DOI: 10.33917/es-4.202.2025.18-29

The crisis of organizational technologies in Russian science and technology, accumulated over the post-Soviet period, was clearly manifested in the SVO conditions. Unacceptably slow and unsystematic increase in the production of new high-tech defence products has raised the question of the cost at which we will be winning the future war with NATO or their European or Asian counterparts, imposed on us (si vis pacem, para bellum). It became clear that the key to future victory is in organizational solution of cognitive paradigms in the technical sphere.

References:

1. Ageev A.I. Rol’ sanktsiy, konfliktov i spetsoperatsiy: razmyshleniya o budushchem. Chast’ 2 [The Role of Sanctions, Conflicts and Special Operations: Reflections on the Future. Part 2]. Nauchnyy vestnik oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa Rossii, 2024, no 1, pp. 33–42.

2. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Spetsial’naya voennaya operatsiya kak strategicheskaya tekhnologiya vybora budushchego Rossii i mira [Special Military Operation as a Strategic Technology for Choosing the Future of Russia and the World]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol. 25, no 5(191), pp. 6–21, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-5.191.2023.6-21

3. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Strategicheskaya predopredelennost’ spetsial’nykh voennykh operatsiy v mirovoy supersisteme [Strategic Predetermination of Special Military Operations in the World Supersystem]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol. 25, no 4(190), pp. 6–19, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-4.190.2023.6-19

4. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Metody mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-tekhnicheskoy razvedki po otkrytym istochnikam [Methods of International Scientific-technical Reconnaissance based on Open Sources]. Mikroekonomika, 2025, no 1, pp. 14–17, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/mic-1.120.2025.14-17

5. Makarov V.L., Ageev A.I., Zelenskiy V.A., Loginov E.L. Sistemnye osnovy resheniya upravlencheskikh zadach vzaimodeystviya fundamental’noy i prikladnoy nauki s proizvodstvennym sektorom kak osnovnoy faktor novoy industrializatsii Rossii [System Foundations of solving Managerial Problems of Interaction Between Fundamental and Applied science and Manufacturing sector as the Main Factor of Russia’s New Industrialization]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2013, vol. 15, no 2(110), pp. 108–117.

6. Ageev A.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Makarov V.L., Loginov E.L., Khabriev B.R. Ekonomicheskiy fundament pobedy: strategicheskiy prognoz ustoychivosti ekonomiki Rossii v usloviyakh sanktsionnykh atak [Economic Foundation of Victory: a Strategic Forecast for the Russian Economy Stability in the Face of Sanctions]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol. 25, no 3(189), pp. 6–15, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.189.2023.6-15

7. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Opyt voenno-grazhdanskogo sliyaniya v SShA i Kitae: nuzhen novyy organizatsionno-strategicheskiy inzhiniring v rossiyskikh oboronnykh i grazhdanskikh otraslyakh [Experience of Military- civilian Merger in the USA and China: New Organizational and Strategic Engineering is Needed in the Russian Defence and Civilian Industries]. Mikroekonomika, 2024, no 4, pp. 5–17, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/mic-4.117.2024.5-17

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.201.2025.122-127

Research object of the present scientific article is the most significant, technologically advanced branch of industry, remaining within the framework of the Ministry of Industry and Trade of Russia, namely mechanical engineering. The purpose of this article is to analyze systematically the problem of providing impor t substitution, technological renewal and sustainable functioning of the most important industry, as well as to determine the main directions of its fur ther development in order to achieve technological sovereignty of the country in the context of a hybrid sanctions war declared by the United States and unfriendly countries. As a result of a comprehensive analysis, the authors deal with strategic problems and prospects for the development of mechanical engineering as a trend in the development of the industry and economy of the Russian Federation as a whole.

References:

1. Programma “Tsifrovaya ekonomika Rossiyskoy Federatsii” (utv. rasporyazheniem Pravitel’stva RF ot 28 iyunya 2017 g. N 1632-r [Digital Economy of the Russian Federation: Program. — Approved by the Order of the Government of the Russian Federation of June 28, 2017 No. 1632-r.], available at: http://static. government.ru/media/files/9gFM4FHj4PsB79I5v7yLVuPgu4bvR7 M0.pdf

2. Poslanie Prezidenta RF Federal’nomu sobraniyu RF ot 29 fevralya 2024 g. [Address of the President of the Russian Federation to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation dated February 29, 2024]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Prezidenta RF, available at: ht tp://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/50431

3. Peterburgskiy mezhdunarodnyy ekonomicheskiy forum. Sankt-Peterburg, 4–8 iyunya 2024 g. [St. Petersburg International Economic Forum. St. Petersburg, June 4–8, 2024.]. RIA Novosti, available at: ht tps://rio.ru/20240608/putin-2893212072.html

4. Prognoz sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na 2022 god i na planovyy period 2023 i 2024 godov [Forecast of Socio-economic Development of the Russian Federation for 2022 and for the Planning Period of 2023 and 2024], available at: https://www.economy.gov.ru/material/file/ d7f5f5dea44bda4c30d42aac04cc1fca/prognoz_socialno_ekonom_razvitiya_rf_2022-2024.pdf

5. Postanovlenie Pravitel’stva Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 15 iyunya 2023 g. N 988 “O vnesenii izmeneniy v postanovlenie Pravitel’stva Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 18 maya 2011 g. N 378” [Resolution of the Government of the Russian Federation of June 15, 2023 No. 988 “On Amendments to the Resolution of the Government of the Russian Federation of May 18, 2011 No. 378”]. Ofitsial’noe opublikovanie pravovykh aktov, available at: http://publication.pravo.gov.ru/ document/0001202306150033

6. Prognoz dolgosrochnogo sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2030 goda (utv. rasporyazheniem Pravitel’stva RF ot 6 oktyabrya 2021 g. N 2816-r) [Forecast of the Long-term Socio-economic Development of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2030]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Pravitel’stva RF, available at: http://government.ru/docs/12582

DOI: 10.33917/mic-1.120.2025.88-95

Presents a methodological basis for assessing financial risks, which includes a probabilistic assessment method with finding the variation coefficient, the Delphi method, Savage criteria and Hurwitz criteria, as well as an expert assessment method based on constructing a «decision tree», a financial risk map and scenario analysis. An assessment option is given using the example of the largest regional monopolist in the gas sector of industry.

References:

1. Financial Risk Management: textbook and practical training for universities / edited by I. P. Khominich. 3rd ed., revised and enlarged. Moscow: Yurait Publishing House, 2024. 582 p.

2. Akaeva V.R., Kuzmin M.S., Zhukovskaya I.V. Actual problems of digitalization of companies on the example of the industrial sector. Microeconomics. 2023;4(111):51-55.

3. Zhukovskaya I.V. Specifics of risk management of investment projects in industry. Economics and Management. 2010;2:53-56.

4. Analytical data of the electronic database system «Kontur-Fokus» and «SBIS».

DOI: 10.33917/mic-4.117.2024.5-17

In the United States and China, in conditions of preparing for a major war, there is an intensive restructuring of not only the armed forces, but also the industry that provides military needs. The key trend is the development and implementation of civil-military merger strategies. The Russian experience in conducting Special Military Operation, including an analysis of NATO’s problems with providing equipment and weapons to Russia’s real and potential military opponents and countering these processes by the Russian defence industry, has actualized the problem of developing a new approach to organizational and strategic engineering in the Russian defence and civil industries and scientific-technical sector.

References:

1. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Russia in the new economic reality. Moscow, INES, 2016. 460 p.

2. Ageev A.I. Dynamics and structure of global risks. Civil defense strategy: problems and research. 2013;3(2(5)):7–8.

3. Ageev A.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Makarov V.L., Loginov E.L., Khabriev B.R. Economic Foundation of Victory: a Strategic Forecast for the Russian Economy Stability in the Face of Sanctions. Economic strategies. 2023;25(3(189)):6–15. DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.189.2023.6-15

4. Ivanov S. US military innovation. Infrastructure and projects. Mirtesen, 2021, September 15. URL:  https://s30116489994.mirtesen.ru/blog/43322544035/Voennyie-innovatsii-SSHA-Infrastruktura-i-proektyi

5. Kokoshin A.A. Military reform in China in 2015–2020: defense and foreign policy aspects. Moscow, ISPI RAN, 2016. pp. 39.

6. Ageev A.I., Kapustyan S.G., Korobkin V.V. State and forecast expectations for the development of the global robotics market. Artificial Intelligence. Theory and Practice. 2023;3(3):50–58.

7. Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L., Chinaliev V.U., Epishkin I.I. Management of the development of complex scientific and technical complexes based on intelligent digital platforms (implementation of the competencies of the USSR State Committee for Science and Technology in the digital economy). Moscow, Institute of Economic Strategies, 2023. 504 p.

8. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L., Efremov D.N. The State committee for Scientific-Technical Policy: center of network concentration of Scientific-Technical Ties in Key Knowledge Areas for Integrated management in the Science and engineering field. Economic strategies. 2014;16(8(124)):12–21.

9. Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Management of research, power engineering and electric power companies as elements of an integrated industrial technological complex: Instrument making in the 21st century – 2020. Integration of science, education and production: Sat. materials of the XVI All-Russian Scientific and Technical Conference. Izhevsk: Izhevsk State Technical University named after M.T. Kalashnikov, 2020. pp. 16–21.

10. Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Formation of an integrated information environment for digital support of life cycle management processes of scientific and technical research and development in the Russian electric power industry: Modern information technologies. Theory and practice: Materials of the V All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference. Cherepovets: Cherepovets State University, 2020. pp. 32–35.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-3.116.2024.37-40

An analysis of methods for processing digital information and business analytics for civil aviation enterprises is presented using the example of “Data Science”.

References:

1. Gubanova A.V. Digital transformation as a tool for developing the competitiveness of industrial enterprises. Creative economy. 2020;6:17-18. (In Russ.).

2. Zhukovskaya I.V., Akaeva V.R., Kuzmin M.S. Current problems of digitalization of companies using the example of the industrial sector. Microeconomics. 2023;4:51-55. (In Russ.).

3. Ragimkhanov A.V. Systematization of scientific approaches to the study of competitiveness of services: from theory to practice. / A.V. Ragimkhanov, I.V. Zhukovskaya. Microeconomics. 2022;1:75-78. (In Russ.).

4. Official website of the Aeroflot company. URL: https://ir.aeroflot.ru/ru/company-overview/traffic-and-financial-highlights/

DOI: 10.33917/mic-4.111.2023.42-50

The anti-sanctions strategy can currently be part of the strategic planning of the Russian company’s activities, the essence of which consists of a set of measures aimed at changing behavior during downturns, a steady decline in financial performance, the threat of bankruptcy for the purpose of financial recovery. The article assesses the impact of the sanctions policy against the Russian Federation on industry in 2022, identifies the industries with the largest decline in the production index and internal factors contributing to pronounced crisis phenomena in these industries, lists the main negative manifestations of sanctions. The «problem field» faced by the manufacturer of equipment for the electric power industry has been investigated, the anti-sanction, anti-crisis measures taken and the difficulties that have arisen in the course of their implementation are listed. Possible ways of overcoming crisis phenomena are determined.

References: 

1. On industrial production in January-February 2023. Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat). URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/47_29-03-2023.html

2. On the situation in industry in April-May 2022. Comments on the state and business. HSE Development Center.  No. 424. May 20, 2022. pp. 1-13. URL: https://dcenter.hse.ru/mon/71896859/627261690.html

3. Afanasyev A.A. On the assessment of the impact of international sanctions on the functioning of domestic industry. Economic relations. 2022;12(2):179-194. (In Russ.).

4. Afontsev S.A. Politics and economics of trade wars. Journal of NEA. 2020;1 (45):193-198. (In Russ.).

5. Ahmadeev A.M. Iran’s experience in innovation of enterprises and economy under economic sanctions. 2022;4(42):107-114. (In Russ.).

6. Barkovsky A.N. Consequences of Western sanctions and retaliatory sanctions of the Russian Federation / A.N. Barkovsky, S.S. Alabyan, O.V. Morozenkova. Russian Foreign Economic Bulletin. 2015;9:3-7. (In Russ.).

7. Vorobyova E.I. The impact of sanctions on the economy and social sphere of the state: historical aspect and modern realities. Scientific Bulletin: finance, banks, investments. 2019;3(48):134-140. (In Russ.).

8. Zvonova E.A. Preservation of the international competitiveness of the national economy of the country subject to economic sanctions (Iran’s experience). Economy. Taxes. Right. 2017;2:30-37. (In Russ.).

9. Zolotareva V.P. Formation of the «economy of resistance» in Russia: historical experience and modern realities. Law, Economics and Management: Theory and Practice: Collection of materials of the II All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference, Cheboksary, May 12, 2022.  Cheboksary: Limited Liability Company «Publishing House “Wednesday”», 2022. pp. 31-35.

10. Karlova N., Morozov A., Puzanova E. Import restrictions restrain exports: results of a survey of enterprises: Analytical note. Department of Research and Forecasting of the Bank of Russia, 2023. URL: https://cbr.ru/Content/Document/File/144420/analytic_note_20230130_dip.pdf

DOI: 10.33917/mic-1.96.2021.11-21

The article evaluates the current state of scientific and technical development of the Russian industry, identifies trends in its improvement. The dynamics of changes is shown in the structure of organizations engaged in research and development work, both by type of organization and by industry of their activity. As a negative phenomenon to be noted, that the role of the Russian Academy of Sciences has been reduced in determining the prospects for the development of science and technology. The dynamics of changes in the main indicators of innovation activity for the period 2010-2018 is analyzed.

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.164.2019.78-89

The purpose of the study is to assess the dynamics of the manufacturing industries in Russia. According to the “structural formula”, the contribution of innovations in various types of activities to the overall dynamics of innovations in manufacturing industries is assessed, which makes it possible to identify the dominant innovations in economic sectors. This approach is useful in order to differentiate the methods of industrial (sectoral) policy, including national projects as an institutional tool for managing the development of the Russian economy, since it identifies those areas that require special incentives for the innovation process. The structure of innovation is heterogeneous, the contribution by different types of activity varies significantly, which indicates the instability of the process of innovative development. Two strategies are considered for the functioning of processing industries: the export of machinery and the substitution of machinery imports. It is shown that these strategies can not be reduced to one another, except for special cases and suggest different possibilities. The parameter of structural independence for the Russian engineering industry has steadily decreased and its dynamics has been stabilized at low values, as shown by the method of phase portraits of the change in this indicator. This suggests that the domestic economy and engineering remain highly dependent on imports of machinery, equipment and technology, and leads to the conclusion that the import substitution policy is not, firstly, sufficient, and secondly, structural internal changes are required in the economy, so that import substitution and the development of export manufacturing industries give a positive systemic result. On the basis of quantitative assessments, a fundamental conclusion was obtained that the import substitution policy itself will certainly not have a high performance (locally limited effect), which it could potentially have when the internal flow of resources changes towards the processing sectors

The article proves that industrial enterprises develop most quickly and qualitatively in the presence of modern infrastructure, contributing to reduce time and labor costs. In turn, it is inexpedient to build infrastructure facilities on territories where there are no large industrial companies and their functioning is not expected. Actual examples of interdependent development of industry and the infrastructure sector are given (on the example of the transport sector) and a demonstrative correlation-regression model is constructed.

The regular meeting of the Bogomolov Club, held on February 27, 2017 in the RAS Institute for Economic Strategies was dedicated to discussing the issues of structural and investment policy aimed at sustainable growth and modernization of the economy.