DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.6-13

Currently, qualitative and quantitative approaches are used to assess the performance of regional executive authorities. The estimates obtained on their basis, as a rule, imply a subjective component. This paper proposes a method that makes it possible to obtain weighting coefficients for evaluation indicators on a formal basis without involving experts. It involves four main stages of calculations: preparation of initial data, including a set of assessment indicators; formation of a structural matrix of achievements; assessing the complexity of indicators and achievement structures; performance assessment. The peculiarity of the proposed approach is that it allows us to get an idea of the relative complexity of solving problems and achieving the goals of socio-economic development. This idea is based on a comparative analysis of the weights of evaluation indicators obtained on a formal basis.

References: 

1. Chazova I.Yu. Otsenka effektivnosti deyatel’nosti organov gosudarstvennoy vlasti [Assessment of the Effectiveness of the Activities of Public Authorities]. Vestnik Udmurtskogo universiteta. Seriya: Ekonomika i pravo, 2019, no 6, pp. 776–785.

2. Okrepilov V.V. Povyshenie kachestva gosudarstvennykh uslug posredstvom vnedreniya sistem menedzhmenta kachestva [Improving the Quality of Public Services through the Introduction of Quality Management Systems]. Izvestiya Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta ekonomiki i finansov, 2012, no 6(78), pp. 9–17.

3. Kozhevnikov S.A. Povyshenie effektivnosti gosudarstvennogo upravleniya — klyuchevaya zadacha dlya sovremennoy Rossii [Improving the Efficiency of Public Administration is a Key Task for Modern Russia]. Ekonomicheskie i sotsial’nye peremeny: fakty, tendentsii, prognoz, 2017, vol. 10, no 3, pp. 78–99.

4. Golovtsova I.G., Terent’eva K.D. Effektivnost’ gosudarstvennogo upravleniya kak instrument povysheniya kachestva zhizni naseleniya: Sovremennyy menedzhment: problemy i perspektivy: Sb. statey po itogam XVI Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii, Sankt-Peterburg, 29–30 aprelya 2021 g. [Efficiency of Public Administration as a Tool for Improving the Quality of Life of the Population: Modern Management: Problems and Prospects: Collection of articles from the XVI International Scientific and Practical Conference, St. Petersburg, April 29–30, 2021]. Saint Petersburg, Sankt-Peterburgskiy gosudarstvennyy ekonomicheskiy universitet, 2021, pp. 26–31.

5. O’Loughlin C.T., Wilson P.W. Benchmarking the performance of US Municipalities. Empir Econ., 2021, no 60, 2665–2700, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/ s00181-021-02026-2

6. Geys B., Heinemann F, Kalb A. Local Government Efficiency in German Municipalities. RuR. 2013 Aug. 31;71(4):283–293. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/ s13147-012-0191-x

7. Kryukov S.V. Model’ formirovaniya reytinga gubernatorov na osnove otsenki urovnya i kachestva zhizni v regione [A Model for the Formation of a Rating of Governors based on an Assessment of the Level and Quality of Life in the Region]. Vektor ekonomiki, 2018, no 8(26), pp. 12–17.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-2.182.2022.6-19

One of the most promising tools for monitoring and predicting social processes are agent-based models, which are widely used abroad. Their advantage lies in the consideration of the system under study at the level of its individual individuals, which increases the realism of these computer-based assessment methods. In Russia, this direction is also developing, although not so actively. The article discusses the dynamics of the population of Russia, as well as the factors of increasing the birth rate, successful examples of the practical implementation of agent models for studying social processes, a brief description of the model we developed, which includes 146 million agents, is given. With the help of this tool, a forecast of the population of Russia and an assessment of the impact on this indicator of some measures aimed at improving the demographic situation were obtained.

Источники:

1. Makarov V.L., Bakhtizin A.R., Il’in N.I. Modelirovanie i otsenka natsional’noi sily Rossii [Modeling and Assessing the National Strength of Russia]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2020, no 2, pp. 6–19, available at: DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-2.168.2020.6-19.

2. Makarov V.L., Bakhtizin A.R., Il’in N.I., Sushko E.D. Natsional’naya bezopasnost’ Rossii [National Security of Russia]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2020, no 5, pp. 6–23, available at: DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-5.171.2020.6-23.

3. Andreev E.M., Darskii L.E., Khar’kova T.L. Naselenie Sovetskogo Soyuza: 1922–1991 [Population of the Soviet Union: 1922–1991]. Moscow, Nauka, 1993, 143 p.

4. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoi statistiki [Federal State Statistics Service], available at: https://rosstat.gov.ru.

5. Zdravookhranenie [Healthcare]. Federal’naya sluzhba gosudarstvennoi statistiki, available at:  https://rosstat.gov.ru/folder/13721.

6. Sobotka T., Matysiak A., Brzozowska Z. Policy responses to low fertility: How effective are they? Working Paper, May, 2019, N 1, available at: https://www.unfpa.org/sites/default/files/pub-pdf/Policy_responses_low_fertility_UNFPA_WP_Final_corrections_7Feb2020_CLEAN.pdf.

7. The World Bank, available at: https://data.worldbank.org.

8. Aganbegyan A.G. O katastroficheskom uvelichenii smertnosti i merakh po sberezheniyu naroda v Rossii [On Catastrophic Increase in Mortality and Measures to Save the People in Russia]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2021, no 4, pp. 6–13, available at: DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-4.178.2021.6-13.

9. Country Comparisons — Death Rate. The World Factbook, available at: https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/field/death-rate/country-comparison.

10. Goldstein J.R., Koulovatianos C., Li J., Schr der C. Evaluating how child allowances and daycare subsidies affect fertility. Goethe University Frankfurt am Main, available at: http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-430067.

11. Kalwij A. The impact of family policy expenditure on fertility in western Europe. Demography, 2010, N 47(2), pp. 503–519, available at: DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.0.0104.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-1.181.2022.20-33

The introduction of digital technologies has a significant impact on the development of the entire public administration system and its most important element — the strategic planning system. Modern digital intelligent technologies and the work of government bodies based on the advanced achievements of management science and the unity of methodological approaches make it possible to raise the strategic planning system to a qualitatively new level. The key to success is the coordinated development of both the public administration system itself and the nationwide information and control systems. The authors, based on the analysis of the content of strategic management activities and the information used for this activity, formulated general approaches to the choice of information technologies to ensure the implementation of the stages of strategic  management.

Источники:

1. Putin V.V. Zasedanie Soveta Bezopasnosti 27 sentyabrya 2021 g. [Meeting of the Security Council on September 27, 2021. Ofitsial’nyi sait Prezidenta RF, available at: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66777.

2. Ukaz Prezidenta RF ot 8 noyabrya 2021 g. N 633 “Ob utverzhdenii Osnov gosudarstvennoi politiki v sfere strategicheskogo planirovanii v Rossiiskoi Federatsii” [Decree of the President of the Russian Federation of November 8, 2011 No. 633 “On Approval of the Fundamentals of State Policy in the Sphere of Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation”]. Garant, available at: https://www.garant.ru/products/ipo/prime/doc/402915816/

3. Kudryashova E.V. Informatsionnye tekhnologii dlya strategicheskogo planirovaniya v Rossii: etapy razvitiya i perspektivy [Information Technology for Strategic Planning in Russia: Development Stages and Prospects]. Gosudarstvennaya vlast’ i mestnoe samoupravlenie, 2021, no 2, pp. 36–40.

4. Andreeva Z.K., Baryshnikov P.Yu., Zhurenkov D.A., et al. Strategicheskoe tselepolaganie v situatsionnykh tsentrakh razvitiya [Strategic Goal-setting in Situational Development Centers]. Pod red. V.E. Lepskogo, A.N. Raikova. Moscow, Kogito-Tsentr, 2018, 320 p.

5. Kupryashin G.L., Shramm A.E. O printsipakh datatsentrizma, setetsentrizma i komandnotsentrizma v kontekste informatizatsii gosudarstvennogo upravleniya [On Principles of Data, Network, and Chain-Of-Command Centricity in the Context of Digital Governance]. Gosudarstvennoe upravlenie. Elektronnyi vestnik, vyp. 76, 2019, October.

6. Zatsarinnyi A.A., Il’in N.I., Kolin K.K., et al. Situatsionnye tsentry razvitiya v polisub”ektnoi srede [Situational Development Centers in a Multi-subject Environment]. Problemy upravleniya, 2017, no 5, pp. 31–42.

7. Kaplan R., Norton D. Strategicheskie karty. Transformatsiya nematerial’nykh aktivov v material’nye rezul’taty [Strategic Maps. Converting Intangible Assets into Tangible Results]. Moscow, Olimp-Biznes, 2005, 512 p.

8. Kaplan R., Norton D. Sbalansirovannaya sistema pokazatelei. Ot strategii k deistviyu [The Balanced Scorecard. From Strategy to Action]. Moscow, Olimp-Biznes, 2017, 320 p.