According to the IMF, the US GDP growth rate in 2025 will decrease to 1,6% with the forecast for US GDP growth in 2024 being 2,1%. Our article [1] provides an analysis of «Black Monday» on August 5, 2024, which marked the beginning of the global financial crisis. In this article, we will outline the further course of this crisis. In Russia, GDP growth for the first half of 2024 was 4,6%, for 2024 – 4,1%. The forecast for real GDP for the world was 3,2% in 2024 and, according to the IMF, the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation gave a conservative scenario, according to which the growth of Russian GDP in 2025 will be 1,7%, inflation 3,7% (Kommersant, 09.14.2024, p. 19).

References:

1. Kuzovkin A.I., Stakun A.V. Forecast of the dynamics of global economic development for 2024–2025. Microeconomics. 2024;4:27–38.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.118-126

The article discusses the process of methanol production from hydrogen (H2) and carbon dioxide (СО₂) as a promising direction in the field of gas chemistry. Methanol, which is the most common inhibitor of the formation of gas hydrates, can be synthesized from CO₂. The paper describes in detail the main stages of the process, discusses modern technological solutions such as the use of «green» hydrogen, and shows the economic and environmental aspects of production.

References:

1. Shah N. et al. The role of digital technology and digital innovation towards firm performance in a digital economy. Kybernetes. 2024;53(2):620-644.

2. Popov E.V., Semyachkov K.A. Instrumentation for the development of digital technologies in the public sector. Regional Economy: Theory and Practice. 2018;16(7 (454)):1320-1337.

3. Smotritskaya I.I. Public administration in the context of digital economy development: strategic challenges and risks. STAGE: economic theory, analysis, practice. 2018;4:60-72.

4. Milakovich M.E. Digital governance: New technologies for improving public service and participation. Routledge, 2012.

5. West D.M. Digital government: Technology and public sector performance. Princeton University Press, 2005.

6. Savaget P., Chiarini T., & Evans S. Empowering political participation through artificial intelligence. Science and Public Policy, 2018.

7. Afanasyeva A.S. E-government capabilities in Singapore. Theory and practice of social development. 2015;20:174-176.

8. Shakhabov I.V., Melnikov Yu.Yu., Smyshlyaev A.V. Features of the development of digital technologies in healthcare in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Scientific review. Medical sciences. 2020;6:66-71.

9. Senbekov M. et al. The recent progress and applications of digital technologies in healthcare: a review. International journal of telemedicine and applications. 2020;1.

10. Mitchell M., Kan L. Digital technology and the future of health systems. Health Systems & Reform. 2019;5(2):113-120.

11. Haleem A. et al. Understanding the role of digital technologies in education: a review. Sustainable operations and computers. 2022;3:275-285.

12. Timotheou S. et al. Impacts of digital technologies on education and factors influencing schools’ digital capacity and transformation: A literature review. Education and information technologies. 2023;28(6):6695-6726.

13. Di Pietro, G., Biagi F., Costa P., Karpiński Z., & Mazza J. The likely impact of COVID-19 on education: Reflections based on the existing literature and recent international datasets. 2020. Vol.30275.

14. Ranerup A., Henriksen H.Z. Digital Discretion: Unpacking Human and Technological Agency in Automated Decision Making in Sweden’s Social Services. 2022;40(2):445-461.

15. Pink S., Ferguson H., Kelly L. Digital social work: Conceptualizing a hybrid anticipatory practice. URL: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/350182772

16. Arkhipova E.B., Borodkina O.I. Problems and contradictions of the digital transformation of social services in Russia. Sociology of Science and Technology. 2021;12(4):116-134.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.111-117

The article discusses the process of methanol production from hydrogen (H2) and carbon dioxide (СО₂) as a promising direction in the field of gas chemistry. Methanol, which is the most common inhibitor of the formation of gas hydrates, can be synthesized from CO₂. The paper describes in detail the main stages of the process, discusses modern technological solutions such as the use of «green» hydrogen, and shows the economic and environmental aspects of production.

References:

Karasevich V.A. Fundamentals of hydrogen energy: Textbook. Moscow: Publishing Center of Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas (NIU), 2023. 100 p.

2. LUKOIL–West Siberia LLC.  URL: https://zs.lukoil.ru/ru/About/Structure/Yamalneftegaz

3. Prospects for the use of a carbon dioxide capture unit at the branches of PJSC Mosenergo / S.A. Petelin, A.N. Vivchar, P.V. Bubley, V.A. Serdyukov, O.Yu. Sigitov, 2022. 32 p.

 4. Noerma J. Azhari, Denanti Erika, St. Mardiana, Thalabul Ilmi, Melia L. Gunawan, I. G. B. N. Makertihartha, Grandprix T. M. Kadja. Methanol synthesis from CO2: A mechanical overview. Results in Engineering, 2022.

5. The wind power. URL: https://www.thewindpower.net/turbine_en_460_unison_u57.php

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.106-110

The energy system is a complex multi-dimensional and multi-criteria optimization system, and the energy development levels in different regions and at different stages of development are different. The Development and Reform Commission of China and the Energy Administration in the «Strategy for Energy Production and Revolution (2016–2030)» proposed that China’s inter-regional energy transformation should be based on security and focus on high-quality development, so as to promote the spatial effect of energy development on economic growth. This paper selects data from 30 provinces in China from 2000 to 2022, and uses Moran’s index and spatial Durbin’s error model to study the impact and spatial effect of China’s energy industry development on economic growth.

References:

1. Tobler W.R. A computer movie simulating urban growth in the Detroit region. Economic geography. 1970;46:234-240.

2. Cressie N. Statistics for spatial data. John Wiley & Sons. 2015. pp. 633-649.

3. LeSage J., Pace R.K. Introduction to spatial econometrics. Chapman and Hall, 2009.

4. Elhorst J.P. Spatial econometrics: from cross-sectional data to spatial panels. Heidelberg: Springer, 2014. 119 p.

5. Demidova O.A. Spatial aspects of wage curve estimation in Russia / O.A. Demidova, E.A. Timofeeva. Journal of the New Economic Association. 2021; 3(51):69-101.

6. Fingleton B. Estimates of time to economic convergence: an analysis of regions of the European Union. International regional science review. 1999;22(1):5-34.

7. Rey S.J., Montouri B.D. US regional income convergence: a spatial econometric perspective. Regional studies. 1999;33(2):143-156.

8. Guo Shouting, Jin Zhibo. Research on the spatial spillover effect of digital inclusive finance on regional industrial structure upgrading. Economic Perspectives. 2022;6:77-87.

9. Li Jiang, Wu Yuming. A review of cutting-edge theories, methods and applications of spatial econometrics. Contemporary Economic Management. 2024;06:30-41.

10. Anselin L. Lagrange multiplier test diagnostics for spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity. Geographical analysis. 1988;20(1):1-17.

11. Su Yi, Lin Zhouzhou. Research on the spatial effect and influencing factors of regional innovation activities. Journal of Quantitative and Technical Economics. 2017;11:63-80.

12. Tang Baojun, Wu Yun, Wang Chongzhou, Zou Ying. Research on Provincial Energy High-quality Development Index (2012-2022). Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology (Social Sciences Edition). 2023;02:17-23.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.101-105

Technologies largely determine the economic efficiency of project decisions and play a key role in gaining a competitive advantage. Currently, oil and gas companies are faced with the issue of forming a long-term development strategy for emerging energy transition, including setting priorities for allocating funds to the development of technologies in the field of renewable energy sources and low-carbon projects. The article presents the results of systematization and prioritization of such technologies and their use in the development of strategies for «smart investment» in «green» technologies.

References:

1. The Future of Geothermal Energy, International Energy Agency. URL:   https://www.iea.org/reports/the-future-of-geothermal-energy

2. How a Technology Similar to Fracking Can Store Renewable Energy Underground Without Lithium Batteries, Incide Climate News. URL:   https://insideclimatenews.org/news/27082024/renewable-energy-underground-storage-technology

3. Telegina E.A., Chapaykin D.A. Directions of energy transition in the policy of global oil and gas companies, Problems of forecasting, 2022;5:129-137.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.90-100

This article examines the organizational and economic aspects of applying the functional management assessment model in conjunction with MVP and GAP analysis to improve quality management of the federal project «Building a network of modern Campuses» in modern conditions. The communication profile of the federal project management methodology was built using a functional management assessment model.

The paper shows that GAP analysis makes it possible to identify discrepancies between the current level of quality of the educational infrastructure and the required level of quality defined by the goals of the federal project. The analysis allows you to identify key areas that require improvements, such as technical equipment, safety, accessibility for people with disabilities, shows that GAP analysis makes it possible to identify discrepancies between the current level of quality of the educational infrastructure and the required level of quality defined by the goals of the federal project. The analysis allows you to identify key areas that require improvements, such as technical equipment, safety, accessibility for people with disabilities, etc. Based on the results of the annals on the results of the analysis of the MVP model of the Mediaplan Information System, the authors came to the conclusion that the necessary quality control principles are embedded in the system and cannot be circumvented, which allows us to reduce the distance between the expectations of the target audience and stakeholders of the project and reality, and in emergency cases promptly implement changes «on the ground».

References:

1. Verstina N.G., Donskaya O.O. Comprehensive analysis of the role of a private partner in the creation of new campuses. Current tasks strategic approach and development – 2023: proceedings of the IV International Scientific Conference. Moscow, 2024. pp. 968-973.

2. Glezin D.D., Sollapov V.I. Application of SWOT and GAP analysis in the study of organizational quality management systems. Scientific Review. 2024;31(5):4177-4182.

3. Zherebtsova A.V., Lisova A.M. Models of life cycles of systems. Full lifecycle management systems for high-tech products in mechanical engineering: new sources of growth: proceedings of the All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference. 2018. pp. 78-81.

4. Zapparov B.A., Pashina A.D., Feifer R.L., Abramov D.A. Specifics of economic planning for flexible technological product development at the regional level. Kazan Economic Bulletin. 2019;6 (44):15-19.

5. Krolkova N.A., Bolgova A.M. The possibilities of developing a consortium of minimally viable products (MVP) for large businesses in Russia. the text of the development of the method of strategic management. Issues of psychology and law. 2023;184:163-172.

6. Kuzmin A.M., Vysokovskaya E.A. GAP analysis is one of the most important methods of strategic analysis. Methods of quality management. 2021;12:53.

7. Latkov N.Yu., Ashvanyan S.K., Vidyakin A.V. Decision interview as a way to test a minimally viable product. Competitiveness in the global world: economics, science, technology. 2022;5:45-46.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.82-89

The purpose of the study is a comprehensive assessment of the role of marketing communications in the development of commercial companies. In this regard, both classic promotion tools and innovative individualized tools are considered. The essence and significance of integrated communications are defined. The specifics of the activities of brand ambassadors as an effective form of promotion are revealed.

References:

1. Abramov R.A., Temnikova Yu.Yu. Evaluation of the effectiveness of communications of the Department of Transport and Development of Road Transport Infrastructure of Moscow with the population within the framework of the implementation of strategic projects. Management Sciences. 2024;14(4): 53-66.

2. Aleksunin V.A. Marketing communications / Aleksunin V.A., Dubanevich E.V., Sklyar E.N. Moscow: Dashkov i K, 2023.196 p.

3. Varlygina Z.V. Types of marketing information obtained from social networks and ways of working with it. Marketing and marketing research. 2024;4:43-48.

4. Kuzmina O.G. Integrated marketing communications. Theory and practice of advertising: textbook / O.G. Kuzmina, O.Yu. Posukhova. M.: RIOR: INFRA-M, 2023. 187 p.

5. Polit-Zanizdra T.A. Brand ambassadors – a new link between business and consumer. Young scientist. 2024;18:432-434.

6. Sinyaeva I.M. Marketing for masters: Textbook / Under the general editorship of I.M. Sinyaeva. M.: University textbook, NIC INFRA-M, 2022. 368 p.

7. Smirnov I.V. Theory of marketing communications: a tutorial. Vladimir: VSU, 2022. 163 p.

8. Tutov L.A., Izmailov A.A. Digital technologies at the service of entrepreneurship: new challenges for regulation. Bulletin of Moscow University. 2024;3:81-89.

9. Chumikov A.N. Advertising and public relations: Image, reputation, brand. 2nd ind., corr. and add. Textbook. Series «Textbook of the new generation». Moscow, 2023. 159 p.

10. Yagodkina M.V. Advertising in the communication process: teaching aid. St. Petersburg: Piter, 2024. 28 p.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.70-81

The article provides a comparative analysis of foreign qualitative models of bankruptcy forecasting, in particular the models of W. Beaver and D. Duran, with the aim of assessing their applicability to Russian innovative companies. The strengths and weaknesses of the models are considered, as well as the features of their use in the context of Russian reporting under Russian accounting standards (RAS standards). The study presents the results of calculations of financial ratios for 22 Russian mobile operators and telecommunications services (hereinafter referred to as Russian innovative companies) and their comparison with the real financial situation. To assess the accuracy of predictions, the F1 measure was used, the results of which revealed a significant number of inaccuracies in bankruptcy forecasting. Based on the data obtained, the issue of adapting foreign qualitative models of bankruptcy forecasting to Russian economic realities and taking into account the industry specifics of Russian innovative companies in their research is considered.

References:

1. Aleksandrova M. Yu. Methods of text data classification: can the potential of quantitative analysis be used in qualitative research? Interaction. Interview. Interpretation. 2021;13(2):81–96. DOI: https://doi.org/10.19181/inter.2021.13.2.5

2. Petrov S.V. Models for predicting the financial insolvency of enterprises. Finance and Credit. 2018;24(5):60–67. DOI: 10.52928/2070-1632-2018-24-5-60-67

3. Ohlson J.A. Financial Ratios and the Probabilistic Prediction of Bankruptcy. Journal of Accounting Research. 1980;18(1):109–131. DOI: 10.2307/2490395

4. Sidorov I.N. Foreign models of bankruptcy diagnostics: possibilities of application in Russia. Management accounting. 2017;15(2):70–78. DOI: 10.52928/2070-1632-2017-15-2-70-78

5. Zmijewski M.E. Methodological Issues Related to the Estimation of Financial Distress Prediction Models. Journal of Accounting Research. 1984;22:59–82. DOI: 10.2307/2490859

6. Ivanov A.V. Forecasting Enterprise Bankruptcy: Foreign Experience and Russian Practice // Economics and Management. 2016;12(3):42–51. DOI: 10.52928/2070-1632-2016-12-3-42-51

7. Beaver W.H. Financial Ratios as Predictors of Failure. Journal of Accounting Research. 1966;4:71–111. DOI: 10.2307/2490171

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.57-69

The subject under observation is the methodology of subject-oriented process management of industrial enterprises as an alternative to traditional approaches. The study highlights the need to adapt management techniques to the high dynamism and uncertainty of the market environment, especially in the context of the Russian economy. The analysis of the structure of subject-oriented management is carried out, which is based on the interaction of several levels of management: from meta-guidelines to specific practical tools. Among the key advantages of the methodology are the ability to quickly test hypotheses, reduce «shadow» functions, automate processes, and create an up-to-date management model with minimal costs. The technique demonstrates a high potential for overcoming modern industrial challenges, such as increasing digitalization, adapting to changing market conditions and staff shortages, which makes this technique particularly relevant for Russian industrial companies.

References:

 1. Behrens J. Agile Konzepte в Prozessmanagement FH Vorarlberg, 2022. 114 с.

2. Ageev A.I. The role of sanctions, conflicts and special operations: reflections on the future. Part 2. Scientific Bulletin of the Russian Military-industrial Complex. 2024;1:33-42.

3. Abramov V.I. Technological sovereignty: basic principles and strategic goals / V. I. Abramov, A.V. Gavrilyuk, A.V. Putilov. Management of economics, systems, processes: Collection of articles of the VIII International Scientific and Practical Conference, Penza, October 14-15, 2024.  Penza: Penza State Agrarian University, 2024. pp. 11-18.

4. Plotnikov V.A. Anti-crisis management of enterprises in the context of political and economic turbulence / V. A. Plotnikov, N. A. Ushakov. The Russian economy in the context of structural transformation: Proceedings of the II All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference, Novokuznetsk, May 28, 2024. Moscow: LLC «Topicality.RF», 2024. pp. 130-135.

5. Churkin D.A., Abramov V.I. Subject-oriented business process management as a tool for innovative enterprise development. Economic strategies. 2024;4(196): 128-135.

6. Weber S. Institutes of decision-making / S. Weber, D.V. Davydov, A.V. Savvateev. Questions of economics. 2017;6:45-57. DOI 10.32609/0042-8736-2017-6-45-57.

7. Fleischmann A., Schmidt W. S-BPM as a new impetus in Business Process Management: A survey. Business Informatics. 2015;2 (32):7-19.

8. Abramov V.I. The role of effective communications and collective intelligence in the digital transformation of a company / V. I. Abramov, D. A. Churkin. Bulletin of the University. 2024;4:50-60. DOI 10.26425/1816-4277-2024-4-50-60.

9. Lepsky V.E. Reflexivity in the management of social systems (philosophical and methodological analysis). Philosophy of Science and Technology. 2021; 26(2):127-147. DOI 10.21146/2413-9084-2021-26-2-127-147.

10. Wittikh V.A. The evolution of ideas for organizing management processes in society: from cybernetics to evergetics. Management issues in the development of the primary health care system: topical issues of hematology: collection of scientific papers of the scientific and practical conference, Samara, April 04, 2017.  Samara: Samara State Medical University, 2017. pp. 56-62.

DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025.47-56

The article examines the historical features of the development of censorship as a system of restrictions and an element of ensuring socio-economic security. The mechanisms of censorship in different epochs of the formation of the world are analyzed. The ways of solving problems in the information environment using technologies in the modern world are outlined.

References:

1. Censorship. The Great Russian Encyclopedia. URL: https://old.bigenc.ru/domestic_history/text/4674643

2. Markin A.N. Institute of Censorship in the Roman Republic. URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/institut-tsenzury-v-rimskoy-respublike/

3. Surovtseva E.V. Censorship in Ancient Rus’. URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/tsenzura-v-drevney-rusi/

4. Kulikova S.A. Formation of the constitutional principle of inadmissibility of censorship in the Russian Federation. URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/

5. Constitution of the Russian Federation: The Constitution was adopted by popular vote on 12.12.1993 with amendments approved during the all-Russian vote on 01.07.2020. Access from the reference and legal system «ConsultantPlus».

6. On the media: Law of the Russian Federation of 27.12.1991 No. 2124-1 (as amended on 11.03.2024). Access from the reference and legal system «ConsultantPlus».

7. VTsIOM. URL: https://wciom.ru/analytical-reviews/

8. Valkova Irina. Blocking of Internet services in Russia in 2024: trends and reasons. URL: https://pronedra.ru/blokirovki-internet-servisov-v-rossii-v-2024

9. Roskomnadzor announced the existence of tools for “motivating” YouTube. URL: https://www.rbc.ru/technology_and_media/26/07/2024/

10. Peskov spoke in favor of complete freedom of information, but not in wartime. URL: https://tass.ru/politika/

11. Wilson R. Gates proposes using AI to suppress freedom of speech; the UN seeks to control AI worldwide. URL: https://telegra.ph/Gejts-predlagaet-ispolzovat-II-dlya-podavleniya-svobody-slov