DOI: 10.33917/es-5.203.2025.6-19

The article examines the problems of transforming the system for economic management of the Russian Federation, which could make it function in conditions of hybrid risks and critical threats. A set of measures for transforming management systems is structured, a number of functional stages is identified. The article substantiates the need to develop both general management and specific technical measures aimed at ensuring that the controlled contour of the system of state and corporate management centers within the resource supply infrastructure should be prepared for these types of risks and threats. The author concludes that the most appropriate management tool is adoption of a digital “twin” model of an economic entity (organizational agent). Obtained results will enable authorities to address organizational challenges in the event of the “drop-out of control centers at various levels” in order to operate with industry (regional) control centers and to work in a dialogue mode with structures of the Russian Federation Government and infrastructure organizations.

References:

1. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. SShA, Kitay, Rossiya: konfliktnye uyazvimosti v usloviyakh tranzita k novoy geostrategicheskoy paradigm [USA, China, Russia: Conflict Vulnerabilities in the Context of Transition to a New Geostrategic Paradigm]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2024, vol. 26, no 6(198), pp. 16–25, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.198.2024.16-25

2. Ageev A.I., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Ustoychivost’ ekonomicheskoy supersistemy Rossii i Belorussii v usloviyakh yadernoy ataki [Stability of the Economic Supersystem of Russia and Belarus in the Event of a Nuclear Attack]. Mikroekonomika, 2025, no 2, pp. 5–13. DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025. 5-13.

3. Perevooruzhenie Evropy [Rearmament of Europe]. Livejournal, 2025, 7 marta, available at: https://spydell.livejournal.com/802118.html

4. Pavel Shpidel’: Raskhody federal’nogo byudzheta Rossii [Expenditures of the Federal Budget of Russia]. Dzen, 2024, 1 oktyabrya, available at: https://dzen.ru/a/ZvwlBD2apwzl2Nap

5. Byudzhet Rossii [Budget of Russia]. TADVISER, 2025, 22 yanvarya, available at: https://www.tadviser.ru/index.php/Статья:Бюджет_России

6. Kak izmenyatsya gosudarstvennye raskhody v Rossii v 2025? [How will Government Spending Change in Russia in 2025?]. Livejournal, 2024, 3 oktyabrya, available at: https://spydell.livejournal.com/789883.html

7. Baza dannykh voennykh raskhodov SIPRI [SIPRI Military Expenditure Database]. SIPRI. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, available at: https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex

8. Dinamika oboronnykh raskhodov Rossii [Dynamics of Russia’s Defense Expenditures], available at: https://yandex.ru/images/

9. Ivanter V.V., Budanov I.A., Korovkin A.G., Sutyagin V.S. Prikladnoe prognozirovanie natsional’noy ekonomiki: Ucheb. posobie dlya vuzov. Gl. 29. Voenno-promyshlennyy kompleks [Applied Forecasting of the National Economy: Textbook for Universities. Chapter 29. Military-Industrial Complex]. Moscow, Ekonomist, 2007, 896 p. P. 711–736, available at: https://ecfor.ru/wp-content/uploads/books/uch/29.pdf

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.201.2025.86-91

In the modern world, fundamentally new qualities have emerged. Without taking them into account, it is impossible to discuss seriously the prospects of technological innovations or socio-economic development problems. An adequate analytical apparatus is needed for analysis and management in the new reality (the so-called rapid development economy). It should be based on very simple models related to the nature of key innovations in the modern world economy and effective for wide application. The article shows that due to mass technologies of different nature, there is a tendency to form a mechanism providing optimization of the economic development process. Its effect reduces the impact of the key constraint on the economy of rapid development that occurs with increasing integration and the pace of change. This determines specific models of the rapid development economy and changes in the analytical apparatus of decision-making management. Key models for building strategies of the rapid development economy are proposed and examples of their application are reviewed.

References:

1. Firstov Yu.P., Nekhoroshkin N.I., Pakhomov S.V. Osobennosti strategiy tsifrovoy ekonomiki (ekonomiki bystrogo razvitiya). Chast’ 1 [Features of Digital Economy Strategies (Rapid Development Economy). Part 1]. Segodnya i zavtra rossiyskoy ekonomiki, 2019, pp. 82–93.

2. Glaz’ev S.Yu. Ryvok v budushchee. Rossiya v novykh mirokhozyaystvennom i tekhnologicheskom ukladakh. (Kollektsiya Izborskogo kluba) [A Leap into the Future. Russia in the New World Economic and Technological Orders. (Izborsk Club Collection)]. Moscow, Knizhnyy mir, 2018, 768 p.

3. Shvab K. Chetvertaya promyshlennaya revolyutsiya [Top Business Awards]. Moscow, Eksmo, 2016, 110 p.

4. Khazin M.L. Vospominaniya o budushchem. Idei sovremennoy ekonomiki [Memories of the Future. Ideas of Modern Economy]. Moscow, Pal’mira, 2019,

463 p.

5. Diasoft [Website], available at: https://www.diasoft.ru/

6. Neoeconomika [Website], available at: https://www neoeconomika.ru

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.128-137

The authors explain the basic functioning mechanisms of the previously presented model of “cooperative economy”, its applicability and competitiveness in comparison with current economic models.

References: 

1. Federal’nyy zakon ot 19 iyunya 1992 g. N 3085-1 “O potrebitel’skoy kooperatsii (potrebitel’skikh obshchestvakh, ikh soyuzakh) v Rossiyskoy Federatsii” [Federal Law of June 19, 1992 No. 3085-1 “On Consumer Cooperation (Consumer Societies, their Unions) in the Russian Federation”]. Konsul’tantPlyus, available at: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_608/

2. D’yachenko K.P., D’yachenko V.P. Potrebitel’skaya kooperatsiya v gorodskoy sotsial’noy sfere, torgovle i proizvodstve [Consumer Cooperation in the Urban Social Sphere, Trade and Production]. Moscow, Izd-vo Parlamentskogo tsentra “Kooperatsiya i sotsial’nyy progress”, 2012.

3. Grazhdanskiy kodeks Rossiyskoy Federatsii [Civil Code of the Russian Federation]. Konsul’tantPlyus, available at: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_5142/

4. Zverev A.G. Zapiski ministra [Notes of the Minister]. Moscow, Politizdat, 1973, 270 p.

5. Smurov I.I., Davletbaev R.Kh. Kooperativnaya (moral’naya) ekonomika [Cooperative (Moral) Economy]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, no 6(192), pp. 120–133, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.192.2023.120-133

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.110-117

The object of the study is transnational organized crime in Latin America and the Caribbean, and the subject is socio-economic factors that affect regional security. Today, Latin America and the Caribbean is one of the “hottest” regions in terms of organized crime and drug trafficking. Violence is considered to be a consequence of transnational organized crime, the methods and scale of which are increasing every year. In the article, the authors examine the features of transnational organized crime, which is becoming the core of the most acute challenges in this part of the world, also analyze the main socio-economic factors that affect the level of regional security. The authors conclude that the most destabilizing effects are exerted by such factors as social inequality, corruption, weakness of law enforcement institutions, money laundering, false urbanization and a developed shadow sector of the economy.

References: 

1. Trends in world military expenditure, 2023. SIPRI Fact Sheet, April 2024, available at: https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2024-04/2404_fs_milex_2023.pdf

2. Pyatakov A.N. Transnatsional’naya organizovannaya prestupnost’ v stranakh Latinskoy Ameriki: sovremennye tendentsii razvitiya i voenno-silovye sposoby protivodeystviya [Transnational Organized Crime in Latin American Countries: Modern Development Trends and Military-force Methods of Counteraction]. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta, Seriya 25: Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya i mirovaya politika, 2023, vol. 15, no 2, pp. 65–93.

3. Violent Crime and Insecurity in Latin America and the Caribbean: a macroeconomic perspective. International Monetary Fund, October 2024, available at:https://www.researchgate.net/publication/385720836_Violent_Crime_and_Insecurity_in_Latin_America_and_the_Caribbean—A_Macroeconomic_Perspective

4. Global Study on Homicide 2023. UNDOC, available at: https://www.unodc.org/documents/data-and-analysis/gsh/2023/Global_study_on_homicide_2023_web.pdf

5. Violent Crime and Insecurity in Latin America and the Caribbean: a macroeconomic perspective. International Monetary Fund, October 2024, available at:https://www.researchgate.net/publication/385720836_Violent_Crime_and_Insecurity_in_Latin_America_and_the_Caribbean—A_Macroeconomic_Perspective

6. World Justice Project Rule of Law Index 2024, available at: https://worldjusticeproject.org/rule-of-law-index/global/2024

7. Human Development Report 2023/2024: breaking the gridlock. UNDP, available at: https://www.undp.org/latin-america/press-releases/human-developmentlatin-america-and-caribbean-improves-more-other-regions-fails-recover-pre-pandemic-levels-reveals-undp

8. Global Economic Prospects 2024. World Bank, June 2024, available at: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/d644659c-2e22-410e-98a5-b8a40dc6c183/content

9. Godovoy otchet 2024 [Annual Report 2024]. Gruppa Vsemirnogo banka, available at: https://www.vsemirnyjbank.org/ru/about/annual-report#anchor-annual

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.62-69

The article examines key features of the economic activity of the Russian military-industrial complex (MIC). At the same time, it is substantiated that terms and concepts used in modern economic theory to characterize the activities of the defence industrial enterprises do not fully reflect the essence of the economic processes taking place in the MIC.

References: 

1. Shcheglov D.K., Pilikov N.A., Timofeev V.I. Kontseptual’nye osnovy tsifrovoy transformatsii organizatsiy oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa [Conceptual Foundations of Digital Transformation of Defense Industry Organizations]. Avtomatizatsiya v promyshlennosti, 2021, no 2, pp. 13–23.

2. Plotnikov V.A., Kharlamov A.V. Rossiyskiy oboronno-promyshlennyy kompleks kak faktor obespecheniya natsional’noy bezopasnosti i ustoychivogo sotsial’noekonomicheskogo razvitiya [The Russian Military-industrial Complex as a Factor in Ensuring National Security and Sustainable Socio-economic Development]. Ekonomika i upravlenie, 2017, no 11, pp. 53–60.

3. Shapoval E.V., Shelest M.V. Oboronno-promyshlennyy kompleks v sovremennoy ekonomike Rossii [The Military-industrial Complex in the Modern Economy of Russia]. Vestnik Gosudarstvennogo universiteta upravleniya, 2015, no 1, pp. 116–122.

4. Ovchinnikova A.V., Matveev V.V. Razvitie oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa Rossii i obespechenie konkurentosposobnosti natsional’noy ekonomiki [Development of the Russian Military-industrial Complex and Ensuring the Competitiveness of the National Economy]. Vestnik Yuzhno-Ural’skogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, Seriya: Ekonomika i menedzhment, 2021, no 15(2), pp. 99–105.

5. Kazantsev S.V. Znachenie oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa dlya pod”ema rossiyskoy ekonomiki [The Importance of the Military-Industrial Complex for the Boom of the Russian Economy]. Finansovyy zhurnal, 2014, no 1, pp. 45–52.

6. Shcherbakov G.V. Tochki Laffera, zona fiskal’nykh protivorechiy i stepen’ soglasiya nalogoplatel’shchikov [Laffer Points, the Zone of Fiscal Contradictions and the Degree of Taxpayer Agreement]. Vestnik Rossiyskogo universiteta druzhby narodov, Seriya: Ekonomika, 2019, no 27(1), pp. 49–62.

7. Polozhikhina M.A. Evolyutsiya obshchestva potrebleniya: ot Zhaklin Kennedi do Grety Tunberg [The Evolution of Consumer Society: From Jacqueline Kennedy to Greta Thunberg]. Sotsial’nye novatsii i sotsial’nye nauki, 2020, no 2(2), pp. 7–36.

8. Byatets I.V. Vliyanie riska na pribyl’ predpriyatiya [The Impact of Risk on Enterprise Profits]. Vestnik Udmurtskogo universiteta, Seriya: Ekonomika i pravo, 2011, no 1, pp. 28–30.

9. Eroshin S.E. Parametricheskiy monitoring predpriyatiy oboronno-promyshlennykh ob”edineniy: Avtoref. dis…. d-ra ekon. nauk: 5.2.3 [Parametric Monitoring of Enterprises of Defense-industrial Associations: Abstract of dis…. Doctor of Economics: 5.2.3]. Moskovskiy gosudarstvennyy universitet. Moscow, 2023, 49 p.

10. Shcheglov D.K., Saybel’ A.G. Formalizovannyy podkhod k prognozirovaniyu srokov i stoimosti razrabotki voenno-tekhnicheskikh system [A Formalized Approach to Forecasting the Timing and Cost of Developing Military-technical Systems]. Oboronnyy kompleks — nauchno-tekhnicheskomu progressu Rossii, 2022, no 3(155), pp. 33–44.

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.197.2024.96-105

The authors have examined historical, social and economic foundations of the previously presented model of a cooperative economy, presented arguments in favour of a cooperative economy as civilizationally organic economic model for Russia.

References:

1. Pereslegin S.B. Tsivilizatsii v lyudyakh i kodakh [Civilizations in People and Codes]. Izborskiy klub, 2021, 17 fevralya, available at: https://izborsk-club.ru/20672

2. Toshchenko Zh.T. Prekariat. Ot protoklassa k novomu klassu [Precariat: From Protoclass to New Class]. Institut sotsiologii FNISTs RAN, RGGU, Moscow, Nauka, 2018, 346 p.

3. Stending G. Prekariat: novyy opasnyy klass [The Precariat: A New Dangerous Class]. Moscow, Ad Marginem Press, 2011.

4. Galushka A.S., Niyazmetov A.K., Okulov M.O. Kristall rosta. K russkomu ekonomicheskomu chudu [Crystal of Growth. Towards the Russian Economic Miracle]. Moscow, 2021.

5. Spitsyn E.Yu. Khrushchevskaya slyakot’. Sovetskaya derzhava v 1953–1964 gody [Khrushchev’s Slush. The Soviet State in 1953-1964]. Kontseptual, 2019.

6. Rezolyutsiya XX s”ezda KPSS. 24 fevralya 1956 g. Po otchetnomu dokladu TsK KPSS [Resolution of the 20th Congress of the CPSU. February 24, 1956. According to the Report of the Central Committee of the CPSU]. Elektronnaya biblioteka istoricheskikh dokumentov, available at: https://docs.historyrussia.org/ru/nodes/355234- rezolyutsiya-xx-sezda-kpss-24-fevralya-1956-g-po-otchetnomu-dokladu-tsentralnogo-komiteta-kpss-izvlechenie

7. Konstitutsiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii [Constitution of the Russian Federation]. Ofitsial’nyy internet-portal pravovoy informatsii. St. 7, p. 1, available at: http://pravo.gov.ru/proxy/ips/?docbody=&nd=102027595

8. Grazhdanskiy kodeks Rossiyskoy Federatsii [Civil Code of the Russian Federation]. Konsul’tant. St. 1, available at: https://www.consultant.ru/ document/cons_doc_LAW_5142/

9. Marks K. Kapital [Capital]. Internet archive, vol. 3, part 1, available at: https://archive.org/details/1951-iiiKarl_Marx_1951_Kapital_Tom_3

10. Galimova L.N. Osobennosti mentaliteta kuptsa-staroobryadtsa [Peculiarities of the Mentality of the Old Believer Merchant]. Izvestiya vysshikh uchebnykh zavedeniy. Povolzhskiy region. Gumanitarnye nauki, 2011, no 3(19), pp. 26–33.

11. Uest Dzh.L. Staroobryadtsy i predprinimatel’skaya kul’tura v tsarskoy Rossii: Istoricheskie khroniki [Old Believers and Entrepreneurial Culture in Tsarist Russia: Historical Chronicles]. Cyberleninka, available at: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/staroobryadtsy-i-predprinimatelskaya-kultura-vtsarskoy-rossii

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.195.2024.16-27

Chronicles of the trade and economic war (sanctions, restrictions, etc., in fact, attempts to organize an economic, scientific and technical blockade) of the conventionally united West against Russia after 2014 in general and after the beginning of the Limited Military Operation in particular clearly demonstrate that Atlantic opponents didn’t manage to defeat us economically. They don’t understand why that happened… Russia, to the whole world’s surprise, is successfully realizing its economic potential, monetizing it into stability of the political regime and building up a victorious defence potential. What’s the cause of such macroeconomic stability (national strength) of Russia?

References:

1. Isard W. Interregional and Regional Input-Output Analysis: A Model of a Space Economy. Review of Economics and Statistics, 1951, vol. 33, pp. 318–328.

2. Leontief W., Strout A. Multiregional Input-Output Analysis. Structural Interdependence and Economic Development (ed. T. Barna). London, Macmillan (St. Martin’s Press), 1963, pp. 119–149.

3. Koopman R., Wang Z., Wei Shang-Jin. Tracing Value-Added and Double Counting in Gross Exports. NBER Working Paper no 18579, Cambridge, National Bureau of Economic Research, 2012.

4. Makarov V.L., Bakhtizin A.R., Sushko E.D. Natsional’naya strategicheskaya sila stran, mezhdunarodnaya torgovlya i ekonomicheskaya uspeshnost’ stran v nestabil’nom mire [National Strategic Power of Countries, International Trade and Economic Success of Countries in the unstable World]. Strategirovanie: teoriya i praktika, 2023, vol. 3, no 3(9), pp. 277–297.

5. Ageev A.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Makarov V.L., Loginov E.L., Khabriev B.R. Ekonomicheskiy fundament pobedy: strategicheskiy prognoz ustoychivosti ekonomiki Rossii v

usloviyakh sanktsionnykh atak [Economic Foundation of Victory: a Strategic Forecast for the Russian Economy Stability in the Face of Sanctions]. Ekonomicheskie strategii,

2023, vol. 25, no 3(189), pp. 6–15, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.189.2023.6-15

6. Makarov V.L., Il’in N.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Khabriev B.R. Natsional’naya sila stran mira: otsenka i prognoz [National Strength of the Countries in the World: Evaluation and Forecast]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2022, vol. 24, no 6(186), pp. 38–51, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.186.2022.38-51

7. Makarov V.L., Bakhtizin A.R., Loginov E.L. Primenenie ekonomiko-matematicheskikh metodov i modeley optimal’nogo planirovaniya v tsifrovoy ekonomike budushchego (TsEMI AN SSSR i TsEMI RAN: prognosticheskaya interpretatsiya i razvitie nauchnogo naslediya nobelevskikh laureatov L.V. Kantorovicha i V.V. Leont’eva) [Application of Economic-mathematical Methods and Optimal Planning Models in the Digital Economy of the Future (CEMI AS USSR and CEMI RAS: Predictive

Interpretation and Development of the Scientific Heritage of Nobel Laureates L.V. Kantorovich and V.V. Leontief)]. Moscow, Tsentral’nyy ekonomiko-matematicheskiy

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.194.2024.16-23

The authors propose a vector for developing BRICS as an operator of an intercountry digital platform complex (IDPC), within the framework of which international economic transactions are accelerated, simplified and cheapened. Simplification and acceleration occur due to the fact that the documents, required for transaction, are prepared by ICPC algorithms in accordance with the current legislation of the countries and international standards. Cost reduction is achieved by reducing transaction costs, international multilateral clearing, optimizing logistics costs, introducing an internal electronic platform currency for mutual settlements, etc. In this case BRICS, receiving a commission of about 0.5% from each transaction, becomes independent of the budgets of participating countries and a self-sustaining international organization with significant influence in the field of international economic cooperation, including performing the international arbitration functions.

References:

1. Oleskin A.V. Setevoe obshchestvo: ego neobkhodimost’ i vozmozhnye strategii postroeniya [Network Society: Its Necessity and Possible Strategies for its Construction]. Moscow, URSS, 2016.

2. Budanov V.G. Metafizika, ontologii i stsenarii bol’shogo antropologicheskogo perekhoda: Nauka i fenomen cheloveka v epokhu tsivilizatsionnogo Makrosdviga [Metaphysics, Ontologies and Scenarios of the Great Anthropological Transition: Science and Phenomenon of a Man in the Era of Civilizational Macroshift]. Moscow, Institut obshchegumanitarnykh issledovaniy, 2023, 748 p.

3. Oleskin A.V. Detsentralizovannaya setevaya organizatsiya nauchnogo soobshchestva. Perspektivy i problem [Decentralized Network Organization of the Scientific Community. Prospects and Challenges]. Moscow, URSS, 2021.

4. Shokhov A.S. Rol’ Rossii v konstruirovanii mirovoy ekonomiki XXI veka: The New World Economy [Russia’s Role in Designing the World Economy of the 21st Century: The New World Economy]. Artificial societies. 2023. Vol. 18. Iss. 3. URL: https://artsoc.jes.su/s207751800026948-1-1

DOI: 10.33917/es-6.192.2023.120-133

The authors examine the reasons, prerequisites and ways of addressing such problem as the creation in Russia of a cooperative (moral/ethical) economy sector based on the principles of justice, equal opportunities and conservative ethical standards.

References:

1. Toshchenko Zh.T. Prekariat. Ot protoklassa k novomu klassu [Precariat. From Protoclass to New Class]. Institut sotsiologii FNISTs RAN, RGGU. Moscow, Nauka, 2018, 346 p.

2. Tezaurus sotsiologii: temat. slov.-sprav. [Thesaurus of Sociology: Thematic Dictionary-Reference Book]. Pod red. Zh.T. Toshchenko. Moscow, YuNITI, 2009, 487 p. (Seriya “Cogito ergo sum”.)

3. Ushli v minus: skol’ko rossiiskii biznes poteryal v krizis. Po dannym upolnomochennogo po zashchite prav predprinimatelei Borisa Titova [They Went into the Red: How Much Russian Business Lost During the Crisis. According to the Commissioner for the Protection of the Rights of Entrepreneurs Boris Titov]. SBER Biznes, available at: https://www.sberbank.ru/ru/s_m_business/pro_business/poteri-rossijskogo-biznesa-ot-koronavirusa/

4. Doklad Prezidentu RF — 2021 upolnomochennogo pri Prezidente RF po zashchite prav predprinimatelei Borisa Titova [Report to the President of the Russian Federation — 2021 by the Commissioner under the President of the Russian Federation for the Protection of the Rights of Entrepreneurs Boris Titov], available at:

http://doklad.ombudsmanbiz.ru/doklad_2021.html

5. Katasonov V.Yu. O pravoslavnykh bankovskikh utopiyakh [About Orthodox Banking Utopias]. Omiliya, 2015, 4 yanvarya, available at: https://omiliya.org/article/o-pravoslavnykh-bankovskikh-utopiyakh-valentin-katasonov?ysclid=llc2vf7phn421883288

6. Zhuravlev A.Yu. Islamskii banking [Islamic Banking]. Institut vostokovedeniya RAN. Moscow, Sadra, 2017. (Ekonomika i pravo.)

7. Analiz razmera i doli islamskogo finansovogo rynka: Tendentsii rosta, vozdeistvie COVID-19 i prognozy (2023–2028) [Islamic Financial Market Size and Share Analysis: Growth Trends, COVID-19 Impact and Forecasts (2023–2028)]. Mordor Intelligence, available at: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/

ru/industry-reports/global-islamic-finance-market

8. Mezhdunarodnyi kooperativnyi al’yans [Website], available at: https://www.ica.coop/en/cooperatives/cooperative-identity

9. Katasonov V.Yu. Ekonomicheskaya teoriya slavyanofilov i sovremennaya Rossiya. “Bumazhnyi rubl’” S. Sharapova [Economic Theory of the Slavophiles and Modern Russia. “Paper Ruble” by S. Sharapov]. Moscow, Institut russkoi tsivilizatsii, 2014, 656 p.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-5.185.2022.138-145

Assessing feasibility and possible consequences of integrated energy consumption regulation requires the creation of hybrid model complexes that combine climate modeling, energy modelling and economic modeling as well as investment in the development of certain technologies and areas. These model complexes allow to build various long-term development scenarios for the world and individual regions and countries, to assess the impact of introduced policies and regulation methods on all stakeholders and on the economy and public welfare in general. The paper describes the basic approaches to modeling and also considers in detail the European set of models and the main results that it provides at the output. Taking into account this foreign experience in developing assessments of the economic consequences of climate change and decarbonization, according to the author, will be useful for Russia.

References:

1. Parizhskoe soglashenie [Paris Agreement]. Organizatsiya Ob”edinennykh Natsii, available at: https://www.un.org/ru/climatechange/paris-agreement.

2. Energoperekhod i riski dlya Rossii [Energy Transition and Risks for Russia]. Neftegazovaya vertikal’, 2021, 13 marta, available at: http://www.ngv.ru/magazines/article/energoperekhod-i-riski-dlya-rossii/

3. Boiko A.N. Gosudarstvennaya korporatsiya “Rosatom”: unikal’naya forma vnutrisistemnogo upravleniya i khozyaistvovaniya [“Rosatom” State Corporation: a Unique Form of Intra-System Control and Management]. Menedzhment i biznes-administrirovanie, 2020, no 4, pp. 25–36.

4. Kpasyukova N.L. Otsenka innovatsionnoi sostavlyayushchei chelovecheskogo kapitala Nizhegorodskoi oblasti [Evaluating the Innovation Component of the Human Capital of the Nizhny Novgorod Region]. Samoupravlenie, 2021, no 4(126), pp. 420–427.

5. Britz W., Ittersum М., van, Lansink A.O., Heckelei T. Tools for integrated assessment in agriculture. State of the art and challenges. Bio-based and Applied Economics, 2012, N 1(2), pp. 125–150, available at: DOI: https://doi.org/10.13128/BAE-11232.

6. Jansson T., Britz W. Sequential calibration of economic simulation models, the cases of CAPRI and a CAPRI-GTAP link. Paper presented at the Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Bangkok, Thailand, June 9–11, 2010, available at: https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/resources/download/4991.pdf.

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