Modeling the processes of ensuring the resilience of state organizational systems to attempts to seize power by an identified and unidentified enemy

DOI: 10.33917/mic-3.122.2025.5-14

The article considers the problems of counteracting the risks of initiated loss of controllability of state organizational systems in the context of attempts to seize power by an identified and unidentified enemy. A set of indicators describing the system under consideration is analyzed, and the relationships between these indicators are established.

References: 

1. Abramov V.I., Loginov E.L. Agent-based approaches to the analysis and forecasting of political sentiment in society and the construction of mechanisms for adjusting positive and negative reactions to socio-political situations. Russia in the 21st century: global challenges and development prospects: Proceedings of the Seventh International Forum, Moscow, December 20–21, 2018. Moscow: IPR RAS, 2018. pp. 373-376.

2. Ageev A.I., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Use of artificial intelligence in the implementation of troop command and control of civilian facilities as a single hybrid battlefield. Neurocomputers and their application: Abstracts of the XX All-Russian Scientific Conference, Moscow, March 22, 2022. Moscow: MGPPU, 2022. pp. 31-33.

3. Ageev A.I., Ivanova O.D., Loshchinin A.A. Technology of the information space of data and improvement of public administration. Economic strategies. 2023;25(6 (192)):62-67.

4. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L., Raikov A.N. Information systems for emergency management. Economic strategies. 2019;21(2(160)):20-29.

5. Grigoriev V.V., Loginov E.L. Strategic operations: maintaining the economic basis for the stability of the political regime of the Russian Federation in the context of international sanctions. Problems of Improving the Efficiency of Scientific Work in the Military-Industrial Complex of Russia: Proceedings of the VII All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference, Znamensk, April 11-12, 2024. Astrakhan: Astrakhan State University named after V.N. Tatishchev, 2024. pp. 204-205.

6. Grigoriev V.V., Loginov E.L., Shkuta A.A. Development of New Intelligent Information and Analytical Services Using Factor Analysis and Clustering to Identify Transactions with Signs of Participation in the Financing of Terrorism. Bulletin of the Central Economics and Mathematics Institute. 2019;2:16.

7. Loginov E.L. Using Big Data Technologies to Counter Mass Riots in Conditions of Lack of Information and Uncertainty of the Situation Development. Artificial Intelligence (Big Data) in the Service of the Police: Collection of Articles from the International Scientific and Practical Conference, Moscow, November 28, 2019. Moscow: Academy of Management of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation, 2020. pp. 145-150.

8. Loginov E.L., Matveev A.G., Shkuta A.A. Determination of Parameters of Localized States of Implicit Groups with Their Own Component of Active Behavior That Does Not Coincide with the Vector of Actions of the State Supersystem. Artificial Societies. 2019;14(1):5.

9. Loginov E.L. Interception of Control over Complex Organizational Systems in the Context of Blurring Boundaries between Physical, Cognitive, and Digital Activity Spaces and Management Environments. Economy: Theory and Practice. 2024; (1(73)):3-10.

Designing the Future: Strategic Game Experience

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.84-91

Predictive construction of strategic scenarios for countering attempts at Nazi revenge demonstrates transition of the situation in the world from the section of political fiction to the section of probable threats. Strategic game in the form of command and staff (expert) exercises on the basis of INES made it possible to explore our country’s actions and the prospects for the international situation development. Various options for resuscitating Nazi ideas, primarily in the form of Bandera’s Ukrainian nationalism, are increasingly threatening the world stability. In these conditions, Russia, as a victorious power in the World War II, in coalition with other countries, can and should recognize its own role, assigned to it by history, as a powerful political “locomotive” and guarantor of the anti-fascist recovery of Europe and Asia.

References: 

1. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Novaya bol’shaya voyna: khroniki khorosho zabytogo budushchego [New Large-scale War: Chronicles of Well Forgotten Future]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2014, vol. 16, no 6–7(122–123), pp. 16–33.

2. Ageev A.I. 100 let voyny za pravo byt’ Rossiey [100 years of War for the Right to be Russia]. Mezhdunarodnaya zhizn’, 2015, no 3, pp. 69–86.

3. Ageev A.I. Kholodnaya voyna — 2.0: realii i perspektivy [Cold War – 2.0: Realities and Prospects]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2015, vol. 17, no 2(128), pp. 74–79.

4. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Rossiya v novoy ekonomicheskoy real’nosti [Russia in New Economic Reality]. Monografiya. Moscow, Institut ekonomicheskikh strategiy, Assotsiatsiya “Analitika”, 2016, 460 p.

5. Ageev A.I. Dinamika i struktura global’nykh riskov [Dynamics and Structure of Global Risks]. Strategiya grazhdanskoy zashchity: problemy i issledovaniya, 2013, vol. 3, no 2(5), pp. 7, 8.

6. Ageev A.I., Kretov V.S., Kotov M.N., Kotov N.M., Kokhtyulina I.N., Kuroedov B.V., Sandarov O.V. Global’naya bezopasnost’: innovatsionnye metody analiza konfliktov [Global Security: Innovative Methods of Conflict Analysis]. Moscow, 2011.

7. Ageev A.I. Budushchee Rossii: v tiskakh istorii, khaosa i stsenariev [The Future of Russia: in the Grip of History, Chaos and Scenarios]. Mir Rossii. Sotsiologiya. Etnologiya, 2010, vol. 19, no 1, pp. 126–162.

8. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Coronavirus superstrategy: mirovaya proektsiya finansovoy modeli catastrophe just-in-time dlya vykhoda iz krizisa na novuyu geoekonomicheskuyu normal’ nost’ [Coronavirus Superstrategy: Global Projection of the “Just-in-time Catastrophe’s” Financial Model for Overcoming the Crisis and Entering into a New Geo-Economic Normality]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2020, vol. 22, no 4(170), pp. 6–19, DOI: 10.33917/es-4.170.2020.6-19

9. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Novaya strategicheskaya rol’ Rossii kak garanta — operatora sistemy podderzhaniya mirovykh i regional’nykh ekonomicheskikh balansov [The New Strategic Role of Russia as a Guarantor — Operator of the System for Global and Regional Eeconomic Balances Maintenance]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2015, vol. 17, no 1(127), pp. 18–35.

Special Military Operation as a Strategic Technology for Choosing the Future of Russia and the World

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.191.2023.6-21

The chronicle of the situation development, which actually came very close to a global military catastrophe, only outwardly looks like a random kaleidoscope of events. Behind the chaos of events, are becoming more evident extremely strict strategic schemes for operating with global power factors in various spheres of activit y: political, military, economic, etc. The article outlines the systemic elements of an approach that considers military conflict in general and Special military operation in particular as a militarized form of struggle for power — an instrument of global economic regulation of economic activit y. This approach makes it possible to focus the key components of Russia’s necessary strategy in the context of a new round of struggle between imperialist predators for the format of systemic and structural redivision of the world that they need.

References:

1. Ageev A.I. Kholodnaya voina — 2.0: realii i perspektivy [Cold War — 2.0: Realities and Prospects]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2015, vol. 17, no 2(128), pp. 74–79.

2. Bakhtizin A.R., Makarov V.L., Loginov E.L., Khabriev B.R., Vu Ts., Vu Z. Gibridnye voiny v makroekonomicheskoi supersisteme XXI veka [Hybrid Wars in the Macroeconomic Supersystem of the XXI Century]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol. 25, no 2(188), pp. 6–23, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-2.188.2023.6–23

3. Ageev A.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Makarov V.L., Loginov E.L., Khabriev B.R. Ekonomicheskii fundament pobedy: strategicheskii prognoz ustoichivosti ekonomiki Rossii v usloviyakh sanktsionnykh atak [Economic Foundation of Victory: a Strategic Forecast for the Russian Economy Stability in the Face of Sanctions]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol. 25, no 3(189), pp. 6–15, DOI: 10.33917/es-3.189.2023.6-15

4. Denisov A.A., Denisova E.V. Kratkii ocherk osnov teorii upravlyaemoi konfrontatsii [Brief Outline of the Theory of Controlled Confrontation]. Informatsionnye voiny, 2014, no 1, pp. 24–33.

5. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Mirovoe soobshchestvo v usloviyakh sverkhkriticheskoi bifurkatsii: Upravlenie slozhnymi organizatsionnymi i tekhnicheskimi sistemami v usloviyakh sverkhkriticheskikh situatsii: Materialy mezhdunarodnoi nauchno-prakticheskoi konferentsii [World Community in Conditions of Supercritical Bifurcation: Management of complex organizational and technical systems in conditions of supercritical situations: Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference]. Moscow, INES, 2022, pp. 9–12.

6. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Novaya bol’shaya voina: khroniki khorosho zabytogo budushchego [New Large-Scale War: Chronicles of Well Forgotten Future]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2014, vol. 16, no 6–7(122–123), pp. 16–33.

7. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Strategicheskaya predopredelennost’ spetsial’nykh voennykh operatsii v mirovoi supersisteme [Strategic Predetermination of Special Military Operations in the World Supersystem]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol. 25, no 4(190), no 6–19, DOI: 10.33917/es-4.190.2023.6-19

Russia in Supercritical Situation: Managing Restoration of Life-Support Functions to Overcome the Consequences of a Natural Macro Catastrophe

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-5.179.2021.28-35

Supercritical fluid is a state of matter when its temperature and pressure are above the critical point. Supercritical situation is a state of the economy in its cumulative manifestations and mutual influence, whereby the state of key life-support profiles is below the critical point of controllability. Various forecasts are increasingly actualizing the probability of a natural (and man-made) macro-catastrophe (a large meteorite fall, an earthquake of 10–12 points and others, as well as a pandemic similar to COVID–19, but with more severe consequences). As the coronavirus pandemic has shown, modern civilization is becoming ever more vulnerable to such disasters. To overcome the destabilizing trends of a natural (and man-made) macro-catastrophe, it is necessary to adopt proactively a set of measures in Russia that will drastically increase the efficiency of public administration in relation to the list of regulated resource,  economic, technical, social and other parameters incorporating mechanisms and procedures of public administration into market mechanisms and the budgeting structure with regard to external and internal factors of the supersystem’s vital activities

Digital Transformation of National Security in the Context of Global Hybrid Threats

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-4.178.2021.60-69

In this article, the authors raise the issues of compliance (adequacy) of the ideology, approaches and infrastructure of the national security system in the light of global changes in the economy, de facto hybrid wars and ongoing natural and environmental emergencies. As a central element of preparation for such events and reaction to them, the authors considers mobilization in the classical sense, enshrined in the legislation, analyzes it for compliance with current hybrid threats, and also suggests new approaches to the digital transformation of the complex system of national security and mobilization, in particular

Network Threats to National and International Security: Strategy, Tactics, Hybrid Factors and Technology

#2. Mr Wanna-know-All's Questions
Network Threats to National and International Security: Strategy, Tactics, Hybrid Factors and Technology

The article considers classification of conflict of a new type, their relationship with society and globalization processes. It demonstrates interrelation of postmodern culture with protest movements, the role of communication technologies and the emergence of a new field of confrontation — cyberspace. The paper dwells on criteria of the network society and network conflicts and p ossible tools for their analysis.