2021: Stagflation or Technological Sovereignty — No Other Choice!

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-2.182.2022.86-91

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for 2021 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out

Источники:

1. Informatsiya o sotsial’no-ekonomicheskom polozhenii Rossii v yanvare 2022 g.: Doklad [Information on the Socio-Economic Situation in Russia in January 2022: Report]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoi statistiki, available at: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/osn-01-2022.pdf.

2. Sotsial’no-ekonomicheskoe polozhenie Rossii v yanvare — dekabre 2021 g. [Socio-Economic Situation in Russia in January — December 2021]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoi statistiki, available at:  https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/osn-12-2021.pdf.

3. Informatsiya o soveshchanii u Prezidenta RF o merakh sotsial’no-ekonomicheskoi podderzhki sub”ektov Rossiiskoi Federatsii 15 marta 2022 g. v rezhime videokonferentsii [Information About the Meeting with the President of the Russian Federation on Measures of Socio-Economic Support for the Constituent Entities of the Russian Federation on March 15, 2022 Via Videoconference]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Prezidenta RF, available at: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/67996.

4. Frenkel’ A.A., Tikhomirov B.I., Surkov A.A. 2021: itogi devyati mesyatsev — upushchennye vozmozhnosti uskoreniya sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya [2021: the Results of Nine Months — Lost Opportunities Accelerating Socio-Economic Development]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2021, no 6, pp. 76–81,

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.180.2021.76-81.

5. Ukaz Prezidenta RF ot 8 noyabrya 2021 g. N 633 “Ob utverzhdenii Osnov gosudarstvennoi politiki v sfere strategicheskogo planirovaniya v Rossiiskoi Federatsii” [Decree of the President of the Russian Federation of November 8, 2021 No. 633 “On Approval of the Fundamentals of State Policy in the Sphere of Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation”]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Prezidenta RF, available at: http://kremlin.ru/acts/bank/47244.

6. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 6 oktyabrya 2021 g. N 2816-r “Ob utverzhdenii perechnya initsiativ sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya RF do 2030 goda” [Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of October 6, 2021 No. 2816-r “On Approval of the Initiatives List for the Socio-Economic Development of the Russian Federation Until 2030”]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Pravitel’stva RF, available at: http://government.ru/news/43451/

Housing and Construction Ecosystem: Technological Breakthrough

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-2.182.2022.72-85

Based on methodological analysis and extensive empirical data involved, the article proposes an original approach to developing initial positions for the concept of forming housing and construction ecosystems. The main criteria for evaluating feasibility of using a new organizational form for implementing the plans to achieve strategic socio-economic goals, facing the country, and realizing a long-term development strategy for the construction industry as well as for housing and communal services are considered. It is proposed to choose technological engineering as a core of the construction ecosystem. The article formulates a number of practical recommendations

Источники:

 

1. My govorim o programme razvitiya Sibirskogo regiona na desyatiletiya [We are Talking About the Development Program of the Siberian Region for Decades]. RBK, 2021, September, 6, available at: https://www.rbc.ru/newspaper/2021/09/06/6131fab69a79471a71a0b412.

2. Grishkin I.I. Ponyatie informatsii [The Notion of Information]. Moscow, Nauka, 1973, p. 12.

3. Vanisova E. Transformatsiya nauki v element marketinga ne bezobidna [Transformation of Science into an Element of Marketing is not Harmless]. NG-nauka, 2021, September, 22.

4. Chto takoe ekosistema [What is Ecosystem]. Profil’, 2021, no 48–49, December, 20, p. 48.

5. Tsutsumi S. Puti peremen [Pathways of Change]. Moscow, Progress, 1982, p. 97.

6. Proraby perekroiki [Foremen of Redrawing]. Kommersant”, 2021, December, 16, available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5130609.

7. Mysli-NeMysli [Thoughts-NonThoughts]. Telegram, 2021, December, 9, available at: https://telegram.me/mislinemisli/9912.

8. Esli ty ne umeesh’ byt’ developerom, to stanovis’ podryadchikom [If You Can’t Be a Developer, then Become a Contractor]. Kommersant”, 2022, January, 12, available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5157145?query=Shcherbina.

9. Putin: stroitel’nyi kompleks stanet lokomotivom rosta pri vosstanovlenii ekonomiki [Putin: the Construction Complex will Become a Locomotive of Growth in the Economy Recovery]. TASS, 2020, April, 16, available at: https://tass.ru/ekonomika/8261871.

10. Borisov D. Drugogo kachestva stroika [Construction of a Different Quality]. Vedomosti, 2022, January, 26, available at: https://www.vedomosti.ru/opinion/articles/2022/01/25/906386-drugogo-kachestva.

11. Shokhina E. Renovatsiya s shirokim radiusom porazheniya [Renovation with a Wide Radius of Damage]. Vedomosti, 2020, September, 21, available at: https://www.vedomosti.ru/economics/articles/2020/09/21/840703-renovatsiya-shirokim.

12. Shokhina E. Rossiiskoi ekonomike ne khvataet slozhnosti [Russian Economy Lacks Complexity]. Vedomosti, 2020, September, 29, available at: https://www.vedomosti.ru/economics/articles/2020/09/29/841465-rossiiskoi-ekonomike.

13. Korolev N. AT Consulting obluchat investitsiyami [AT Consulting will be Irradiated with Investments]. Kommersant”, 2021, December, 20, available at:

Necessity of Applying Methodology for Selecting Strategic Investment Initiatives in the Framework of Measures for Integrated Planning of Subjects of the Russian Federation

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-1.181.2022.52-57

The article discusses development of a methodology for selecting strategic investment initiatives, its purpose, as well as the basic concepts used herein. The principles of selecting strategic investment initiatives for the subject of the Federation are identified. In conclusion, the author provides a response to the question on the role of ecosystems in changing technological and world economic patterns, as well as information on the ways to access measures of state support for originators of strategic investment initiatives.

Источники:

1. Federal’nyi zakon ot 28 iyunya 2014 g. N 172-FZ “O strategicheskom planirovanii v Rossiiskoi Federatsii” [Federal Law No. 172-FZ of June 28, 2014 “On Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation”]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Prezidenta RF, available at: http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/38630.

2. Kontseptsiya dolgosrochnogo sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiiskoi Federatsii na period do 2020 goda (utv. rasporyazheniem Pravitel’stva RF ot 17 noyabrya 2008 g. N 1662-r) [The concept of long-term socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2020 (approved by the Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation dated No. 1662-r dated November 17, 2008]. Ofitsial’nyi sait Pravitel’stva RF, available at: http://static.government.ru/media/files/aaooFKSheDLiM99HEcyrygytfmGzrnAX.pdf.

3. Prognoz sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossiiskoi Federatsii na period do 2036 goda (utv. Pravitel’stvom Rossiiskoi Federatsii 22 noyabrya 2018 g. (protokol N 34, razdel II, punkt 2)) [Forecast of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2036 (approved by the Government of the Russian Federation on November 22, 2018 (Protocol No. 34, Section II, paragraph 2))]. Sait Ministerstva ekonomicheskogo razvitiya RF, available at: https://www.economy.gov.ru/material/file/a5f3add5deab665b344b47a8786dc902/prognoz2036.pdf.

4. Prikaz Ministerstva ekonomicheskogo razvitiya RF ot 23 marta 2017 g. N 132 “Ob utverzhdenii Metodicheskikh rekomendatsii po razrabotke i korrektirovke strategii sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya sub”ekta Rossiiskoi Federatsii i plana meropriyatii po ee realizatsii” [Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation No. 132 dated March 23, 2017 “On approval of Methodological  Recommendations for the development and adjustment of the strategy of socio-economic development of the subject of the Russian Federation and the action plan for its implementation”]. Sait Ministerstva ekonomicheskogo razvitiya RF, available at: https://www.economy.gov.ru/material/file/3b00b259b4cccebf36dd63177813aa7a/Prikaz132.pdf.

5. Mityaev D.A., Matchenko E.A. Obosnovanie neobkhodimosti realizatsii strategicheskikh investitsionnykh initsiativ v sub”ektakh Rossiiskoi Federatsii s uchetom razvitiya tekhnologii chetvertoi industrial’noi revolyutsii [Justification of the need to implement strategic investment initiatives in the subjects of the Russian Federation, taking into account the development of technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution]. Voprosy novoi ekonomiki, 2019, no 3(51), pp. 18–27.

Strategic Planning and Industrial Policy at the Current Stage of the Cyclic World Economic Development

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-1.181.2022.40-51

The article substantiates appropriateness of the network industrial policy to technological and socio-economic challenges of the modern era of the VI technological order (the second stage of the third technological megacycle). Given the fact that at the present stage technological and sectoral priorities of the national economic development can be formulated more clearly (compared to the previous stage of the technological megacycle), one of the key elements of industrial policy is strategic planning. It is concluded that in Russia since the 2000s there has been a process of establishing a national system of strategic planning, accelerated after the 2014 events. At the same time, its contradictory nature is shown, which determines the low effectiveness of the strategic documents implementation. This, in its turn, significantly reduces the probability that in the XXI century Russia would be able to become one of the world economic leaders.

Источники:

1. Tolkachev S.A., Teplyakov A.Yu. Kontseptsiya otraslevogo rasprostraneniya bazisnykh tekhnologii: novyi tekhnologicheskii megatsikl [The Concept of Sectoral Diffusion of Basic Technologies: New Technological Megacycle]. Ekonomist, 2020, no 1, pp. 25–35.

2. Tolkachev S.A., Teplyakov A.Yu. Tekhnologicheskii megatsikl i promyshlennaya politika [Technological Megacycle and Industrial Policy]. Ekonomist, 2021, no 1, pp. 43–54.

3. Glaz’ev S.Yu. Mirokhozyaistvennye uklady v global’nom ekonomicheskom razvitii [World Economic Orders in Global Economic Development]. Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody, 2016, no 2, pp. 3–29.

4. Aivazov A.E., Belikov V.A., Romanova A. Evolyutsiya mirovoi denezhno-valyutnoi sistemy v protsesse smeny mirokhozyaistvennykh ukladov [Evolution of the World Monetary System in the Process of Changing World Economic Orders]. Ekonomist, 2019, no 7, pp. 40–53.

5. Tolkachev S.A., Teplyakov A.Yu. Kontseptsiya tsiklicheskoi posledovatel’nosti rasprostraneniya bazisnykh tekhnologii v ekonomike i ontologicheskaya obuslovlennost’ teorii industrial’nogo obshchestva [The Concept of Cyclic Sequence of the Basic Technologies Diffusion in the Economy and Ontological Conditionality of the Industrial Society Theories]. Ekonomicheskoe vozrozhdenie Rossii, 2019, no 4, pp. 19–36.

6. Tolkachev S.A. Setevaya promyshlennaya politika v epokhu novoi industrial’noi revolyutsii [Network Industrial Policy in the Era of the New Industrial Revolution]. Zhurnal NEA, 2018, no 3, pp. 155–162.

7. Kontseptsiya sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Rossii do 2020 goda [The Concept of Socio-economic Development of Russia until 2020]. Konsul’tantPlyus, available at: http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_82134/28c7f9e359e8af09d7244d8033c66928fa27e527/

8. Strategiya-2020, available at: http://2020strategy.ru/

9. Kontseptsiya razvitiya Rossii do 2020 goda okazalas’ nevypolnimoi. Pochemu razoshlis’ traektorii natsional’nykh tselei 2008 goda i fakticheskogo razvitiya strany [The Concept of Russia’s Development until 2020 Turned Out to be Unfeasible. Why Trajectories of the National Goals of 2008 and of Actual Development of the Country have Diverged]. RBK, 2019, November, 2, available at: https://www.rbc.ru/economics/02/11/2019/5db946fb9a794742bc0d5b68.