Author page: Sergey Pobyvaev

Comparison of Methodologies for Strategic Forecasting and Planning of Economic Development in Developed Countries and Russia

DOI: 10.33917/es-7.173.2020.24-31

The authors considered the organization of strategic planning and forecasting of five countries that are among the world’s economic leaders — USA, Great Britain, Germany, France, Japan and Russia. The main features of the organization of the process of strategic planning and strategic forecasting in these countries are revealed, and a brief description of the organizational paradigms in the area under consideration is given. The purpose of the article is to determine the possibilities of borrowing in the field of methodology of strategic planning and forecasting. While there are no borrowing problems in the field of technical forecasting methods, there are a number of obstacles in the organizational field, determined by various factors. The authors identified nine such factors, and concluded that the prospects for the development of strategic planning and forecasting in Russia lie outside the directly specified area

Uncertainties in Pandemic Assessment. Chronicles of Appraisal Business

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.170.2020.72-79

Methodology for studying the strategic potential of Russian appraisal companies is based on applying the “Strategic Matrix of the Company” software package, the algorithm of which involves analysis of qualitative and quantitative indicators that allow to create a complete company profile and to provide a scenario forecast for its development [1]. The main qualitative parameters accepted for analysis include such as the degree of innovativeness and differentiation of services, the level of competition and the company’s position in the market, priority of various strategic goals in the company’s activities, motivation effectiveness, corporate culture and the ability to quickly gain access to necessary resources. The present study resulted in the rating of 50 the most strategic appraisal companies in Russia according to results of the second half of 2019 — the first quarter of 2020

Smile of Schr dinger’s Сat. Results of 2019

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.169.2020.114-125

Traditional review of the past year strategic trends presents an analysis of the key components of the country’s integral power economy, foreign policy, armed forces, territory, natural resources, culture and religion, science and education, population, management – according to the original methodology developed by the Institute for Economic strategies. The authors suggest that the past 2019 will become a year of breakthrough in creating a quantum computer — a device that can fundamentally change the trend and the speed of technological development, as it once happened with introduction of electricity into industrial production and life.

Pit of Ten and a Half Miles Deep, or the Deadlock of Strategic Dualism

Analysis of the main trends in the Russian appraisal industry showed that in modern conditions the main competitive advantage of the company operating in the appraisal market is its adaptability, ability to form and promote its own brand, performers’ qualification, allowing to quickly increase the quality of rendered services, attention to technological and organizational innovations. Namely to these criteria correspond the companies included in the top 50 most strategic Russian appraisal companies

All This Jazz. Strategic Trends in 2018

#2. Breakthrough Betting
All This Jazz. Strategic Trends in 2018

The article is a review of strategic trends of the past year, which has become traditional for the Economic Strategies magazine. According to the authors, despite the fact that the year was not particularly remarkable, a number of significant events occurred. The main trend of the year was the confrontation of President Trump and the Democrats. This reflects the trend of cyclical development, when at a certain point a concentration of efforts of one or another nation occurs, and, if it is successful, then external expansion follows. Currently, the US foreign expansion, called globalization, does not have sufficient resources for its continuation. The authors describe the situation in nine different areas of the country’s life, corresponding to parameters of the national integral power: economics, foreign policy, army, territory, natural resources, culture and religion, science and education, population, government.

Ustirsyn, or Chronicles of No Year Whatever

#2. Sisyphean Task
Ustirsyn, or Chronicles of No Year Whatever

The review presents strategic trends of 2017. The annual research is conducted through methodology of Russia’s strategic matrix developed by experts of the Institute for Economic Strategies, which analyzes the main aspects of Russia’s internal development in nine areas: governance, territory, natural resources, population, economy, culture and religion, science and education, armed forces, geopolitical environment.

Prospects for Forming New Global Value Added Chains on the Basis of Cooperation Between Scientific-Industrial Complexes of Russia and Belarus

#1. Event Horison
Prospects for Forming New Global Value Added Chains on the Basis of Cooperation Between Scientific-Industrial Complexes of Russia and Belarus

Global Value Chains (GVCs) are currently the main theoretical concept for analyzing globalization processes in the sphere of industrial production and the object for perfecting the foreign economic policy of each country. Traditions and schools of studying GVCs, that have developed in the world community, can be divided into macrostructural, united under the general title of “internationalism”, and cluster ones, that are forming the “industrialism” trend. Referring to the problem of Russian-Belarusian industrial cooperation in the course of neoindustrialization and formation of new GVCs, macrostructural approach turns out to be completely unproductive for a number of reasons, therefore the authors of the article, considering the programs of Russian-Belarusian cooperation, follow the cluster approach.

Sendero Luminoso as an Evolutionary Technological Trend

#8. New Year’s Forces
Sendero Luminoso as an Evolutionary Technological Trend

The authors of the present article dwell on the main topics and forecasts of the telecommunications industry development that were dominant in 2017 in the world, as well as the situation on the Russian telecommunications market, and draw a conclusion that the situation on the telecommunications market is somewhat similar to the situation on the fronts of the First World war in 1917.

Movement to the East

#3. Attraction of Diversity
Movement to the East

The article examines the processes taking place in Russian appraisal business at present, taking into account general economic background of development: this is actual introduction of the state monopoly on cadastral valuation of real estate objects owned by individuals, the cancellation of the mandatory examination of the SRO evaluation reports, the introduction for all appraisers of the mandatory qualification examination. Against this background, the strategies of a successful evaluating company are analyzed. It is concluded that the competitive advantage is the ability of the company to develop new markets, to conduct evaluation in growing or emerging new sectors of the economy, which requires highly qualified specialists and high quality of work. Consequently, the most strategic companies in the industry under consideration will be large enterprises with a developed branch network and wide coverage of fields of activity, companies which adhere highest standards of quality.