Author page: Alexander Ageev

Alexander I. AgeevAlexander I. Ageev

Director General, Institute for Economic Strategies; President, Russian Division, International League of Strategic Management, Assessment and Accounting; President, Russian Academy of Future Research. Academician, Russian Academy of Natural Sciences; Professor, D.Sc. (Economics), MBA.

Five Years of Eurasian Integration: Statistical Analysis of Key Economic Results

DOI: 10.33917/es-8.166.2019.48-57

Over 5 years after the signing of the Treaty on the Eurasian Economic Union, the experience of the integration process has been accumulated, its pros and cons, potential and obstacles for a new stage in the development of the EAEU have been identified. The accuracy of estimates of the 5-year integration dynamics affects the effectiveness of decisions on further integration. A complete, reliable, qualitative statistical assessment of the economic condition of the Union is a necessary basis for the successful dynamics of the Union at a new stage

Encoding of Economic Performance Indicators as a Key Factor in the Digital Economy

DOI: 10.33917/es-8.166.2019.102-109

Realization of the national interests of the Russian Federation in the sphere of digital economy, as defined in Decree No. 203 of the President of the Russian Federation of May 9, 2017 “On the Strategy for Development of the Information Society in the Russian Federation for 2017–2030”, is possible through digital encoding of economic performance data and using results of their analysis, which, compared to traditional forms of management, should significantly increase the efficiency of various types of production. This article discusses the encoding principles of various indicators of economic activity and the main mechanism of their relatedness for reflecting data in the new created forms: a digital unified plan and a digital analytical balance. The article presents technology of forming a “digital contract” and “digital documents-bases” for creating an innovative mechanism for automatic reflection of accounting entries in the standard accounting registers and digital management balance

Migration as a Resource of the Global Economy

DOI: 10.33917/es-7.165.2019.58-65

The sociodemographic trends presented in the article show that global migration is becoming a qualitatively new challenge. From principally humanitarian category it’s turning into a factor of global economic and technological competitiveness

Trump’s Election Strategy: Neuromathematical Key to Deeper Layers of the American Voter Consciousness

DOI: 10.33917/es-7.165.2019.78-93

The key factor determining success of Trump’s election strategy was the use of cognitive neurophysiology methods — digital identification of a virtual doppelganger of a real voter in information and social networks. Semantization of the states of consciousness and psyche of individuals, being identified in the Global Network, on the basis of computational decisions allows to encapsulate (grab) an integral position that suits most people available for monitoring in order to set the vector of stable convergence of Trump’s election platform and the views of a particular American voter described and analyzed. Identification allows to influence the dominant focus of the emotional-imagination block for remote cognitive correction of the people’s political position in conditions of strategic bifurcation (elections). Russian developments in the field of personality neuro-management are also of great scientific and practical importance

Thorny Path or Why the State Should Not “Wait” for the Digital Platforms Advent

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.164.2019.106-113

Era of digital changes concerns everybody. Under the slogan of digitalization government bodies have begun implementation of national projects understood mainly as creation of GIS, infrastructure and electronic services. Big business, sensing new profitable opportunities, is trying its hand in building platforms and developing new technologies, gradually filling up the digital space and leaving less and less space for implementing the duties, assigned to state bodies by the Constitution, in new economic environment. At the same time, there is a growing expansion of “our Western partners”, especially in industry areas. Only small and medium-sized businesses remained aloof from digitalization — this segment of economy has simply got neither desire nor the capital. The state bodies’ operation according to old patterns, expectation that business will draft and develop everything on its own, and ministries and departments will only have to choose and promote the “best cases”, generating presentations on forums instead of real steps demonstrates confusion of our “digital leaders”, the lack of clear vision of the existing processes transformation and further development of public administration in the context of digital economy. We call your attention to an article that will reveal the approach to creating a new economic management model — state digital platforms. Described solutions are shown by the authors using the example of the transport and logistics complex of the Russian Federation

Digital Navigation in the Matrix of Realities: Operating with Bifurcation Trajectories of Movement of the Future Key Points on the “Tree” of Rambling Event Chains

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.163.2019.48-55

The article examines the possibilities of operating with probabilities of reality (understood as a human interpretation of a picture of the surrounding real and fictional world with derived patterns of conduct) to counteract systemic failures in the social control mechanisms functioning. It is proposed to identify system-parametric interconnections, including the value of information flows and its computational processing, clustering, refinement and application in implementing the “exploration of the future” technology within the framework of a certain supersystem of the digital structure for society management. The article describes the possibilities of penetration into the level of conscious (semantic) and unconscious (emotional) interpretation of events, when it is necessary to provide individuals and groups with logical chains (event series) to interpret history and interpret events regarding problems that may affect maintaining stability of the future basic image. It creates the opportunity for the key points of the future on the “tree” of rambling event chains to navigate a controlled set of possible movement trajectories while managing society as part of the process of shaping the material future, realized through self-tuning of the surrounding subjective reality to the “matrix of key semantic images” in the direction of the basic image of the future.

Digital Economy Toolkit for Solving the Problems of Separate Accounting of Financial and Economic Performance Results

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.163.2019.28-39

The main problem of managing economy at the military-industrial complex enterprises is the separate accounting of results of financial and economic activities in terms of introducing separate bank and personal accounts for each contract with the buyer of a particular type of product in order to establish control over the payments costs through the performers’ cooperation chain within the requirements of state regulation of the state defence order. Physical division of financial flows of each defence industry enterprise into separate accounts has already caused sharp increase in the number of accounts – from several ones to one and a half thousand — and to significant increase in debt loan, which doubled in half a year and by July 2019 amounted to more than 2 trillion roubles. The problem is aggravated due to conflicting requirements of regulatory legal acts, which requires to fill out report forms reflecting the different contract price structure according to the state defensive order for submission to the Defence Ministry and the Federal Treasury. But most of all, they contradict the economic nature of operations reflected in accounting and do not provide control over payments, since the chosen implementation technology is wrong. It is necessary to change radically the approach to solving the above problem, which can be eliminated only by developing an innovative model of digital system for managing economic activity through reflecting the economic activity data in the indicators codes of accounting objects and codes of business transactions in digital form. And above all, it is necessary to make all payments on one individual account, taking into consideration financial and economic flows reflecting business operations on an accrual and cash basis, to implement separate accounting of financial and economic activities results and to establish effective control over payment costs.