Energy and Climate Change: Modeling the Relationship

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-5.185.2022.138-145

Assessing feasibility and possible consequences of integrated energy consumption regulation requires the creation of hybrid model complexes that combine climate modeling, energy modelling and economic modeling as well as investment in the development of certain technologies and areas. These model complexes allow to build various long-term development scenarios for the world and individual regions and countries, to assess the impact of introduced policies and regulation methods on all stakeholders and on the economy and public welfare in general. The paper describes the basic approaches to modeling and also considers in detail the European set of models and the main results that it provides at the output. Taking into account this foreign experience in developing assessments of the economic consequences of climate change and decarbonization, according to the author, will be useful for Russia.

References:

 

1. Parizhskoe soglashenie [Paris Agreement]. Organizatsiya Ob”edinennykh Natsii, available at: https://www.un.org/ru/climatechange/paris-agreement.

2. Energoperekhod i riski dlya Rossii [Energy Transition and Risks for Russia]. Neftegazovaya vertikal’, 2021, 13 marta, available at: http://www.ngv.ru/magazines/article/energoperekhod-i-riski-dlya-rossii/

3. Boiko A.N. Gosudarstvennaya korporatsiya “Rosatom”: unikal’naya forma vnutrisistemnogo upravleniya i khozyaistvovaniya [“Rosatom” State Corporation: a Unique Form of Intra-System Control and Management]. Menedzhment i biznes-administrirovanie, 2020, no 4, pp. 25–36.

4. Kpasyukova N.L. Otsenka innovatsionnoi sostavlyayushchei chelovecheskogo kapitala Nizhegorodskoi oblasti [Evaluating the Innovation Component of the Human Capital of the Nizhny Novgorod Region]. Samoupravlenie, 2021, no 4(126), pp. 420–427.

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6. Jansson T., Britz W. Sequential calibration of economic simulation models, the cases of CAPRI and a CAPRI-GTAP link. Paper presented at the Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Bangkok, Thailand, June 9–11, 2010, available at: https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/resources/download/4991.pdf.

7. Jacoby H.D., Sch fer A. Experiments with a hybrid CGE-MARKAL model. Energy Journal, 2006, N 27, pp. 171–178.

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9. Weitzel M., Vandyck T., Keramidas K., et a1. Model-based assessments for long-term climate strategies. Nat. Clim. Chang., 2019, N 9, pp. 345-347, available at: DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-0l9-0453-5.

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Use of economic security tools in public institutions

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.103.2022.91-97

Economic security is a complex system, since it includes all aspects of management aimed at preventing crises and bankruptcies, as well as other negative phenomena that affect the stability of the state of any economic entity. At the same time, a significant role of economic security belongs to state institutions, which, like commercial ones, conduct their activities in the conditions of instability of the external environment. The article provides a comprehensive analysis of the features of economic security in state institutions, examines the tools that ensure it, identifies the areas of security and their impact on the functioning of modern state institutions. It is concluded that public institutions need to effectively build the system under consideration, which includes personnel, financial, resource and information components.

References:

1. Federal Law «On Security» dated December 28, 2010 N 390-FZ (last edition). URL: http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_108546/

2. Kuznetsova E.I. Economic security: textbook and workshop for universities / M.: Yurayt Publishing House, 2018. 294 p. (In Russ.).

3. Sergeev A.A. Economic security of the enterprise. Moscow: Yurait Publishing House, 2019. 273 p. (In Russ.).

4. Bezverkhova E.N. Economic security of the enterprise: essence and factors [Electronic resource] / E.N. Bezverkhova, I.N. Guba, A.K. Kovaleva // Scientific journal of KubSAU. 2018;104(08). URL: https://kubsau.ru

5. Bogomolov V.A. Economic security / V.A. Bogomolov. – 2nd ed., revised. and additional M.: UNITI-DANA, 2018. 188 p. (In Russ.).

6. Goncharenko L.P. Economic security: textbook. allowance / L.V. Goncharenko, F.V. Akulina. – 2nd ed., revised. and additional M.: Yurait Publishing House, 2018. 340 p. (In Russ.).

7. Zhilov A.P. Features of the formation of a system for ensuring economic security in commercial enterprises // Scientific journal «Socio-economic phenomena and processes». 2018;4(060):63-68. (In Russ.).

8. Mantusov V.B. Economic security: textbook / V.B. Mantusov N.D. Eriashvili. 4th ed., revised. and additional M.: Yurait Publishing House, 2017. 567 p. (In Russ.).

9. Stepichnaya O.A. The main function and threats to the economic security of the enterprise / O.A. Stepichnaya, V.V. Chernova, M.A. Kolesnikova // Scientific journal «Socio-economic phenomena and processes». 2017;9(011):113-125. (In Russ.).

Technological Development of the Economy: “Creative Destruction” and Combinatorial Effect

#1. Event Horison
Technological Development of the Economy: “Creative Destruction” and Combinatorial Effect

A strong determinant of modern economic growth from the standpoint of evolutionary economy are new combinations that are considered to be the main generator of technological and institutional changes. However, review and description of economic development on the basis of the principle of “creative destruction” is not satisfactory, since it does not take into account the effects of technologies combination with obtaining a new quality of the economic system in terms of its technological level, affecting the work of specific institutions. Taxonomic approach to describing economic and technological evolution becomes unconvincing, at least insufficient for forming well-founded variants of economic policy of growth and decision-making on managing technological changes. The examples show the influence of the “combinatorial buildup” principle within the observed technological changes, as well as the need to use this principle at the level of both theoretical description of the problem of economic growth and formation of a scientific-technological policy of growth for developed and developing countries.