DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.62-73

The paper reveals the content of the method of structural analysis as a basic approach in economic research, used in the study of economic changes. The purpose of the study is to demonstrate the areas of application of structural analysis and its part — macrostructural analysis, with outputs for the study of technological development and the formation of a strategy for economic policy and development. The methodology consists of empirical structural analysis, comparative method and taxonomic approach. The overall result can be considered the identified areas of application of structural analysis in the macroeconomic part of its application, the possibilities and mistakes of applying macrostructural analysis to the study of economic growth and structural transformation of the economy. Let us note that many issues of the application of macrostructural analysis in economic science have been poorly studied. Often in studies it is replaced by the general method of structural analysis, which is reduced exclusively to the assessment of “input-output”, the structure of aggregate demand and production distributed across economic sectors. In fact, structural analysis is much broader, extends to micro and mesoeconomic objects of the economy, and is suitable not only for correcting current macroeconomic policies, but also for developing strategic plans for economic development and carrying out economic changes (reforms). An interpretation of changes within the framework of the “old — new” technologies structure is given, as well as proposals for taking into account technological development as an important condition for carrying out the structural and technological modernization of Russia.

References:

1. Shumpeter Y.A. Teoriya ekonomicheskogo razvitiya. Kapitalizm, sotsializm i demokratiya [Theory of Economic Development. Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy]. Moscow, Eksmo, 2007, 864 s.

2. Nort D. Ponimanie protsessa ekonomicheskikh izmeneniy [Understanding the Process of Economic Change]. Moscow, Vysshaya shkola ekonomiki, 2010, 256 p.

3. Barr R. Politicheskaya ekonomiya [Political Economy]. V 2 t. Moscow, Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya, 1996.

4. Sukharev O.S. Strukturnyy analiz ekonomiki [Structural Analysis of the Economy]. Moscow, Finansy i statistika, 2012, 216 p.

5. Dedov L.A., Botkin O.I. Indeksnyy makrostrukturnyy analiz ekonomicheskoy dinamiki. Osnovnye ponyatiya i priemy makrostrukturnogo analiza [Index Macrostructural Analysis of Economic Dynamics. Basic Concepts and Techniques of Macrostructural Analysis]. Ekaterinburg, Izd-vo UrO RAN, 2013, 111 p.

6. Sukharev O.S. Strukturnye issledovaniya sovremennoy rossiyskoy ekonomicheskoy shkoly: osnovnye podkhody i perspektivy [Structural Research of the Modern Russian Economic School: Main Approaches and Prospects]. Vestnik Permskogo universiteta, 2022, vol. 17, no 1, pp. 5–26.

7. Leont’ev V.V. Izbrannye stat’i [Featured Articles]. Saint Petersburg, Nevskoe vremya, 1994, 366 p.

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.74-81

The article examines the issues of stimulating the Russian economy through mechanism for implementing megaprojects, assesses the implementation risks and provides recommendations for providing economic security of the Russian Federation in the context of the current GDP structure.

References:

1. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 20 maya 2023 g. N 1315-r “Ob utverzhdenii Kontseptsii tekhnologicheskogo razvitiya na period do 2030 goda” [Order of the Government of the Russian Federation of May 20, 2023 No. 1315-r “On Approval of the Concept of Technological Development for the Period up to 2030”]. Kodeks, available at: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/1301657597#6580IP

2. Plenarnoe zasedanie Evraziyskogo ekonomicheskogo foruma [Plenary Session of the Eurasian Economic Forum]. Ofitsial’noe internet-predstavitel’stvo prezidenta Rossii, 2023, 24 maya, available at: http://www.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/71198

3. Ukaz Prezidenta RF ot 28 fevralya 2024 g. N 145 “O Strategii nauchno-tekhnologicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii” [Decree of the President of the Russian Federation of February 28, 2024 No. 145 “On the Strategy for Scientific and Technological Development of the Russian Federation”]. Ofitsial’nyy internet-portal pravovoy informatsii, available at: http://publication.pravo.gov.ru/document/0001202402280003?index=2

4. Morunov V.V. Teoreticheskie podkhody k opredeleniyu sushchnosti ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti [Theoretical Approaches to Defining the Essence of Economic Security]. VEPS. 2011. № 4. URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/teoreticheskie-podhody-k-opredeleniyu-suschnosti-ekonomicheskoy-bezopasnosti

5. Radygin A.D., Entov R.M., Abramov A.E., Chernova M.I., Mal’ginov G.N. Privatizatsiya 30 let spustya: masshtaby i effektivnost’ gosudarstvennogo sektora [Privatization 30 Years Later: The Scale and Efficiency of the Public Sector]. Moscow, ID “Delo” RANKhiGS. 2019. URL: https://ipei.ranepa.ru/ru/kgu

6. Likholetov V.V. Strategicheskie aspekty ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti [Strategic Aspects of Economic Security]. Obrazovatel’naya platforma “Yurayt”, 2023, 201, available at: https://urait.ru/bcode/519502

7. Vlasti obsudili vvod garantirovannogo dokhoda dlya investorov v megaproekty. Gosudarstvo mozhet obespechit’ im khedzhirovanie riskov [Authorities Discussed the Introduction of a Guaranteed Income for Investors in Megaprojects. The State can Provide them with Risk Hedging]. RBK, 2023, 26 oktyabrya, available at: https://www.rbc.ru/economics/26/10/2023/653900cc9a7947b40010637f?from=copy

8. Bezbozhnova E.A. Ekonomicheskaya bezopasnost’ gosudarstva v kontekste tekhnologicheskogo razvitiya [Economic Security of the State in the Context of Technological Development]. Ekonomika i sovremennyy menedzhment: teoriya, metodologiya, praktika. Penza, Nauka i Prosveshchenie, 2022, pp. 139–141.

9. Karavaeva I.V. Natsional’naya ekonomicheskaya bezopasnost’ v teoreticheskikh issledovaniyakh Instituta ekonomiki RAN [National Economic Security in Theoretical Research of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences]. Vestnik Instituta ekonomiki Rossiyskoy akademii nauk, 2020, no 2, available at: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/natsionalnaya-ekonomicheskaya-bezopasnost-v-teoreticheskih-issledovaniyah-instituta-ekonomiki-ran

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.82-89

The reform of development institutions currently being carried out by the Government of the Russian Federation provides for their partial modernization and liquidation. At the same time, some institutions, in particular state-owned corporations, are not subject to reform due to the fact that their activities are strategically important and fully consistent with the goals of the country’s economic development. According to the authors of the article, the Rostec state-owned corporation today has positive experience in achieving the goals set by the state. The directions and results of Rostec’s activities during the sanctions period, industry and financial indicators, the execution of the state defense order and the share of civilian products, development directions in various sectors of the economy and innovative developments to ensure competitiveness in domestic and foreign markets are studied.

References:

1. Instituty razvitiya s”eli 5 trillionov rubley. Deputaty obvinili kvazigosudarstvennye struktury v neeffektivnosti [Development institutes ate 5 trillion rubles. Deputiesaccusedquasi-statestructuresofinefficiency]. Nezavisimayagazeta, 2019,10 oktyabrya, availableat:https://www.ng.ru/economics/2019-10-10/4_7699institute.html

2. Vladimir Kuz’min. Mishustin soobshchil ob optimizatsii institutov razvitiya [Mishustin announced the optimization of development institutions]. Rossiyskaya gazeta, 2020, 23 noyabrya, available at: https://rg.ru/2020/11/23/pravitelstvo-optimiziruet-sistemu-institutov-razvitiia.html

3. Postanovlenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 24 marta 2022 g. N 459 “O priznanii utrativshimi silu nekotorykh aktov Pravitel’stva Rossiyskoy Federatsii i o vnesenii izmeneniy v rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 31 dekabrya 2020 g. N 3710-r” [Resolution of the Government of the Russian Federation of March 24, 2022 No. 459 “On recognizing as invalid certain acts of the Government of the Russian Federation and on amending the order of the Government of the Russian Federation of December 31, 2020 No. 3710-r”]. Konsul’tantPlyus, available at: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_413819/9 2d969e26a4326c5d02fa79b8f9cf4994ee5633b/#dst100006

4. Pribyl’ goskompaniy v Rossii upala sil’nee, chem u chastnykh. Tol’ko dve treti iz nikh zavershili 2022 god v plyuse [Profits of state-owned companies in Russia fell more than those of private ones. Only two-thirds of them ended 2022 in the black]. RBK, 2023, 10 maya, available at: https://www.rbc.ru/econo mics/10/05/2023/64525cc39a794734f6f7044d

5. Federal’nyy zakon ot 12 yanvarya 1996 g. N 7-FZ “O nekommercheskikh organizatsiyakh” [Federal Law of January 12, 1996 No. 7-FZ “On Non-Commercial Organizations”]. Konsul’tantPlyus, available at: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_8824/

6. Mazanaev M.Sh., Bekishiev N.A. Pravovoy status i osobennosti gosudarstvennykh korporatsiy v sovremennoy Rossii [Legal status and features of state corporations in modern Russia]. Yuridicheskiy vestnik DGU, 2022, vol. 44, no 4, pp. 83–90, DOI: 10.21779/2224-0241-2022-44-4-83-90

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.90-97

The author addressed the topic of comparing the meanings of the terms “sustainability” and “resilience” due to the fact that both these terms are used in economic literature, and at the same time they are both translated into Russian as “sustainability”, which sometimes causes incorrect understanding of the meaning of certain texts. The article dwells on genesis and areas of application of these terms, it is noted that the frequency of applying the word “resilience” has increased significantly in recent years. At the same time, a generally accepted definition of this term has not yet been developed, at least in its economic application. The same is referred to the term “sustainability”. Disadvantages of each of the terms are listed and debate on the priority of one term over another is considered. The author briefly discussed the use of terms in the current context of the Russian economy. It is concluded that while in terms of “resilience” the domestic economy has demonstrated visible success, then in terms of “sustainability” prospects there are serious problems.

References:

1. Concise Oxford Dictionary. Tenth Edition. Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1999.

2. McAslan A., Director of the Torrens Resilience Institute. The Concept of Resilience: Understanding its Origins, Meaning and Utility. Australia, Adelaide, 2010, 14 March, available at: https://www.flinders.edu.au/content/dam/documents/research/torrens-resilience-institute/resilience-origins-and-utility.pdf

3. Moser, et al. (2019). Climatic Change, available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2358-0

4. ZOE, the Institute for Future-Fit Economies, available at: https://zoe-institut.de/en/home-2/

5. The Economic Resilience Index. Assessing the ability of EU economies to thrive in times of change, available at: https://zoe-institut.de/wp-content/ uploads/2023/09/Economic_Resilience_Index_Final-1.pdf

6. Rose A. Economic Resilience: Concepts and Measurement, available at: https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/reser_e/adam_rose_040321.pdf

7. Knuth K. The term “resilience” is everywhere — but what does it really mean, available at: https://ensia.com/articles/what-is-resilience/

8. Schmithüsen F.J. Three hundred years of applied sustainability in forestry, available at: https://www.research-collection.ethz.ch/bitstream/ handle/20.500.11850/154087/1/eth-7348-01.pdf

9. A Brief History of Sustainability, available at: https://thesustainableagency.com/blog/the-history-of-sustainability/#:~:text=In%201972%2C%20 sustainability%20was%20first,industrialized%20communities%2C%20among%20other%20suggestions

10. Purvis B., Mao Y., Robinson D. Three pillars of sustainability: in search of conceptual origins, available at: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/ s11625-018-0627-5

11. Knuth K. The term “resilience” is everywhere — but what does it really mean, available at: https://ensia.com/articles/what-is-resilience/

12. Six Key Factors for Achieving Sustainable Manufacturing, available at: https://www.foundrymag.com/opinion/article/21924600/six-key-factors-forachieving-sustainable-manufacturing

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.98-107

The role of a man in the universal evolutionary process is underestimated. With the advent of a man, the Multiverse begins to realize itself, cognize and transform itself. Creation of a socially significant reality throughout history is manifested by the anthropic principle, which makes the quantum properties of objects dependent on a person endowed with intelligence.

In the universal evolution formation of mass-kinetic structures and processes has completed and the “requantization of reality” is taking place — transition to information-semantic forms of being and consciousness. A social state, capable of concentrating the necessary resources for a quantum leap into the future, can become an instrument of planned transition. To interact with the Multiverse, it is necessary to apply closing technologies both in technical and humanitarian fields of knowledge.

References:

1. Panov A.D. Universal’naya evolyutsiya i problema poiska vnezemnogo razuma (SETI) [Artificial Intelligence in HR: Four Pros and Four Cons]. Moscow, Izd-vo LKI, 2008. 208 p. (Sinergetika v gumanitarnykh naukakh.)

2. Sudakov K.V. Izbrannye trudy [Selected Works]. Moscow, GU NII normal’noy fiziologii im. P.K. Anokhina RAMN, 2007, vol. 1 Razvitie teorii funktsional’nykh sistem. Moscow, 2007, pp. 174–218, 311–337.

3. Sudakov K.V., Kuzichev I.A., Nikolaev A.B. Shchelkanov V.I. Evolyutsiya terminologii i skhem funktsional’nykh sistem v nauchnoy shkole P.K. Anokhina [The Evolution of Terminology and Diagrams of Functional Systems in the Scientific School of P.K. Anokhina]. Moscow, 2010, pp. 80.

4. Sudakov K.V. Informatsionnyy emotsional’nyy rezonans [Informational Emotional Resonance]. Moscow, RITs MGGU im. M.A. Sholokhova, 2008, p. 38.

5. Anokhin P.K. Biologiya i neyrofiziologiya uslovnogo refleksa [Biology and Neurophysiology of the Conditioned Reflex]. Moscow, Meditsina, 1968.

6. Sukharev A.V. Opyt paradigmal’nogo obobshcheniya filosofsko-religioznykh i misticheskikh osnovaniy gumanitarnogo i estestvenno-nauchnogo podkhodov v psikhologicheskoy nauke [Experience of Paradigmatic Generalization of Philosophical, Religious and Mystical Foundations of Humanitarian and Natural Science Approaches in Psychological Science]. Uchenye zapiski Instituta psikhologii Rossiyskoy akademii nauk, 2022, vol. 2, no 4, pp. 4–17.

7. Istoriya Temnogo mira [History of the Dark World]. Avt.-sost. A. Lindin. Rostov n/D, Feniks, Saint Petersburg, Izd-vo “Severo-Zapad”, 2007, 832 p.

8. Belavin V.A, Kurdyumov S.P. Rezhimy s obostreniem i zakony koevolyutsii slozhnykh sistem [Aggravation Regimes and Laws of Coevolution of Complex Systems]. Sayt S.P. Kurdyumova “Sinergetika”, available at: http:// spkurdyumov.ru/evolutionism/zakony-koevolyucii-slozhnyxsistem/

9. Kara-Murza S.G., Piskunov D.I. Nauka i ideologiya [Science and Ideology]. Moscow, Izd-vo AN SSSR, 1991.

10. Pereslegin S.B., Korolev A.A., Shilov S.Yu. Kognitivnye predely nauchnogo myshleniya [Cognitive Limits of Scientific Thinking]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2019, no 2, pp. 44–55.

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.108-113

The article dwells on the concept of harmosphere — the sphere of harmony of mind and feeling, man and nature, natural and human sciences. The noosphere arose with the beginning of the “industrial revolution”, when the progress of mankind as a whole came to be determined by reason. According to V.I. Vernadsky, man becomes “the largest geological force.” Modernity corresponds to the end of the noospheric stage of development and the beginning of the harmosphere formation. The “end” of the noosphere correlates with the emergence and legalization of nuclear missile weapons capable of destroying civilization.

References:

1. Golubev V.S. Osnovy garmonologii [Basics of Harmonology]. Moscow, Lenand, 2018.

2. Golubev V.S. Priroda — chelovek — obshchestvo: razvitie i garmoniya [Nature — Man — Society: Development and Harmony]. Moscow, Lenand, 2016.

3. Golubev V.S. Garmoniya spaset mir [Harmony will Save the World]. Moscow, Lenand, 2017.

4. Golubev V.S. Ocherki ekosotsiogumanizma [Essays on Ecosociohumanism]. Moscow, Lenand, 2021.

5. Panov A.D. Singulyarnaya tochka istorii [Singular Point of History] Obshchestvennye nauki i sovremennost’, 2015, no 1.

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.114-123

Recently Russia has been actively searching for a way out of the demographic crisis. A timely response to internal demographic problems became the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation V.V. Putin, according to which 2024 has been declared the Year of the Family. Focus on popularizing family values shows that the problem is becoming more and more pertinent, and no effective solutions have been found to date.

Demographic problem in general is widely discussed in Russia, attempts are made to reverse the negative trend with the help of various economic measures. However, any significant progress hasn’t yet been achieved. In this regard, new views and approaches to solving this problem are extremely in demand.

References:

1. Goncharova N.P., Eremin A.A., Tarasova E.V. K voprosu o metodike otsenki rezul’tativnosti demograficheskoy politiki. Demograficheskiy potentsial stran EAES: VIII Ural’skiy demograficheskiy forum [On the Methodology for Assessing the Effectiveness of Demographic Policy: Demographic Potential of the EAEU Countries: VIII Ural Demographic Forum]. Vol. II. Ekaterinburg, Institut ekonomiki UrO RAN, 2017, pp. 77–81.

2. Pasport natsional’nogo proekta “Demografiya” (utv. prezidiumom Soveta pri Prezidente RF po strategicheskomu razvitiyu i natsional’nym proektam, protokol ot 24 dekabrya 2018 g. N 16) [Passport of the National Project “Demography” (Approved by the Presidium of the Council under the President of the Russian Federation for Strategic Development and National Projects, Protocol of December 24, 2018 No. 16)], available at: http://static.government.ru/media/ files/Z4OMjDgCaeohKWaA0psu6lCekd3hwx2m.pdf

3. Demografiya [Demography]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoy statistiki, available at: https://rosstat.gov.ru/folder/12781

4. Federal’nyy zakon ot 19 maya 1995 g. N 81-FZ “O gosudarstvennykh posobiyakh grazhdanam, imeyushchim detey” (v red. Federal’nykh zakonov ot 24 noyabrya 1995 g. N 184-FZ, ot 18 iyunya 1996 g. N 76-FZ, ot 24 noyabrya 1996 g. N 130-FZ, ot 30 dekabrya 1996 g. N 162-FZ, ot 21 iyulya 1998 g. N 117-FZ, ot 29 iyulya 1998 g. N 134-FZ, ot 17 iyulya 1999 g. N 171-FZ, ot 10 iyulya 2000 g. N 93-FZ, ot 7 avgusta 2000 g. N 122-FZ, ot 30 maya 2001 g. N 66-FZ, ot 30 maya 2001 g. N 67-FZ, ot 28 dekabrya 2001 g. N 181-FZ, ot 25 iyulya 2002 g. N 116-FZ, ot 22 avgusta 2004 g. N 122-FZ, ot 29 dekabrya 2004 g. N 206-FZ) [Federal Law of May 19, 1995 No. 81-FZ «On State Benefits to Citizens with Children» (as amended by Federal Laws of November 24, 1995 No. 184-FZ, June 18, 1996 No. 76-FZ, November 24, 1996 No. 130-FZ, December 30, 1996 No. 162-FZ, July 21, 1998 No. 117-FZ, July 29, 1998 No. 134-FZ, July 17, 1999 No. 171-FZ, July 10, 2000 No. 93-FZ, August 7, 2000 No. 122-FZ of May 30, 2001 No. 66-FZ of May 30, 2001 No. 67-FZ of December 28, 2001 No. 181-FZ of July 25, 2002 No. 116- FZ of August 22, 2004 No. 122-FZ of December 29, 2004 No. 206-FZ)]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Ministerstva truda i sotsial’noy zashchity RF, available at: https://mintrud. gov.ru/docs/laws/77

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.124-127

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.4-5

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.196.2024.128-136

The article explores mechanisms for increasing resilience and sustainability of commercial organizations in conditions of growing instability of the external environment. Approaches to understanding viability, sustainability and adaptability of an organization are analyzed. The concept of managerial cross-section is introduced. Among the highlighted sections, the authors examine in more details the tools for studying a communication aspect. Advantages of subject-oriented management for designing communications in an organization are described, some risks of implementing the proposed strategy are identified. Relevance of the study is determined by parameters and trends of change in the modern market environment, which really necessitate to strengthen the dynamics of renewal and adaptation processes, since acceleration of technological innovation is not accompanied by adequate and comparable development of management models. Results obtained can be applied for theoretical research into the functioning of sociotechnical systems of different scales. Also, the proposed approach can be put into practice as part of the development of measures aimed at transforming the company’s business model or improving the efficiency of operational management.

References:

1. Lavrikova Yu.G., Buchinskaya O.N., Myslyakova Yu.G. Teoriya khaosa: rasshirenie granits ekonomicheskikh issledovaniy [Chaos Theory: Expanding the Frontiers of Economic Research]. AlterEconomics, 2023, vol. 20, no 1, pp. 79–109, DOI: 10.31063/AlterEconomics/2023.20-1.5

2. Abramov V.I., Churkin D.A. Otsenka urovnya zrelosti sistemy upravleniya vzaimootnosheniyami s klientami [Assessing the Maturity Level of a Customer Relationship Management System]. Vestnik universiteta, 2022, no 12, pp, 5–13.

3. Pratt M., Kakula S. Motivatsiya v kommercheskoy kompanii s ispol’zovaniem kommunikatsiy, osnovannykh na tekhnologiyakh: V kn.: Dingli A., Khaddod F. Iskusstvennyy intellekt v Industrii 4.0. Issledovaniya v oblasti vychislitel’nogo intellekta [Motivation in a Commercial Company Using Technology-based Communications: In: Dingli A., Haddod F. Artificial Intelligence in Industry 4.0. Research in Computational Intelligence]. Springer, 2021, vol. 928, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-61045-6_2 https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-61045-6_2

4. Abramov V.I., Abramov I.V., Polivanov K.V., Semenkov K.Yu. Kontseptual’naya mode’’ tsifrovoy sistemy analiticheskoy podderzhki distantsionnogo upravleniya personalom organizatsii [Conceptual Model of a Digital System of Analytical Support for Remote Management of an Organization’s Personnel]. Ekonomika, predprinimatel’stvo i pravo, 2023, vol. 13, vol. 7, pp. 2341–2352, DOI: 10.18334/epp.13.7.118326.

5. Romanova O.A., Sirotin D.V., Ponomareva A.O. Ot ekonomiki soprotivleniya — k rezil’entnoy ekonomike (na primere promyshlennogo regiona) [From the Economy of Resistance to the Resilient Economy (Using the Example of an Industrial Region)]. AlterEconomics, 2022, vol. 19, no 4, pp. 620–637, DOI: 10.31063/AlterEconomics/2022.19-4.4