DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.84-91

Predictive construction of strategic scenarios for countering attempts at Nazi revenge demonstrates transition of the situation in the world from the section of political fiction to the section of probable threats. Strategic game in the form of command and staff (expert) exercises on the basis of INES made it possible to explore our country’s actions and the prospects for the international situation development. Various options for resuscitating Nazi ideas, primarily in the form of Bandera’s Ukrainian nationalism, are increasingly threatening the world stability. In these conditions, Russia, as a victorious power in the World War II, in coalition with other countries, can and should recognize its own role, assigned to it by history, as a powerful political “locomotive” and guarantor of the anti-fascist recovery of Europe and Asia.

References: 

1. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Novaya bol’shaya voyna: khroniki khorosho zabytogo budushchego [New Large-scale War: Chronicles of Well Forgotten Future]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2014, vol. 16, no 6–7(122–123), pp. 16–33.

2. Ageev A.I. 100 let voyny za pravo byt’ Rossiey [100 years of War for the Right to be Russia]. Mezhdunarodnaya zhizn’, 2015, no 3, pp. 69–86.

3. Ageev A.I. Kholodnaya voyna — 2.0: realii i perspektivy [Cold War – 2.0: Realities and Prospects]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2015, vol. 17, no 2(128), pp. 74–79.

4. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Rossiya v novoy ekonomicheskoy real’nosti [Russia in New Economic Reality]. Monografiya. Moscow, Institut ekonomicheskikh strategiy, Assotsiatsiya “Analitika”, 2016, 460 p.

5. Ageev A.I. Dinamika i struktura global’nykh riskov [Dynamics and Structure of Global Risks]. Strategiya grazhdanskoy zashchity: problemy i issledovaniya, 2013, vol. 3, no 2(5), pp. 7, 8.

6. Ageev A.I., Kretov V.S., Kotov M.N., Kotov N.M., Kokhtyulina I.N., Kuroedov B.V., Sandarov O.V. Global’naya bezopasnost’: innovatsionnye metody analiza konfliktov [Global Security: Innovative Methods of Conflict Analysis]. Moscow, 2011.

7. Ageev A.I. Budushchee Rossii: v tiskakh istorii, khaosa i stsenariev [The Future of Russia: in the Grip of History, Chaos and Scenarios]. Mir Rossii. Sotsiologiya. Etnologiya, 2010, vol. 19, no 1, pp. 126–162.

8. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Coronavirus superstrategy: mirovaya proektsiya finansovoy modeli catastrophe just-in-time dlya vykhoda iz krizisa na novuyu geoekonomicheskuyu normal’ nost’ [Coronavirus Superstrategy: Global Projection of the “Just-in-time Catastrophe’s” Financial Model for Overcoming the Crisis and Entering into a New Geo-Economic Normality]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2020, vol. 22, no 4(170), pp. 6–19, DOI: 10.33917/es-4.170.2020.6-19

9. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Novaya strategicheskaya rol’ Rossii kak garanta — operatora sistemy podderzhaniya mirovykh i regional’nykh ekonomicheskikh balansov [The New Strategic Role of Russia as a Guarantor — Operator of the System for Global and Regional Eeconomic Balances Maintenance]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2015, vol. 17, no 1(127), pp. 18–35.

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.92-103

Recently, the world has faced new challenges in the field of international relations and economics, among which special place is given to digital sanctions. Unlike traditional economic sanctions, which are typically regulated through physical goods or financial transactions, digital sanctions actively target technology, data and internet infrastructure. The consequences of these measures affect both the economy, which loses access to key technologies, and the social sphere, where monitoring and control become more stringent. The article addresses two main research questions: can the sanctions targeting digital technologies and developments be regarded as an advanced form of economic sanctions, and what will be the economic losses for Russia? As digital transformation continues to revolutionize economies around the world, this study argues that digital sanctions have significant economic impacts on targeted countries. By analyzing the characteristics and effects of recent sanctions against Russia, the study provides insight into the changing landscape of sanctions mechanisms and diplomacy in the digital age.

References: 

1. Budushchee tsifrovoy transformatsii v usloviyakh sanktsiy [The Future of Digital Transformation in the Context of Sanctions]. Rambler, 2022, 14 dekabrya, available at:
https://finance.rambler.ru/business/49862989/?utm_content=finance_media&utm_medium=read_more&utm_source=copylink

2. Pak Dzh. Tekushchiy status i otsenka soblyudeniya ekonomicheskikh sanktsiy mezhdunarodnogo soobshchestva v otnoshenii Severnoy Korei [Current Status and Assessment of Compliance with the International Community’s Economic sanctions Against North Korea]. Eksportno-importnyy bank Korei, 2016.

3. Birsteker T., Zuzana Kh., Markos T. UN SanctionsApp: interaktivnaya baza dannykh o sanktsiyakh OON, avgust 2020 g. [UN SanctionsApp: Interactive database of UN sanctions, August 2020]. UN Sanctions App, 2020, available at: https://unsanctionsapp.com

4. Pasport natsional’noy programmy “Tsifrovaya ekonomika Rossiyskoy Federatsii” [Passport of the «Digital Economy of the Russian Federation» National Program]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Pravitel’stva RF, available at: http://government.ru/info/35568/

5. Est’ u sanktsiy nachalo, net u sanktsiy kontsa [Sanctions have got the beginning, but sanctions have no end]. Kommersant”, 2024, 23 fevralya, available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6532283

6. Rossiya ukreplyaet tekhnologicheskiy suverenitet iz-za sanktsiy [Russia Strengthens Tech Sovereignty Amid Sanctions]. Digital Report, 2024, 21 marta, available at: https://digital-report.ru/rossija-ukrepljaet-tehnologicheskij-suverenitet-iz-za-sankcij/

7. Danilin I. Ot tekhnologicheskikh sanktsiy k tekhnologicheskim voynam: Vliyanie amerikano-kitayskogo konflikta na sanktsionnuyu politiku i rynki vysokikh tekhnologiy [From Tech Sanctions to Tech Wars: The Impact of the US-China Conflict on Sanctions Policy and High-Tech Markets]. NEA, 2022, no 3(55), available at: https://doi.org/10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-13

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.104-109

The article examines fundamental causes of fraud in the financial sector based on global practice and Russian experience in fighting cybercrimes. Growing indicators prove ineffectiveness of all measures taken, including restrictions imposed by states. The issue can be resolved only by turning to the alpha and omega of economic science — to a man or more precisely to a human capital, which the author in his previous studies, based on works of the Soviet cybernetic school, have defined not only as knowledge, talents and abilities, but also as directed thinking algorithms. These algorithms now have become the main object of appropriation. Banks, IT-corporations, telecom operators and fraudsters compete for them in order to control a person and induce him to transfer his financial resources or his data for their appropriation by fraudsters.

References: 

1. Rezul’taty ezhegodnogo vserossiyskogo sotsiologicheskogo monitoringa “Finansovaya gramotnost’ rossiyan — 2024” [Results of the Annual All-Russian Sociological Monitoring “Financial Literacy of Russians — 2024”]. Analiticheskiy tsentr NAFI, Moscow, 2024, available at: https://nafi.ru/upload/iblock/9bd/9bd4081

a5c55f503ab6610296892ed2a.pdf?utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fdzen.ru%2Fmedia%2Fid%2F5d41a1ee8da1ce00afb2d1e5%2F66c5dd22a7321d7404b4c06e

2. Alekseevskikh A. “Rodstvennik popal v bedu”. Novye skhemy moshennichestva i layfkhaki dlya rossiyan [“A Relative Got into Trouble.” New Fraud Schemes and Life Hacks for Russians]. Gazeta.ru, 2024, 6 sentyabrya, available at: https://www.gazeta.ru/amp/business/2024/09/06/19704493.shtml

3. Dornadula V.N., Geetha S. Credit Card Fraud Detection Using Machine Learning Algorithms. Procedia Computer Science, 2019, no 165, pp. 631–641, DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2020.01.057

4. Thennakoon A., Bhagyani C., Premadasa S., Mihiranga S., Kuruwitaarachchi N. Real-Time Credit Card Fraud Detection Using Machine Learning. 2019 9^th International Conference on Cloud Computing, Data Science & Engineering (Confluence), Noida, 2019, 10–11 January, pp. 488–493, available at: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8776942; https://doi.org/10.1109/CONFLUENCE.2019.8776942

5. Bouch A. 3-D Secure: A critical review of 3-D Secure and its effectiveness in preventing card not present fraud. University of London, Londra, 2011, DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14201/ADCAIJ2016535561

6. Buell S. What is Securities Fraud 61 Duke L.J. 511. 2011–2012, available at: https://scholar.google.com/citations?view_op=view_citation&hl=en&user=OTE8FpMAAAAJ&citation_for_view=OTE8FpMAAAAJ:UebtZRa9Y70C

7. Pokida A.N., Zybunovskaya N.V. Razlichiya v povedencheskikh praktikakh po sokhraneniyu i ukrepleniyu zdorov’ya sredi rabotnikov umstvennogo i fizicheskogo truda [Differences in Behavioral Practices for Maintaining and Improving Health Among Mental and Physical Workers]. Zdorov’e naseleniya i sreda obitaniya — ZNiSO, 2022. № 9. S. 18–28. DOI: https://doi.org/10.35627/2219-5238/2022-30-9-18-28

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.110-117

The object of the study is transnational organized crime in Latin America and the Caribbean, and the subject is socio-economic factors that affect regional security. Today, Latin America and the Caribbean is one of the “hottest” regions in terms of organized crime and drug trafficking. Violence is considered to be a consequence of transnational organized crime, the methods and scale of which are increasing every year. In the article, the authors examine the features of transnational organized crime, which is becoming the core of the most acute challenges in this part of the world, also analyze the main socio-economic factors that affect the level of regional security. The authors conclude that the most destabilizing effects are exerted by such factors as social inequality, corruption, weakness of law enforcement institutions, money laundering, false urbanization and a developed shadow sector of the economy.

References: 

1. Trends in world military expenditure, 2023. SIPRI Fact Sheet, April 2024, available at: https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2024-04/2404_fs_milex_2023.pdf

2. Pyatakov A.N. Transnatsional’naya organizovannaya prestupnost’ v stranakh Latinskoy Ameriki: sovremennye tendentsii razvitiya i voenno-silovye sposoby protivodeystviya [Transnational Organized Crime in Latin American Countries: Modern Development Trends and Military-force Methods of Counteraction]. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta, Seriya 25: Mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya i mirovaya politika, 2023, vol. 15, no 2, pp. 65–93.

3. Violent Crime and Insecurity in Latin America and the Caribbean: a macroeconomic perspective. International Monetary Fund, October 2024, available at:https://www.researchgate.net/publication/385720836_Violent_Crime_and_Insecurity_in_Latin_America_and_the_Caribbean—A_Macroeconomic_Perspective

4. Global Study on Homicide 2023. UNDOC, available at: https://www.unodc.org/documents/data-and-analysis/gsh/2023/Global_study_on_homicide_2023_web.pdf

5. Violent Crime and Insecurity in Latin America and the Caribbean: a macroeconomic perspective. International Monetary Fund, October 2024, available at:https://www.researchgate.net/publication/385720836_Violent_Crime_and_Insecurity_in_Latin_America_and_the_Caribbean—A_Macroeconomic_Perspective

6. World Justice Project Rule of Law Index 2024, available at: https://worldjusticeproject.org/rule-of-law-index/global/2024

7. Human Development Report 2023/2024: breaking the gridlock. UNDP, available at: https://www.undp.org/latin-america/press-releases/human-developmentlatin-america-and-caribbean-improves-more-other-regions-fails-recover-pre-pandemic-levels-reveals-undp

8. Global Economic Prospects 2024. World Bank, June 2024, available at: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/d644659c-2e22-410e-98a5-b8a40dc6c183/content

9. Godovoy otchet 2024 [Annual Report 2024]. Gruppa Vsemirnogo banka, available at: https://www.vsemirnyjbank.org/ru/about/annual-report#anchor-annual

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.5

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.6-13

Currently, qualitative and quantitative approaches are used to assess the performance of regional executive authorities. The estimates obtained on their basis, as a rule, imply a subjective component. This paper proposes a method that makes it possible to obtain weighting coefficients for evaluation indicators on a formal basis without involving experts. It involves four main stages of calculations: preparation of initial data, including a set of assessment indicators; formation of a structural matrix of achievements; assessing the complexity of indicators and achievement structures; performance assessment. The peculiarity of the proposed approach is that it allows us to get an idea of the relative complexity of solving problems and achieving the goals of socio-economic development. This idea is based on a comparative analysis of the weights of evaluation indicators obtained on a formal basis.

References: 

1. Chazova I.Yu. Otsenka effektivnosti deyatel’nosti organov gosudarstvennoy vlasti [Assessment of the Effectiveness of the Activities of Public Authorities]. Vestnik Udmurtskogo universiteta. Seriya: Ekonomika i pravo, 2019, no 6, pp. 776–785.

2. Okrepilov V.V. Povyshenie kachestva gosudarstvennykh uslug posredstvom vnedreniya sistem menedzhmenta kachestva [Improving the Quality of Public Services through the Introduction of Quality Management Systems]. Izvestiya Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta ekonomiki i finansov, 2012, no 6(78), pp. 9–17.

3. Kozhevnikov S.A. Povyshenie effektivnosti gosudarstvennogo upravleniya — klyuchevaya zadacha dlya sovremennoy Rossii [Improving the Efficiency of Public Administration is a Key Task for Modern Russia]. Ekonomicheskie i sotsial’nye peremeny: fakty, tendentsii, prognoz, 2017, vol. 10, no 3, pp. 78–99.

4. Golovtsova I.G., Terent’eva K.D. Effektivnost’ gosudarstvennogo upravleniya kak instrument povysheniya kachestva zhizni naseleniya: Sovremennyy menedzhment: problemy i perspektivy: Sb. statey po itogam XVI Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii, Sankt-Peterburg, 29–30 aprelya 2021 g. [Efficiency of Public Administration as a Tool for Improving the Quality of Life of the Population: Modern Management: Problems and Prospects: Collection of articles from the XVI International Scientific and Practical Conference, St. Petersburg, April 29–30, 2021]. Saint Petersburg, Sankt-Peterburgskiy gosudarstvennyy ekonomicheskiy universitet, 2021, pp. 26–31.

5. O’Loughlin C.T., Wilson P.W. Benchmarking the performance of US Municipalities. Empir Econ., 2021, no 60, 2665–2700, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/ s00181-021-02026-2

6. Geys B., Heinemann F, Kalb A. Local Government Efficiency in German Municipalities. RuR. 2013 Aug. 31;71(4):283–293. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/ s13147-012-0191-x

7. Kryukov S.V. Model’ formirovaniya reytinga gubernatorov na osnove otsenki urovnya i kachestva zhizni v regione [A Model for the Formation of a Rating of Governors based on an Assessment of the Level and Quality of Life in the Region]. Vektor ekonomiki, 2018, no 8(26), pp. 12–17.

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.14-19

The article dwells on the issues of creating the image of the future of Russia in the context of emerging contradictions between development of new technologies and preservation of traditional spiritual and moral values. Specifics of the North Caucasus as a multi-ethnic and multi-confessional region are discussed in the context of searching for a compromise between technological changes and traditional value systems.

The author presents proposals for implementing the “Laboratory of the Future” project with participation of young representatives of the North Caucasus Federal District regions, the purpose of which is to discuss a constructive image of the future of Russia, including the development of modern technologies and preservation of traditional spiritual and moral values, taking into account the specifics of the North Caucasus.

References: 

1. Glaz’ev S.Yu. Za gorizontom kontsa istorii: Monografiya [Beyond the Horizon of the End of History: Monograph]. Prospekt, 2021, pp. 41–56.

2. Upravlenie iskusstvennym intellektom v interesakh chelovechestva: Zaklyuchitel’nyy doklad [Governing Artificial Intelligence for Humanity: Final Report]. Organizatsiya Ob”edinennykh Natsiy, 2024, p. 110.

3. Pereslegin S.B. Rossiya: predrassvetnye gody. Lektsiya. Chast’ pervaya [Russia: The Pre-Dawn Years. Lecture. Part One]. Dzen, available at: https://dzen.ru/video/watch/677b95917feaf72a372dfd32

4. Belousov D.R. Obraz ekonomiki Rossii 2050 — klyuchevye vyzovy i perspektivy: Doklad. 2024 g. [The Image of the Russian Economy in 2050 — Key Challenges and Prospects: Report. 2024]. Dzen. Sayt “Tsentr makroekonomicheskogo analiza i kratkosrochnogo prognozirovaniya”, available at: https://dzen.ru/video/watch/677b95917feaf72a372dfd32

5. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Bitva za budushchee: kto pervym v mire osvoit noomonitoring i kognitivnoe programmirovanie sub”ektivnoy real’nosti? [Battle for the Future: Who Will Be the First in the World to Master the Noomonitoring and Cognitive Programming of Subjective Reality?]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2017, no 2, pp. 124–139.

6. Ukaz Prezidenta RF ot 9 noyabrya 2022 g. N 809 “Ob utverzhdenii Osnov gosudarstvennoy politiki po sokhraneniyu i ukrepleniyu traditsionnykh rossiyskikh dukhovno-nravstvennykh tsennostey” [Decree of the President of the Russian Federation of November 9, 2022 No. 809 “On Approval of the Fundamentals of State Policy for the Preservation and Strengthening of Traditional Russian Spiritual and Moral Values”]. Ofitsial’nyy sayt Prezidenta RF, available at: http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/48502

7. Shangaraev R.R. Istoriya Islama i musul’manskikh narodov Rossii: Khrestomatiya [History of Islam and Muslim Peoples of Russia: Anthology]. Moscow, MeDDoK, 2020, pp. 232–307.

8. Yarlykapov A.A. Problemy radikalizatsii v musul’manskom soobshchestve Rossii v kontekste peremen na Blizhnem Vostoke: Religii i radikalizm v postsekulyarnom mire [Problems of Radicalization in the Muslim Community of Russia in the Context of Changes in the Middle East: Religions and Radicalism in the Post-Secular World]. Pod red. E.I. Filippovoy i Zh. Radvani. Moscow, Institut etnologii i antropologii RAN, Goryachaya liniya — Telekom, 2017, pp. 232–251.