field.

Forecasting bankruptcies of counterparties based on payment discipline data

DOI: 10.33917/mic-4.93.2020.47-56

In this article, we study the problem of forecasting bankruptcy of firms using data on payment discipline. Most previous researchers used the balance sheet as a data source, while data on payment discipline will reduce the time before making a decision on the firm, as well as obtain reliability ratings based on other types of data. To predict bankruptcy of the firms proposed a new method of work with highly unbalanced data, which consists in training the classifiers on the automatically generated sub-sample and averaging the obtained results. Random forest served as a classifier for subsamples, and AUC-score was used to check the quality of the model, which showed good results.

How to Overcome Stagnation and New Crisis, Providing Socio-Economic Growth

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.171.2020.34-45

In April 2020, Russia entered a structural social and financial-economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic and catastrophic decline of oil and gas exports. Assessing the current socio-economic situation in the country, the author concludes that, in contrast to the crisis of 2009, which was mainly financial and economic in nature, the 2020 crisis for the most part has got a social character, when indicators of the people’s well-being are declining particularly. According to the author, only return to planning would ensure implementation of an integrated financial plan, an investment program for the whole country, directive indicators of enterprises and organizations controlled by the state, as well as would impact public-private partnership

How to Overcome Stagnation and New Crisis, Providing Socio-Economic Growth

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.172.2020.6-19

In April 2020, Russia entered a structural social and financial-economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic and catastrophic decline of oil and gas exports. Assessing the current socio-economic situation in the country, the author concludes that, in contrast to the crisis of 2009, which was mainly financial and economic in nature, the 2020 crisis for the most part has got a social character, when indicators of the people’s well-being are declining particularly. According to the author, only return to planning would ensure implementation of an integrated financial plan, an investment program for the whole country, directive indicators of enterprises and organizations controlled by the state, as well as would impact public-private partnership.

Development of program and target management in Russia

DOI: 10.33917/mic-6.95.2020.5-20

The purpose of this work is to prepare proposals for further development of the methodology and tools for target management in the Russian Federation. The article addresses the following issues: 1) as a result of the analysis of domestic and foreign scientific sources, as well as regulatory documents of the Russian Federation in the field of strategic planning, the main directions for its further improvement are formulated; 2) a methodological approach to the development of state programs for economic and social development of the country is proposed; 3) the expediency of using the coefficients of relative and absolute importance (mutual utility), as well as the method of hierarchy analysis (MAI), when optimizing the distribution of resources between alternative directions – branches of the “tree of goals and objectives” of state programs is justified); 4) methods of forming an information base for calculating the volume of resource support for state programs (standards: specific capital investment, the maximum consumption of the most important types of material resources and the specific labor intensity per unit of the parameter reflecting the main consumer quality of the product) are proposed.

Building a Quality System in Medical Institutions. International and Russian Experience

DOI: 10.33917/es-8.174.2020.56-65

The coronavirus pandemic, which covered a variety of countries with different health systems in terms of organization and development in 2020, brought to the fore not only the issues of predicting and treating mass infectious diseases, but also the problems of assessing the quality of both medical care and its effectiveness. Accordingly, building a quality management system in the healthcare sector as a whole is of paramount importance as well as the introduction of quality management in medical organizations in the new environment. In addition to solving the acute problems, which public health faced with in the fight against COVID-19, it is necessary to build long-term strategies for its functioning and development in order to avoid such force majeure in the future

Economic assessment of innovative potential by using mesofractal indicators

DOI: 10.33917/mic-5.94.2020.74-81

The scientific article assesses the innovative potential of enterprises in the retail and trade sector of the service sector in order to identify the level of their competitiveness. The modular categories are highlighted, according to which it is possible to identify the degree of readiness of enterprises for innovation. The algorithm for determining the innovative potential has been determined; the systemic components of the mesofractal of innovative potential were identified, and the methodology for assessing the readiness of an enterprise for innovation was improved, on the basis of which empirical indicators were obtained.

Economic and Mathematical Modeling of Russia’s Economic Security in the Period Under Sanctions

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.168.2020.32-39

For the study, the time period of introducing economic sanctions against the Russian Federation was selected. In consideration are taken the data of Rosstat in terms of finding the values of indicators of our state’s economic security (2013–2017). A correlation and regression analysis of this system, consisting of 15 indicators, was carried out. An economic-mathematical model of the sanctions impact on the economic security of Russia was compiled. To solve this problem, the authors used a correlation-regression analysis, the regression equation was found and statistical significance of the constructed model was substantiated. The findings were recommended to specialists in the sphere of improving the state’s economic security