Culture as an Instrument for Ensuring the National Interests of the Russian Federation in the Context of Global Transformations

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.191.2023.32-37

The article dwells on the role of Russian culture in the context of global transformations and emerging multipolarity. It is noted that the US line to neutralize cultural differences is utopian.

References:

1. Kartseva A.A. Dialog i vzaimodeistvie kul’tur kak uslovie sokhraneniya stabil’nosti sovremennogo sotsiuma [Dialogue and Interaction of Cultures as the Condition for Maintaining Stability of Modern Society]. Izvestiya Sankt-Peterburgskogo gosudarstvennogo agrarnogo universiteta, 2014, no 37, available at: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/v/vzaimodeystvie-i-dialog-cultur-kak-uslovie-sohraneniya-stabilnosti-sovremennogo-sotsiuma

2. Kontseptsiya gumanitarnoi politiki Rossiiskoi Federatsii za rubezhom [Concept of the Russian Federation’s Humanitarian Holicy Abroad], available at: static.kremlin.ru/media/events/files/ru/G3CkAuMhZXio8AzNaweT3wTGTaEA16OU.pdf

3. Vladimir Putin: Preslovutaya “kul’tura otmeny” prevratilas’ v “otmenu kul’tury” [Vladimir Putin: The Notorious “Cancellation Culture” has Turned into “Cancellation of Culture”] Rossiiskaya gazeta, 2022, Federal’nyi vypusk no 65(8713), available at: https://rg.ru/2022/03/28/vladimir-putin-preslovutaia-kulturaotmeny-prevratilas-v-otmenu-kultury.html

4. Prokof’ev V.I. “Bol’shoi balet vernulsya v Parizh” [“The Bolshoi Ballet has Returned to Paris”]. Rossiiskaya gazeta, 2023, 6 aprelya.

5. Mikhalkov N.S. “Kinoassorti dlya lyubitelei” [“Assorted Cinema for Lovers”]. Vechernyaya Moskva. Ezhednevnyi delovoi vypusk. Weekend, 2023, no 72(29406), 21 aprelya.

6. Vulf Virdzhiniya. Russkaya tochka zreniya [Woolf Virginia. The Russian Point of View], available at: http://www.apropospage.ru/herson/vulf/v7.html

7. Likhachev D.S. Russkaya kul’tura [Russian Culture]. Moscow, Iskusstvo, 2000, 428 p.

The Need to Reverse the Vector of Civilization Development

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.191.2023.28-31

The article briefly substantiates the need to change the vector of civilization development. The authors propose a concept of development, based on: complete renunciation of aggression in any form of its manifestation; progressive development of energy technologies; new discoveries designed to replace the planet’s resource base; exploration of near and far space.

Strategic Expert Community of “Ust-Kachka” – 2022

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.191.2023.22-27

The magazine “Economic Strategies” continues to publish materials from the strategic expert community “Ust-Kachka” (SES “Ust-Kachka”). Previously published [1–3]. The Ust-Kachka ES was organized by representatives of 4 different Soviet analytical schools in 2012, and operates in the format of a “new generation thought factory” (“brain trust”, “smart tank”). The main product of the “thought factory” “Ust-Kachka” is a strategic scenario forecast in the World-Country-Region format in the areas of “PEST (M)” (Politics, Economics, Social Sphere, Technology, Multitrend) — the so-called “matrix PEST”. In addition to the forecast — Strategic Design Decisions for translating negative scenarios into target ones, Concepts, industry and regional development strategies. The work of the Ust-Kachka SES is carried out according to its own, unique methodology, the format of which is closest to “war games”. Experts from leading Russian clubs — Izborsky, Sretensky, Valdai, Pitirim Sorokin and others — participate in the work of Ust-Kachki. Over the 11 years of operation, SES “Ust-Kachka” has reached the horizons of its forecasts and, according to the “forecast-fact” criterion, is one of the leading “thought factories” in Russia.

References:

1. Zolotarev D.Yu. O tsiklakh, kul’turnoi slozhnosti, tsifrovoi ekonomike i promyshlennoi revolyutsii [On Cycles, Cultural Complexity, Digital Economy and Industrial Revolution]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2018, vol. 20, no 6, pp. 94–99.

2. Strategicheskoe ekspertnoe soobshchestvo “Ust’-Kachka” — 2018 [Strategic Expert Community Ust-Kachka — 2018]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2018, vol. 20, no 7, pp. 46–73.

3. Zolotarev D.Yu. Razvitie permskogo territorial’nogo innovatsionnogo i promyshlennogo klastera “Fotonika”. Nekotorye rezul’taty strategicheskoi sessii [Developing the Perm Territorial Innovation and Industrial Cluster “Photonics”]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2020, vol. 22, no 1, pp. 18–23, DOI: 10.33917/es-1.167.2020.18-23.

Special Military Operation as a Strategic Technology for Choosing the Future of Russia and the World

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.191.2023.6-21

The chronicle of the situation development, which actually came very close to a global military catastrophe, only outwardly looks like a random kaleidoscope of events. Behind the chaos of events, are becoming more evident extremely strict strategic schemes for operating with global power factors in various spheres of activit y: political, military, economic, etc. The article outlines the systemic elements of an approach that considers military conflict in general and Special military operation in particular as a militarized form of struggle for power — an instrument of global economic regulation of economic activit y. This approach makes it possible to focus the key components of Russia’s necessary strategy in the context of a new round of struggle between imperialist predators for the format of systemic and structural redivision of the world that they need.

References:

1. Ageev A.I. Kholodnaya voina — 2.0: realii i perspektivy [Cold War — 2.0: Realities and Prospects]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2015, vol. 17, no 2(128), pp. 74–79.

2. Bakhtizin A.R., Makarov V.L., Loginov E.L., Khabriev B.R., Vu Ts., Vu Z. Gibridnye voiny v makroekonomicheskoi supersisteme XXI veka [Hybrid Wars in the Macroeconomic Supersystem of the XXI Century]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol. 25, no 2(188), pp. 6–23, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-2.188.2023.6–23

3. Ageev A.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Makarov V.L., Loginov E.L., Khabriev B.R. Ekonomicheskii fundament pobedy: strategicheskii prognoz ustoichivosti ekonomiki Rossii v usloviyakh sanktsionnykh atak [Economic Foundation of Victory: a Strategic Forecast for the Russian Economy Stability in the Face of Sanctions]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol. 25, no 3(189), pp. 6–15, DOI: 10.33917/es-3.189.2023.6-15

4. Denisov A.A., Denisova E.V. Kratkii ocherk osnov teorii upravlyaemoi konfrontatsii [Brief Outline of the Theory of Controlled Confrontation]. Informatsionnye voiny, 2014, no 1, pp. 24–33.

5. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Mirovoe soobshchestvo v usloviyakh sverkhkriticheskoi bifurkatsii: Upravlenie slozhnymi organizatsionnymi i tekhnicheskimi sistemami v usloviyakh sverkhkriticheskikh situatsii: Materialy mezhdunarodnoi nauchno-prakticheskoi konferentsii [World Community in Conditions of Supercritical Bifurcation: Management of complex organizational and technical systems in conditions of supercritical situations: Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference]. Moscow, INES, 2022, pp. 9–12.

6. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Novaya bol’shaya voina: khroniki khorosho zabytogo budushchego [New Large-Scale War: Chronicles of Well Forgotten Future]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2014, vol. 16, no 6–7(122–123), pp. 16–33.

7. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Strategicheskaya predopredelennost’ spetsial’nykh voennykh operatsii v mirovoi supersisteme [Strategic Predetermination of Special Military Operations in the World Supersystem]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol. 25, no 4(190), no 6–19, DOI: 10.33917/es-4.190.2023.6-19

Dedollarization of the Global Economy: Trends and Perspectives

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.190.2023.40-47

The quantitative indicators of dedollarization in the global economy are given. It is revealed that in the short-term the measures to abandon the U.S. dollar may have a limited impact on the global foreign exchange market, but in the longer-term the demand for the U.S. dollar may weaken. The implementation of transactions directly by countries on a bilateral basis using national currencies will thus make the global foreign exchange market more balanced. It is found that the development of dedollarization process is influenced by three major factors: the U.S. dollar’s usage as an instrument of sanctions pressure; the strengthening of the U.S. dollar; the emergence of new technological innovations. The article concludes that the development of dedollarization process along with the creation of new international payments mechanisms in the middle-term will continue to reduce the role of the U.S. dollar in the modern international monetary and financial system.

References:

1. Georgiadis G., Le Mezo H., Mehl A., Tille C. Fundamentals vs. Policies: Can the US Dollar’s Dominance in Global Trade Be Dented? Working Paper Series No. 2574. Frankfurt am Main: ECB, 2021, 47 p., available at: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecb.wp2574~664b8e9249.en.pdf.

2. Jamrisko M., Carson R. Suddenly Everyone Is Hunting for Alternatives to the US Dollar. Bloomberg. 21.12.2022, available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-21/fx-weaponization-supercharges-de-dollarization-drive.

3. World Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves. IMF, available at: https://data.imf.org/regular.aspx?key=41175.

4. Arslanalp S., Eichengreen B., Simpson-Bell Ch. Dollar Dominance and the Rise of Nontraditional Reserve Currencies. IMF. 01.06.2022, available at: https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/06/01/blog-dollar-dominance-and-the-rise-of-nontraditional-reserve-currencies.

5. China to Use Shanghai Exchange for Yuan Energy Deals with Gulf Nations — Xi. Reuters. 09.12.2022, available at: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/chinas-xi-tells-gulf-nations-use-shanghai-exchange-yuan-energy-deals-2022-12-09/

6. OTC Foreign Exchange Turnover by Currency. BIS, available at: https://www.bis.org/statistics/rpfx22_fx_tables.xlsx.

7. Mazumdar R. India Seeks to Globalize Payment Systems, Keep Processing Local. Bloomberg. 17.06.2022, available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-17/india-seeks-to-globalize-payment-systems-keep-processing-local.

8. The Dollar Is as Strong as Ever. Isn’t It?. The Economist. 08.09.2022, available at: https://www.economist.com/leaders/2022/09/08/the-dollar-is-as-strong-as-ever-isnt-it.

9. Weinland D. China is Rapidly Rolling out Its New Digital Currency. The Economist. 18.11.2022, available at: https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2022/11/18/china-is-rapidly-rolling-out-its-new-digital-currency

Digital Silk Road: Strategic Choices and Challenges

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.190.2023.30-39

In the face of tough international competition in the digital economy, in order to protect national cybersecurity and economic interests, China needs to find a project that is different from the West. This is how the Digital Silk Road looks like today. Through this route China may connect the Eurasian countries and counter US sanctions. The present article dwells on strategic importance of the Digital Silk Road for China and makes suggestions on what role Russia should play in this project.

References:

1. National Research Council et al. Funding a revolution: Government support for computing research. National Academies Press, 1999.

2. Ashmanov I. Rossiya — uzhe tsifrovaya koloniya? [Is Russia Already a Digital Colony?]. Oktagon, 2020, 24 iyunya, available at: https://octagon.media/istorii/rossiya_uzhe_cifrovaya_koloniya.html.

3. Syan Kun. Konnotatsiya, struktura i puti razvitiya stroitel’stva Tsifrovogo shelkovogo puti s tochki zreniya tsifrovoi ekonomiki [Connotation, Structure and ways of Developing the Construction of the Digital Silk Road from the Digital Economy Perspective]. Western Forum, 2017, no 27(6), pp. 11–16, available at: http://www.cqvip.com/qk/81565c/201706/7000410580.html.

4. Van Daochzhen. Kitaisko-v’etnamskoe sotrudnichestvo v oblasti tsifrovoi ekonomiki s tochki zreniya Tsifrovogo shelkovogo puti [Sino-Vietnamese Cooperation in the Field of Digital Economy from the Perspective of the Digital Silk Road]. Zhurnal Ekonomicheskogo universiteta Khubei, 2021, no 19(3), available at: http://qks.hbue.edu.cn/_upload/article/files/02/a7/3935d59c49a6af985b6ea937f193/1864296a-bdf2-4219-a6d9-e0c48e85c4ad.pdf.

5. Ministerstvo torgovli Kitaiskoi Narodnoi Respubliki [Website], available at: http://chinawto.mofcom.gov.cn/article/e/r/202211/20221103366410.shtml.

6. Videnie i deistviya po sodeistviyu sovmestnomu stroitel’stvu Ekonomicheskogo poyasa Shelkovogo puti i Morskogo Shelkovogo puti XXI veka [Vision and Actions to Promote Joint Construction of the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road]. Gosudarstvennaya administratsiya po regulirovaniyu rynka, 2015, available at: http://www.cnca.gov.cn/rdzt/2017/ydyl/qwfb/201705/t20170531_54404.shtml.

7. Kitai i arabskie strany sovmestno stroyat “Shelkovyi put’ onlain” [China and Arab Countries are Jointly Building the “Silk Road Online”] // Agentstvo novostei Sin’khua, 2017, available at: https://www.sohu.com/a/190280445_161795.

8. Si Tszin’pin prinyal uchastie v tseremonii otkrytiya Foruma mezhdunarodnogo sotrudnichestva “Odin poyas, odin put’” i vystupil s programmnoi rech’yu [Xi Jinping Attended the Opening Ceremony of the One Belt, One Road International Cooperation Forum and Delivered a Keynote Address]. Kommunisticheskaya partiinaya set’, 2017, available at: https://news.12371.cn/2017/05/14/VIDE1494762601202508.shtml.

9. Perspektivy i vyzovy Tsifrovogo shelkovogo puti [Perspectives and Challenges of the Digital Silk Road]. Sait “Odin poyas i odin put’”, 2020, available at: https://m.thepaper.cn/baijiahao_9356702.

China’s Space Exploration Strategy

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.190.2023.20-29

In recent decades, China’s economy has shown unprecedented qualitative growth, and one of the factors behind this growth is an active development of its space program as the most technologically advanced industry. If this growth trend continues, then China will need new sources of raw materials, and the emergence of new technologies in various branches of science and technology, including astronautics itself, will require even more active space exploration, which represents a gigantic resource base. The present article analyzes the strategies and prospects of China’s astronautics as a space power that occupies a dominant position not only in the Asia-Pacific region, but also on the planet as a whole, and also describes the reasons for China’s increased activity in the exploration of near space, primarily the Moon.

References:

1. Alekseenkova E.S. Reaktsiya ital’yanskoi Respubliki na spetsial’nuyu voennuyu operatsiyu Rossii na Ukraine [Reaction of the Italian Republic to the Russian Special Military Operation in Ukraine]. Analiticheskie zapiski Instituta Evropy RAN, 2022, no 1(29), pp. 63–70.

2. Batyuk V.I. Dialog mezhdu SShA i RF po probleme strategicheskoi stabil’nosti posle nachala spetsoperatsii na Ukraine [Dialogue between the United States and Russian Federation on the Strategic Stability Issue after the Beginning of the Special Operation in Ukraine]. Rossiya i Amerika v XXI

veke, 2022, no 3.

3. Belov V.B. Reaktsiya Germanii na spetsial’nuyu voennuyu operatsiyu RF na territorii Ukrainy [Germany’s Reaction to the Special Military Operation of the Russian Federation on the Territory of Ukraine]. Analiticheskie zapiski Instituta Evropy RAN, 2022, no 1(29), pp. 56–62.

4. Golovachev V.Ts., Perminova V.A. Reaktsiya Taivanya na spetsial’nuyu voennuyu operatsiyu RF na Ukraine (kratkii obzor) [Taiwan’s Reaction to the Special Military Operation of the Russian Federation in Ukraine (brief review)]. Vostochnaya analitika, 2022, vol 13, vol. 2, pp. 22–31.

5. Denisov I.P., Krasnoslobodtsev V.P., Lyubichev V.A., Raskin A.V., Tarasov I.V. Strategii informatsionnogo protivoborstva v sovremennoi voine [Strategies of Information Confrontation in Modern Warfare]. Informatsionnye voiny, 2022, no 3(63), pp. 2–5.

6. Latypov R.F. Spetsial’naya voennaya operatsiya na Ukraine: situatsionnyi analiz [Special Military Operation in Ukraine: Situational Analysis]. Ekonomika i upravlenie: nauchno-prakticheskii zhurnal, 2022, no 2(164), pp. 134–137.

7. Malinetskii G.G. Sistemnyi analiz spetsial’noi voennoi operatsii Rossii na Ukraine [System Analysis of Russia’s Special Military Operation in Ukraine]. Strategicheskaya stabil’nost’, 2022, no 3(100), pp. 22–32.

8. Mikhailenko A.N. Spetsial’naya voennaya operatsiya Rossii na Ukraine: sluchainost’ ili zakonomernost’? [Special Military Operation of Russia in Ukraine: an Accident or a Regularity?]. Voprosy natsional’nykh i federativnykh otnoshenii, 2022, vol. 12, no 4(85), pp. 1431–1448.

Strategic Predetermination of Special Military Operations in the World Supersystem

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.190.2023.6-19

Different interpretations of Russia’s Special Military Operation in Ukraine, as a rule, do not reveal the systemic nature of such operations as a universal tool for resolving accumulated contradictions in the world community and critical disproportions in the global economy. In this regard, it seems necessary to give analysis of the strategic predetermination of special military operations in the world supersystem as a fundamental pattern of maintaining the controllability of society in its many manifestations at the present stage. Basically the matter is determined by new management methodology.

References:

1. Alekseenkova E.S. Reaktsiya ital’yanskoi Respubliki na spetsial’nuyu voennuyu operatsiyu Rossii na Ukraine [Reaction of the Italian Republic to the Russian Special Military Operation in Ukraine]. Analiticheskie zapiski Instituta Evropy RAN, 2022, no 1(29), pp. 63–70.

2. Batyuk V.I. Dialog mezhdu SShA i RF po probleme strategicheskoi stabil’nosti posle nachala spetsoperatsii na Ukraine [Dialogue between the United States and Russian Federation on the Strategic Stability Issue after the Beginning of the Special Operation in Ukraine]. Rossiya i Amerika v XXI

veke, 2022, no 3.

3. Belov V.B. Reaktsiya Germanii na spetsial’nuyu voennuyu operatsiyu RF na territorii Ukrainy [Germany’s Reaction to the Special Military Operation of the Russian Federation on the Territory of Ukraine]. Analiticheskie zapiski Instituta Evropy RAN, 2022, no 1(29), pp. 56–62.

4. Golovachev V.Ts., Perminova V.A. Reaktsiya Taivanya na spetsial’nuyu voennuyu operatsiyu RF na Ukraine (kratkii obzor) [Taiwan’s Reaction to the Special Military Operation of the Russian Federation in Ukraine (brief review)]. Vostochnaya analitika, 2022, vol 13, vol. 2, pp. 22–31.

5. Denisov I.P., Krasnoslobodtsev V.P., Lyubichev V.A., Raskin A.V., Tarasov I.V. Strategii informatsionnogo protivoborstva v sovremennoi voine [Strategies of Information Confrontation in Modern Warfare]. Informatsionnye voiny, 2022, no 3(63), pp. 2–5.

6. Latypov R.F. Spetsial’naya voennaya operatsiya na Ukraine: situatsionnyi analiz [Special Military Operation in Ukraine: Situational Analysis]. Ekonomika i upravlenie: nauchno-prakticheskii zhurnal, 2022, no 2(164), pp. 134–137.

7. Malinetskii G.G. Sistemnyi analiz spetsial’noi voennoi operatsii Rossii na Ukraine [System Analysis of Russia’s Special Military Operation in Ukraine]. Strategicheskaya stabil’nost’, 2022, no 3(100), pp. 22–32.

8. Mikhailenko A.N. Spetsial’naya voennaya operatsiya Rossii na Ukraine: sluchainost’ ili zakonomernost’? [Special Military Operation of Russia in Ukraine: an Accident or a Regularity?]. Voprosy natsional’nykh i federativnykh otnoshenii, 2022, vol. 12, no 4(85), pp. 1431–1448.

9. Rastorguev S.P. Informatsionnoe protivoborstvo v tselyakh i zadachakh [Information Confrontation in Goals and Objectives]. Moscow, LENAND, 2022, 304 p.

10. Orekhova A.D. Ukraina v fokuse geopoliticheskikh interesov RF i SShA: Yuzhnorossiiskoe obozrenie: Materialy Kruglogo stola [Ukraine in the Focus of Geopolitical Interests of the Russian Federation and the United States: South Russian Review: Materials of the Round Table]. Rostov n/D, Fond