The "Economic Strategies" journal

2023 #3 2023 Agitated Zero




Uncertainty Management and Strategic Competitiveness of Russia. Engineering Approach

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.189.2023.24-35

Situation in the country and the world is so complex and uncertain that it is practically impossible to imagine simple, proven forms and tools of management that were used earlier. In response to this challenge, an “engineering approach” is proposed as a synthesis of social and scientific-technological engineering. As the main line for practical application of this approach in the conditions of Russia, the concept of forming the core of strategic action subject within the framework of a new type of social organization, the “Public Engineering Park”, is discussed.

References:

1. Fursov A. Na poroge novogo mira — est’ li sub’ekt strategicheskogo deistviya? ili Zheleznye trebovaniya istoricheskogo protsessa [On the Threshold of a New World — is there a Subject of Strategic Action? or Iron Requirements of the Historical Process]. Sait Andreya Fursova, available at: http://andreyfursov.ru/news/na_poroge_novogo_mira_est_li_subekt_strategicheskogo_dejstvija_ili_zheleznye_trebovan ija_istoricheskogo_processa/2011-03-13-8.

2. Smirnov E.P. Stanet li Rossiya vysokotekhnologichnoi stranoi? [Will Russia Become a High-tech Country?]. Nezavisimaya gazeta, 2003, 12 fevralya, available at: https://www.ng.ru/science/2003-02-12/13_technology.html.

3. Bannykh O. Fabrika intellektual’nogo spetsnaza [Factory of Intellectual Special Forces]. Ekspert. Ural, 2004, 2 fevralya, available at: https://expert.ru/ural/2004/04/04ur-unauk_66655/

4. Smirnov E.P. Rossiya snova na pereput’e. Konkurentosposobnost’ ili degradatsiya: Interv’yu [Russia is at a Crossroads Again. Competitiveness or Degradation: Interview]. Budushchaya Rossiya, 2011, 12 maya, available at: https://futurerussia.ru/extranet/blogs/smirnoff/58/?sphrase_id=441346.

5. Vil’yams Dzh.D. Sovershennyi strateg, ili Bukvar’ po teorii strategicheskikh igr [Perfect Strategist or Primer on the Theory of Strategic Games]. Moscow, Sovetskoe Radio, 1960, 266 p.

6. Smirnov E.P. Media proekt “Balans interesov” [Media Project “Balance of Interests”]. Budushchaya Rossiya, available at: https://futurerussia.ru/upload/iblock/647/Mediaproekt.pdf.

7. Smirnov E.P. Platforma upravleniya razvitiem. Kak naiti balans interesov gosudarstva, biznesa i naseleniya v protsesse formirovaniya I realizatsii programm razvitiya? Inzhenernyi podkhod: Trudy Mezhdunarodnoi nauchno-prakticheskoi konferentsii “Institutsional’nye i finansovye mekhanizmy razvitiya territorial’nykh klasterov i tekhnologicheskikh platform”, g. Dubna, 11–12 noyabrya, 2016 g. [Development Management Platform. How to Find a Balance of Interests of the State, Business and Population in the Process of Formation and Implementation of Development Programs? Engineering Approach: Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference “Institutional and Financial Mechanisms for the Development of Territorial Clusters and Technological Platforms”, Dubna, November 11–12, 2016]. Budushchaya Rossiya, available at: http://futurerussia.ru/upload/iblock/647/Smirnov%20EP_doklad_Dubna.pdf.

Import Substitution: Domestic Devices for Molecular Genetic Analysis

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.189.2023.36-41

The analysis of the market of sequencing technologies was carried out, the factors accelerating and hindering its development were identified. Separate developments of equipment for molecular genetic analysis, carried out by the Institute for Analytical Instrumentation of the Russian Academy of Sciences in conjunction with LLC Sintol are presented in the article. The existing scientific and technical background and the potential of organizations allows for the rapid import substitution of a number of key instruments and devices for genetic research, including those with the necessary reagent base.

References:

1. Global DNA Sequencing: Research, Applied and Clinical Markets, available at: https://www.bccresearch.com/market-research/biotechnology/dna-sequencing-emerging-tech-applications-report.html#:~:text=The%20global%20market%20for%20DNA,the%20period%20of%202021-2026.

2. DNA Sequencing Market Size USD 16.81 Billion by 2030, available at: https://www.vantagemarketresearch.com/industry-report/dna-sequencing-market-1896.

3. Growth Trends, Report 2030, available at: https://www.strategicmarketresearch.com/market-report/dna-sequencing-market.

4. Whole Genome Sequencing cost 2023, available at: https://3billion.io/blog/whole-genome-sequencing-cost-2023#:~:text=The%20cost%20of%20 a%20human, today%20it%20is%20approximately%20%24600.

5. Kurochkin V.E., Alekseev Ya.I., Petrov D.G., Evstrapov A.A. Otechestvennyye pribory dlya molekulyarno-geneticheskogo analiza: razrabotki IAP RAN i OOO “Sintol” [Domestic devices for molecular genetic analysis: developments of the IAP RAS and LLC “Sintol»]. Izvestiya Rossiyskoy Voyenno-meditsinskoy akademii. 2021, vol. 40, no 3, pp. 69–74.

6. Genetic analyzer Nanofor® 05, available at: http://iairas.ru/nanofor05.php.

On Some Observations of the Fundamental Laws of Nature

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.189.2023.42-49

The article describes an observed natural phenomenon, consideration of which hypothetically improves the accuracy of natural processes modeling.

References:

1. Arshinov V.I., Svirskii Ya.I. Slozhnostnyi mir i ego nablyudatel’. Chast’ pervaya [Complex World and its Observer. Part One]. Filosofiya nauki i tekhniki, 2015, vol. 20, no 2, pp. 70–84.

2. Arshinov V.I., Svirskii Ya.I. Slozhnostnyi mir i ego nablyudatel’. Chast’ vtoraya [Complex World and its Observer. Part Two]. Filosofiya nauki i tekhniki, 2016, vol. 21, no 1, pp. 78–91.

3. Arshinov V.I., Budanov V.G. Sotsiotekhnicheskie landshafty v optike semioticheski-tsifrovoi slozhnostnosti [Sociotechnical Landscapes in the Optics of Semiotic-Digital Complexity]. Voprosy filosofii, 2020, no 8, pp. 106–116.

4. Foerster H. Notes pour un epistemologie des objetsvivants. In Morin E. and Piatelli-Palmerini M. (Eds). L’Unité de L’Homme, Editions du Seuil, Paris, 1974, pp. 401–417.

5. Spencer-Brown G. Laws of Form. N.Y., Division of Elsevier-Dutton Publishing, 1979, 169 p.

6. Maturana U. Biologiya poznaniya [Biology of Cognition]. Yazyk i intellect, Moscow, Progress, 1996, 416 p.

7. Feiman R. KED — strannaya teoriya sveta i veshchestva [QED: The Strange Theory of Light and Matter]. Moscow, Astrel’, Poligrafizdat, 2012, 191 p.

8. Prigozhin I., Stengers I. Poryadok iz khaosa. Novyi dialog cheloveka s prirodoi [Order out of Chaos. New Dialogue Between Man and the Nature]. Moscow, Editorial URSS, 2014, 304 p.

9. Nikolis G., Prigozhin I. Samoorganizatsiya v neravnovesnykh sistemakh. Ot dissipativnykh struktur k uporyadochennosti cherez fluktuatsii [Self-Organization in Nonequilibrium Systems: From Dissipative Structures to Order Through Fluctuations]. Moscow, Mir, 1979, 512 p.

10. Bozbei L.S., Kostikov A.O., Tkachenko V.I. Elementarnaya konvektivnaya yacheika v sloe neszhimaemoi, vyazkoi zhidkosti i ee fizicheskie svoistva: Materialy Mezhdunarodnoi konferentsii MSS-14 “Transformatsiya voln, kogerentnye struktury i turbulentnost’”. Moskva, Institut kosmicheskikh issledovanii,

2014 g. [Elementary Convective Cell in an Incompressible Viscous Fluid Layer of and Its Parameters: Proceedings of the MSS-14 International Conference “Transformation of Waves, Coherent Structures and Turbulence”. Moscow, Space Research Institute]. Moscow, 2014, pp. 322–328.

11. Pikel’ner S.B. Dinamika solnechnoi atmosfery [Solar Atmosphere Dynamics]. Uspekhi fizicheskikh nauk, 1966, vol. 88, no 3, pp. 505–523.

12. Belousov B.P. Periodicheski deistvuyushchaya reaktsiya i ee mekhanizm: Sb.: Avtovolnovye protsessy v sistemakh s diffuziei [Periodically Acting Reaction and its Mechanism: Collection: Autowave Processes in Systems with Diffusion]. Gor’kii, Izd-vo GGU, 1951, pp. 76.

13. Belousov B.P. Periodicheski deistvuyushchaya reaktsiya i ee mekhanizm: Sb. referatov po radiatsionnoi meditsine za1958 g. [Periodically Acting Reaction and its Mechanism. Collection of Abstracts on Radiation Medicine]. Moscow, Medgiz, 1959, p. 145.

Scientific Knowledge Base in the Lens of Innovation Policy

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.189.2023.50-57

The article examines the problem of measuring the scientific knowledge base (SKB) of innovation systems, the solution of which ensures transition to policy reformatting through the prism of SKB, which in its turn makes it possible to form a bridge between SKB and competitive opportunities in the sectoral market, between scientific knowledge and provision of technological and economic security. The developed measurement system was used to evaluate the SKB of Russia’s SIS in the field of nanotechnology in order to answer a number of questions. Has competitive nanoscience been created during the reforms? Are the country’s economic reforms supported by nanotechnological knowledge? Is the scientific sector oriented towards developing breakthrough nanotechnologies of the future?

References:

1. Gaponenko N.V. Sektoral’nye innovatsionnye sistemy v ekonomike, osnovannoi na znaniyakh [Sectoral Innovation Systems in the Knowledge-Based

Economy]. Monografiya. Moscow, IPRAN RAN, 2021.

2. Gaponenko N.V. Formirovanie tekhnologicheskoi bazy ekonomiki, osnovannoi na znaniyakh [Forming the Technological Base of the Knowledge-based

Economy]. Monografiya. Moscow, Yuniti-Dana, 2018.

3. Gaponenko N. In Search of Sectoral Foresight Methodology: Bridging Foresight and Sectoral System of Innovation and Production. Futures, 2022 HYPERLINK “https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00163287/135/supp/C”, vol. 135.

4. Gaponenko N.V. Zakonomernosti i osobennosti evolyutsii sektoral’nykh innovatsionnykh sistem v ramkakh dolgosrochnogo tsikla [Regularities and Features of the Evolution of Sectoral Innovation Systems in the Framework of a Long-term Cycle]. Sistemy i menedzhment, 2020, no 1.

5. Chimini G., Gabrielli A., Silos Labini F. Nauchnaya konkurentosposobnost’ natsii [Scientific Competitiveness of Nations]. PLoS ONE, 2014, 9(12).

6. Nanoindustriya Rossii. Statisticheskii spravochnik. 2015–2020 [Nanoindustry of Russia. Statistical Handbook. 2015-2020]. Moscow, 2020.

The XXI Century Science: New Priorities

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.189.2023.58-61

The issue of priorities in science is discussed in comparison with L.N. Tolstoy’s formulation of this problem. Problems posed by L.N. Tolstoy, are addressed by the sciences of natural-humanitarian synthesis, which study the “nature — man — society” system. The main function of new sciences is to explore the issue of a man, conditions for selfpreservation and development of mankind as a whole. The change of priorities in the science of the 21st century is inevitable: from natural sciences to the sciences of natural-humanitarian synthesis.

References:

1. Golubev V.S. Priroda — chelovek — obshchestvo: razvitie i garmoniya [Nature — Man — Society: Development and Harmony]. Moscow, Lenand, 2016.

2. Golubev V.S. Garmoniya spaset mir [Harmony will Save the World]. Moscow, Lenand, 2017.

3. Golubev V.S. V poiskakh garmonii [In Search of Harmony]. Moscow, Lenand, 2022.

4. Bushuev V.V., Golubev V.S. Osnovy ergodinamiki [Fundamentals of Ergodynamics]. Moscow, Energiya, 2003; 2-e izd., Moscow, Lenand, 2012.

5. Bushuev V.V., Golubev V.S., Orlov I.B. Vvedenie v sistemnuyu teoriyu kapitala [Introduction to the System Theory of Capital]. Moscow, Lenand, 2013.

6. Bushuev V.V., Golubev V.S., Tarko A.M. Strukturnaya energiya kak potentsial razvitiya. Mir i Rossiya [Structural Energy as a Development Potential. World and Russia]. Moscow, Lenand, 2014.

7. Golubev V.S. Vvedenie v sinteticheskuyu evolyutsionnuyu ekologiyu [Introduction to Synthetic Evolutionary Ecology]. Moscow, Papirus Pro, 2001.

8. Golubev V.S., Kurakov A.L., Timiryasova A.V. Chelovekovedenie [Human Studies]. Ucheb.-metodich. posobie. M.: IAEP; Kazan’: Poznanie, 2014.

9. Bushuev V.V., Golubev V.S. Estestvenno-nauchnye osnovy sotsial’nogo gumanizma [Natural-scientific Foundations of Social Humanism]. Moscow, Lenand, 2018.

10. Golubev V.S. Ocherki sotsial’nogo gumanizma. 3. O glavnom prioritete nauki: L.N. Tolstoi i sovremennost’ [Essays on Social Humanism. 3. On the Main Priority of Science: L.N. Tolstoy and Modernity]. Akademiya Trinitarizma, no 77-6567; publ. 25828, 2019, 26 oktyabrya, available at: http://www.trinitas.

ru/rus/doc/0016/001g/00164168.htm.

11. Golubev V.S. Osnovy ekosotsiogumanizma [Fundamentals of Ecosociohumanism]. Moscow, INFRA-M, 2022.

Methods for Evaluating Digital Financial Assets as the Basis for Future Trade Turnover

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.189.2023.62-69

The author analyzes methods of cryptocurrency evaluation existing in foreign practice. Applicability of the comparative, income and cost approaches used in valuation activities, as well as possible methods within each of the approaches, is explored. It is determined that within the income approach, the discounted cash flow model and the exchange equation are applicable. The comparative approach involves the classic comparison of sales, while the cost approach contains two methods based on actual (energy cost method) and forecast (stock-flow ratio method) data.

References:

1. Kriptovalyuty: trendy, riski, mery: Doklad dlya obshchestvennykh konsul’tatsii [Cryptocurrencies: Trends, Risks, Measures: Public Consultation Report].

Moscow, Bank Rossii, 2022, available at: https://cbr.ru/Content/Document/File/132241/Consultation_Paper_20012022.pdf.

2. Nakamoto S. Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. Combining and Splitting Value, 2008, no 9.

3. Grazhdanskii kodeks Rossiiskoi Federatsii [Civil Code of the Russian Federation]. Garant, available at: https://base.garant.ru/10164072/

4. Medium [Informational portal], available at: https://medium.com.

5. Kyriazis N., Papadamou S., Corbet Sh. A systematic review of the bubble dynamics of cryptocurrency prices. Research in International Business and Finance, 2020.

6. Cong Lin William, Ye Li, Neng Wang. Tokenomics: Dynamic adoption and valuation. The Review of Financial Studies, 2021.

7. Zhang Junhuan, Xu Yunqing. Cryptocurrency price bubble detection using log-periodic power law model and wavelet analysis. SSRN Papers, 2021.

From Pandemic to Geopolitical Turbulence: Twists and Turns of the Appraisal Market

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.189.2023.77-85

Methodology for studying the strategic potential of valuation companies in Russia is based on applying the “Strategic Matrix of the Company” software package, its algorithm involves the analysis of qualitative and quantitative indicators that allow to build a complete profile of the company and to give a scenario forecast of its development. The main qualitative parameters under analysis are: the degree of innovation and differentiation of services, the competition level and the market position of the company, priority of certain strategic goals in the company’s activities, effectiveness of motivation, corporate culture and ability to quickly access the necessary resources.

References:

1. The 10 innovations and disruptions that will impact property valuation. CBRE. 2022. 22 November, available at: https://www.cbre.com.au/insights/articles/ The-10-innovations-and-disruptions-that-will-impact-property-valuation.

2. Neopredelennost’ i chuvstvennyi vybor: kakim byl rynok nedvizhimosti v 2022 g. [Uncertainty and Sensual Choice: what the Real Estate Market was Like in 2022]. ROO Assotsiatsiya “Russkoe obshchestvo otsenshchikov”, 2022, 20 dekabrya, available at: http://sroroo.ru/press_center/news/3690904/

3. Spiridonov F.F. Otsenochnye kompanii dolzhny imet’ khoroshuyu reputatsiyu i dorozhit’ eyu [Evaluation Companies Shall Have Good Reputation and Value it]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2013, no 4, pp. 64, 65.

4. Rekomendatsii dlya otsenshchikov iskhodya iz tekushchei situatsii i tendentsii kratkosrochnogo perioda [Recommendations for Appraisers Based on the Current Situation and Short-term Trends]. SMAO, 2022, 18 marta, available at: https://smao.ru/press/news/smao/rekomendatsii_dlya_otsenschikov_ishodya_iz_
tekuschey_situatsii_i_tendentsiy_kratkosrochnogo_perioda.

5. Metodicheskie raz”yasneniya po opredeleniyu stoimosti v usloviyakh vysokoi neopredelennosti vneshnikh faktorov [Methodological Explanations for Determining the Value in Conditions of high Uncertainty of External Factors]. Ekspertnyi sovet, available at: https://srosovet.ru/press/news/040322-2/

6. Kosorukova I.V. Standartizatsiya otsenochnoi deyatel’nosti: problemy i analiz situatsii [Standardization of Valuation Activities: Problems and Situation Analysis]. Imushchestvennye otnosheniya v Rossiiskoi Federatsii, 2022, no 9(252), pp. 33–44.

7. Itogi i materialy nauchno-prakticheskoi konferentsii “Otsenochnaya deyatel’nost’ v sovremennykh usloviyakh”. 27 maya 2022 g., Moskva [Results and Materials of the Scientific-practical Conference “Evaluation Activity in Modern Conditions”. May 27, 2022, Moscow]. ROO Assotsiatsiya “Russkoe obshchestvo otsenshchikov”, available at: http://sroroo.ru/press_center/events/results/3616162/?ELEMENT_ID=3616162&back_url_admin=%2Fbitrix%2Fadmin%2Fiblock_
list_admin.php%3FIBLOCK_ID%3D18%26type%3Dpress_center%26lang%3Dru%26find_section_section%3D0.

8. Maksim Skatov. Vpisat’sya v standarty [Fit into Standards]. Kommersant”, 2022, 31 avgusta, available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5525875

Social Dominant of the Time Concept in the Process of Cardinal Transformations of Society

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.189.2023.86-93

The author examines a number of topical aspects of socio-political practice and futurology of the ongoing process of cardinal transformations in post-Soviet Russia. It is shown that this process constitutes the essence of global trends of permanent renewal of state-public institutions, socio-political and production practices; it is associated with abandoning outdated ideologemes, economic concepts, with the elites change in the ongoing struggle for dominance in power structures.

References:

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2. Khaidegger M. Istoki khudozhestvennogo tvoreniya (1935–1936): Izbrannye raboty raznykh let [Origins of Artistic Creation (1935–1936): Selected Works of Different Years]. Moscow, 2008, p. 421, available at: Haydegger_Istok-hudozhestvennogo-tvoreniya_RuLit_Me_515679.pdf.

3. Aron R. Etapy razvitiya sotsiologicheskoi mysli [Stages of the Sociological Thought Development]. Moscow, 1992, p. 256.

4. Knyazeva E., Kurdyumov S. Osnovaniya sinergetiki: Rezhimy s obostreniem, samoorganizatsiya, tempomiry [Fundamentals of Synergetics: Blow-Up Modes, Self-Organization, Tempo Worlds]. Saint Petersburg, 2002, pp. 306–308.

5. Makanin V. Pyataya knopka [Fifth Button]. Novyi mir, 2006, p. 10.

6. Rakitov A. Tsivilizatsiya, kul’tura, tekhnologiya i rynok [Civilization, Culture, Technology and the Market]. Voprosy filosofii, 1992, no 5.

7. Gesse G. Faust i Zaratustra. Doklad, sdelannyi v bremenskoi mestnoi gruppe Germanskogo soyuza monistov 1 maya 1909 g.: V kn. “Faust i Zaratustra” [Faust and Zarathustra. Report made in the Bremen local group of the German Monist Union on May 1, 1909: In the book “Faust and Zarathustra”]. Saint Petersburg, 2001, p. 23.

8. Yadov V.A. Teoretiko-kontseptual’noe ob”yasnenie “postkommunisticheskikh transformatsii” [Theoretical-Conceptual Explanation of “Post-Communist Transformations”]. Rossiya transformiruyushchayasya. Ezhegodnik, vyp. 6, Moscow, 2006, p. 124.

9. Davydov A.A. Mezhdu mistikoi i ratio [Between Mysticism and Ratio]. Moscow, 2006.

10. Kelly K. Fouth, Humanism and Technology. N.Y. — L., 1972.

11. Lisichkin V.A., Virin M.M. Informatsionnoe obshchestvo kak politicheskaya futurologiya [The Information Society as Political Futurology]. Moscow, 2009, p. 25.

12. Mesarovic M., Pestel E. Mankind at the Turning Point. N.Y., 1974, p. 40.

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14. Epshtein M. Znak probela [Blank Spaces]. O budushchem gumanitarnykh nauk, Moscow, 2004.

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16. Kuznetsov V. Geokul’tura [Geoculture]. Moscow, 2000, p. 580–582.

17. Annan K. Predotvrashchenie voin i bedstvii: global’nyi vyzov rastushchikh masshtabov: Godovoi doklad OON za 1999 g. [Preventing Wars and Disasters: A Global Challenge of Growing Size: UN Annual Report 1999]. N.Y., 2000.