Modeling the processes of ensuring the resilience of state organizational systems to attempts to seize power by an identified and unidentified enemy

DOI: 10.33917/mic-3.122.2025.5-14

The article considers the problems of counteracting the risks of initiated loss of controllability of state organizational systems in the context of attempts to seize power by an identified and unidentified enemy. A set of indicators describing the system under consideration is analyzed, and the relationships between these indicators are established.

References: 

1. Abramov V.I., Loginov E.L. Agent-based approaches to the analysis and forecasting of political sentiment in society and the construction of mechanisms for adjusting positive and negative reactions to socio-political situations. Russia in the 21st century: global challenges and development prospects: Proceedings of the Seventh International Forum, Moscow, December 20–21, 2018. Moscow: IPR RAS, 2018. pp. 373-376.

2. Ageev A.I., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Use of artificial intelligence in the implementation of troop command and control of civilian facilities as a single hybrid battlefield. Neurocomputers and their application: Abstracts of the XX All-Russian Scientific Conference, Moscow, March 22, 2022. Moscow: MGPPU, 2022. pp. 31-33.

3. Ageev A.I., Ivanova O.D., Loshchinin A.A. Technology of the information space of data and improvement of public administration. Economic strategies. 2023;25(6 (192)):62-67.

4. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L., Raikov A.N. Information systems for emergency management. Economic strategies. 2019;21(2(160)):20-29.

5. Grigoriev V.V., Loginov E.L. Strategic operations: maintaining the economic basis for the stability of the political regime of the Russian Federation in the context of international sanctions. Problems of Improving the Efficiency of Scientific Work in the Military-Industrial Complex of Russia: Proceedings of the VII All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference, Znamensk, April 11-12, 2024. Astrakhan: Astrakhan State University named after V.N. Tatishchev, 2024. pp. 204-205.

6. Grigoriev V.V., Loginov E.L., Shkuta A.A. Development of New Intelligent Information and Analytical Services Using Factor Analysis and Clustering to Identify Transactions with Signs of Participation in the Financing of Terrorism. Bulletin of the Central Economics and Mathematics Institute. 2019;2:16.

7. Loginov E.L. Using Big Data Technologies to Counter Mass Riots in Conditions of Lack of Information and Uncertainty of the Situation Development. Artificial Intelligence (Big Data) in the Service of the Police: Collection of Articles from the International Scientific and Practical Conference, Moscow, November 28, 2019. Moscow: Academy of Management of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation, 2020. pp. 145-150.

8. Loginov E.L., Matveev A.G., Shkuta A.A. Determination of Parameters of Localized States of Implicit Groups with Their Own Component of Active Behavior That Does Not Coincide with the Vector of Actions of the State Supersystem. Artificial Societies. 2019;14(1):5.

9. Loginov E.L. Interception of Control over Complex Organizational Systems in the Context of Blurring Boundaries between Physical, Cognitive, and Digital Activity Spaces and Management Environments. Economy: Theory and Practice. 2024; (1(73)):3-10.

Designing the Future: Strategic Game Experience

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.84-91

Predictive construction of strategic scenarios for countering attempts at Nazi revenge demonstrates transition of the situation in the world from the section of political fiction to the section of probable threats. Strategic game in the form of command and staff (expert) exercises on the basis of INES made it possible to explore our country’s actions and the prospects for the international situation development. Various options for resuscitating Nazi ideas, primarily in the form of Bandera’s Ukrainian nationalism, are increasingly threatening the world stability. In these conditions, Russia, as a victorious power in the World War II, in coalition with other countries, can and should recognize its own role, assigned to it by history, as a powerful political “locomotive” and guarantor of the anti-fascist recovery of Europe and Asia.

References: 

1. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Novaya bol’shaya voyna: khroniki khorosho zabytogo budushchego [New Large-scale War: Chronicles of Well Forgotten Future]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2014, vol. 16, no 6–7(122–123), pp. 16–33.

2. Ageev A.I. 100 let voyny za pravo byt’ Rossiey [100 years of War for the Right to be Russia]. Mezhdunarodnaya zhizn’, 2015, no 3, pp. 69–86.

3. Ageev A.I. Kholodnaya voyna — 2.0: realii i perspektivy [Cold War – 2.0: Realities and Prospects]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2015, vol. 17, no 2(128), pp. 74–79.

4. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Rossiya v novoy ekonomicheskoy real’nosti [Russia in New Economic Reality]. Monografiya. Moscow, Institut ekonomicheskikh strategiy, Assotsiatsiya “Analitika”, 2016, 460 p.

5. Ageev A.I. Dinamika i struktura global’nykh riskov [Dynamics and Structure of Global Risks]. Strategiya grazhdanskoy zashchity: problemy i issledovaniya, 2013, vol. 3, no 2(5), pp. 7, 8.

6. Ageev A.I., Kretov V.S., Kotov M.N., Kotov N.M., Kokhtyulina I.N., Kuroedov B.V., Sandarov O.V. Global’naya bezopasnost’: innovatsionnye metody analiza konfliktov [Global Security: Innovative Methods of Conflict Analysis]. Moscow, 2011.

7. Ageev A.I. Budushchee Rossii: v tiskakh istorii, khaosa i stsenariev [The Future of Russia: in the Grip of History, Chaos and Scenarios]. Mir Rossii. Sotsiologiya. Etnologiya, 2010, vol. 19, no 1, pp. 126–162.

8. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Coronavirus superstrategy: mirovaya proektsiya finansovoy modeli catastrophe just-in-time dlya vykhoda iz krizisa na novuyu geoekonomicheskuyu normal’ nost’ [Coronavirus Superstrategy: Global Projection of the “Just-in-time Catastrophe’s” Financial Model for Overcoming the Crisis and Entering into a New Geo-Economic Normality]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2020, vol. 22, no 4(170), pp. 6–19, DOI: 10.33917/es-4.170.2020.6-19

9. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Novaya strategicheskaya rol’ Rossii kak garanta — operatora sistemy podderzhaniya mirovykh i regional’nykh ekonomicheskikh balansov [The New Strategic Role of Russia as a Guarantor — Operator of the System for Global and Regional Eeconomic Balances Maintenance]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2015, vol. 17, no 1(127), pp. 18–35.

Review of the book “Pragmatic Analytics”

DOI: 10.33917/es-1.193.2024.82-83

The monograph under review is practice-oriented, contains conceptual foundations of pragmatic analytics and successful practices of analytical activities types aimed at resolving problem situations in various fields of activity.

References:

1. Koshkin V.I., Kretov S.I. Osnovy politicheskoy ekonomii solidarizma [Foundations of the Political Economy of Solidarism]. Moscow, LENAND 2017.

2. Belyaev S., Koshkin V. Mozhet li ekonomika byt’ solidarnoy? Chast’ 1 [Can the Economy be Solidary? Part 1]. Ekspert, 2020, no 14, pp. 66–71.

3. Belyaev S. Retsept ot bednosti: vvesti sobstvennost’ rossiyan na vse prirodnye resursy. Kak preodolet’ vopiyushchee neravenstvo [The Recipe for Poverty: Introduce Russian Ownership of all Natural Resources. How to Overcome Gross Inequality]. Moskovskiy komsomolets, 2021, 20 maya, available at: https://www.mk.ru/economics/2021/05/20/recept-ot-bednosti-vvesti-sobstvennost-rossiyan-na-vse-prirodnye-resursy.html

4. Koshkin V.I., Kretov S.I. Solidarnaya ekonomika: Put’ v budushchee [Solidarity Economy: The Way to the Future]. Moscow, LENAND, 2018.

5. Belyaev S., Koshkin V. Mozhet li ekonomika byt’ solidarnoy? Chast’ 2 [Can the Economy be Solidary? Part 2]. Ekspert, 2020, no 15–16, pp. 38–43.

6. Belloc H. Essays of a Catholic. N.Y. Books for Librarian Press, 1967.

7. Chesterton G.K. The Outline of Sanity. Leipzig, Bernard Tauchnitz, 1927.

8. Duboin J. La Grande Relève des Hommes par la Machine. Paris, Editions nouvelles,1932.

9. Bellami E. Cherez sto let: Sobr. soch.: V°2 t. [After a hundred years: Collected Works: In 2 vol.]. Vol. 1. Moscow, Knizhnyy mir, Knigovek, 2018.

10. Laudrain M. La vie Française du socialisme. Paris, La Maison du Livre Français, 1963.

Strategic Planning in the Face of Digital Transformation Challenges

DOI: 10.33917/es-1.193.2024.54-61

High dynamics of geopolitical changes, enhanced by expansion of the range of challenges facing the country, have exposed new requirements for government and economic management. The speed with which these requirements should be realized raises the issue of the need for a technological breakthrough in the field of management. And the scale of shifts in the global economy requires special attention to strategic planning, raising its role in the public administration system to a level that will ensure all government bodies’ orientation towards achieving the goals of social development that are being formed right now.

The article dwells on the issues of strategic planning technologization, the challenges to which a new strategic planning system should respond, some risks of digital transformation of the public administration sector and possible directions for overcoming them.

References:

1. Aver’yanov M.A., Evtushenko S.N., Kochetova E.Yu. Tsifrovoe obshchestvo: novye vyzovy [Strategic Planning — Necessary Condition for Developing the Vital Activity of Modern Society]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2017, no 6, pp. 166–175.

2. Ukaz Prezidenta Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 8 noyabrya 2021 g. N 633 “Ob utverzhdenii Osnov gosudarstvennoy politiki v sfere strategicheskogo planirovaniya v Rossiyskoy Federatsii” [Decree of the President of the Russian Federation of November 8, 2021 No. 633 “On approval of theFundamentals of State Policy in the Sphere of Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation”]. Garant, available at: https://www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/doc/402915816/

3. Putin prizval rasshirit’ natsional’nye tseli razvitiya [Putin called for expanding national development goals]. RIA Novosti, 2023, 21 dekabrya, available at: https://ria.ru/20231221/putin-1917226925.html?in=l

Improving the competitiveness of Russian oil and gas companies in modern conditions

DOI: 10.33917/mic-1.102.2022.98-104

The article examines the economic benefit from the introduction of information technologies in the oil and gas industry using the example of PJSC Gazpromneft. The advantages of the development of the oil and gas sector through the implementation of IT solutions are considered, and the economic effect of the introduction of information technologies is assessed. The forecast for the implementation of information technologies up to 2030 and up to 2050 has been fulfilled.

References:

1. Tikhopoy Yu. M., Stepanenko D.A. Digital transformation in the oil and gas industry //Business strategies. 2021;9:2. (In Russ). URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/tsifrovaya-transformatsiya-v-neftegazovoy-otrasli

2. Zinchenko I.A., Lyugai D.V., Vasiliev Yu.N., Chudin Ya.S., Fedorov I.A. The concept of an intelligent field development» management system // Scientific and technical collection «News of gas science». 2016;2:4-9. (In Russ).

3. Nyukhlov A.S., Tatarintseva Yu.V., Kharitonov K.A., Nadeeva K.K. Advantages of using smart-field technology to improve the efficiency of regional management of oil and gas industry enterprises of the Krasnoyarsk Territory // Modern trends in the development of science and production: collection of materials of the VI International Scientific and Practical Conference (July 5, 2017), Volume II – Kemerovo: ZAPSIBNTS, 2017. pp. 77-79. (In Russ).

4. Zharov A.D., Alekseev A.A., etc. IT in the oil and gas industry //Problems of science. 2018. URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/it-v-neftegazovoy-promyshlennosti

5. Vorobyov A.E. Program for the development of science and innovation at Atyrau University of Oil and Gas. Lambert Academic Publishing. Mauritius, 2017. 130 p.

6. Gazprom Neft Press Center. URL: https://www.gazprom-neft.ru/press-center/sibneft-online/archive/2019-july-august/3406688/

7. Gazpromneft PJSC Report for the 3rd quarter of 2021 p. 6. URL: https://ir.gazprom-neft.ru/upload/iblock/b7d/GazpromNeft_3Q2021_rus.pdf

8. BKS – Express. How much does oil production cost in Russia. URL: https://bcs-express.ru/novosti-i-analitika/2020627080-skol-ko-stoit-dobycha-nefti-v-rossii

9. The exchange rate of the ruble to the dollar. URL: https://mainfin.ru/currency/cb-rf/usd/date/2021

10. Gazpromneft Report for 2021 p. 5. URL: https://ir.gazprom-neft.ru/upload/iblock/3df/AR_GPN20_Book_1506_1655.pdf

11. Vorobyov A.E., Vorobyov K.A. Digitalization of the oil industry: «intellectual oilfield» //Bulletin of Eurasian Science. 2018;10(3). (In Russ.). URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/tsifrovizatsiya-neftyanoy-promyshlennosti-intellektualnyy-neftepromysel

Russia in Supercritical Situation: Managing Restoration of Life-Support Functions to Overcome the Consequences of a Natural Macro Catastrophe

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-5.179.2021.28-35

Supercritical fluid is a state of matter when its temperature and pressure are above the critical point. Supercritical situation is a state of the economy in its cumulative manifestations and mutual influence, whereby the state of key life-support profiles is below the critical point of controllability. Various forecasts are increasingly actualizing the probability of a natural (and man-made) macro-catastrophe (a large meteorite fall, an earthquake of 10–12 points and others, as well as a pandemic similar to COVID–19, but with more severe consequences). As the coronavirus pandemic has shown, modern civilization is becoming ever more vulnerable to such disasters. To overcome the destabilizing trends of a natural (and man-made) macro-catastrophe, it is necessary to adopt proactively a set of measures in Russia that will drastically increase the efficiency of public administration in relation to the list of regulated resource,  economic, technical, social and other parameters incorporating mechanisms and procedures of public administration into market mechanisms and the budgeting structure with regard to external and internal factors of the supersystem’s vital activities

Public-private partnership: current state and development dynamics

One of the tools for implementing the project approach in the public administration field, improving the financial, technological and innovative potential of various sectors of the Russian economy is public-private partnership (PPP). A comparative assessment of the dynamics of the public-private partnership development in Russia and abroad determines the purpose of this paper. The paper also presents an analysis of trends in the development of the PPP market, which caused a surge of interest in PPP on the business part and the risks that arise in the process of PPP projects’ implementing.

Strategic audit matrices for socio-economic improvement of the territory

DOI: 10.33917/mic-1.90.2020.80-93

This article is devoted to the analysis of strategic audit matrices of socio-economic improvement of the territory. The concept and essence of strategic audit in the field of commercial and public relations are defined, risks and interests of components of regional system as object of strategic audit are considered, types and structure of matrixes of strategic audit are revealed.

Theories of Society and Risks of Its Development

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.168.2020.124-133

The article deals with various types of characteristics of society and its sphere of activity. Various types and groups of theories of society development are studied. It is revealed — what values are laid by scientific schools in the life of society. Global problems and contradictions, which are a brake and at the same time a stimulus for its development, are defined. The planetary scheme of interrelations and mutual influence of global risks for society is developed. The gradation of modern problems of society from risks with the indication of the main problems of social and economic character is carried out. The separate directions of development of society and tools which reduce emergence and development of risks for it are considered

Crypto-Currencies, Markets and Institutions

#1. Event Horison
Crypto-Currencies, Markets and Institutions

Crypto-currency is becoming one of the key factors for competitiveness of major players in national and global monetary and financial markets. Bitcoin has actually become one of the world’s currencies. State regulators’ conceptions about decentralization and autonomy of crypto-currencies create ever greater risks of currency-financial collapses owing to manipulative games and currency attacks of international speculative groups. Real beneficiaries of the crypto-currency volatility, as a rule, remain beyond visibility of the world community. Trends in the development of crypto-currencies as an increasingly important element of the world monetary and financial markets have determined for our country the need to form a mechanism for planning and coordinating the monetary and monetary policy of the EAEU member states with an agreed rate of a single electronic currency, circulation terms and conditions (zones, etc.) applying the principles of forming a transparent and unified organizational structure of financial institutions and markets within the framework of the EAEU.