DOI: 10.33917/es-5.203.2025.64-73

The article substantiates a working toolkit for assessing the risks of implementing alternative projects aimed at creation and production of supersonic passenger aircraft in Russia based on the SWOT analysis techniques. The authors propose a methodological approach to formalizing definition of the competition intensity between manufacturers, as well as the degree of suppliers’ and buyers’ influence on them (developing the conceptual provisions of M. Porter’s five forces of competition model) based on the Herfindahl-Hirschman index. Primary matrix is constructed. Contribution of each factor to the overall integral result is calculated using the modified method of analyzing the internal and external environment profiles, proposed by the authors. The main factors of the project’s effectiveness and threats to its successful completion are identified. Preliminary assessment of the potential need of Russian aviation companies for supersonic aircraft designed for passenger transportation in the Far Eastern Federal District is given.

References:

[1-14] See in no. 4/2025. p. 137.

15. Pukhov A.A., Kolpakov S.K. Uroven’ gotovnosti tekhnologiy zarubezhnykh proektov sverkhzvukovykh grazhdanskikh samoletov novogo pokoleniya [The Level of Readiness of Technologies of Foreign Projects of Supersonic Civil Aircraft of the New Generation]. TVF (Tekhnika vozdushnogo flota), 2023, no 2, pp. 7–28.

16. Matchenko O.V. V razrabotke sverkhzvukovogo passazhirskogo samoleta my mozhem operedit’ Zapad [We Can Get Ahead of the West in Developing a Supersonic Passenger Aircraft]. MashNews. 2023, 29 maya, available at: https://mashnews.ru/v-razrabotke-sverxzvukovogo-passazhirskogo-samolyota-myimozhem-operedit-zapadnyix-konkurentov-chlen-korrespondent-ran-kirill-syipalo.html

17. Amirdzhanyan M. Pervyy v RF sverkhzvukovoy grazhdanskiy samolet mozhet byt’ sproektirovan za sem’-vosem’ let [The First Supersonic Civil Aircraft in Russia Could be Designed in Seven to Eight Years]. TASS, 2018, 29 yanvarya, available at: https://tass.ru/ekonomika/4911172

18. Kramnik I. Illyuziya vozmozhnostey: zachem nuzhen sverkhzvukovoy passazhirskiy samolet [The Illusion of Possibilities: Why We Need a Supersonic Passenger Jet]. Izvestiya, 2019, 19 fevralya.

19. Samofalova O. Ambitsioznyy proekt novogo sverkhzvukovogo avialaynera obrechen na proval [Ambitious New Supersonic Airliner Project Doomed to Failure]. Vzglyad, 2019, 1 fevralya, available at: https://vz.ru/economy/2019/2/1/962052.html

20. Sidnyaev N.I. Perspektivy razvitiya sovremennykh sverkhzvukovykh passazhirskikh samoletov [Prospects for the Development of Modern Supersonic Passenger Aircraft]. Inzhenernyy zhurnal: nauka i innovatsii, 2023, no 1, pp. 1–31.

21. Shchennikov V.S. Perspektivy razrabotki sverkhzvukovykh passazhirskikh samoletov [Prospects for the Development of Supersonic Passenger Aircraft]. Vestnik ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti, 2018, no 2, pp. 369–373.

22. FAA nastraivaet sverkhzvuk pod sebya [FAA Tweaks Supersonics to Suit Its Needs]. Aeronautica.online, 2019, 23 iyunya, available at: https://aeronautica.online/faa-announces-upcoming -rulemakings — civil- supersonic-flight

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.202.2025.134-137

The article substantiates a working toolkit for assessing the risks of implementing alternative projects aimed at creation and production of supersonic passenger aircraft in Russia based on the SWOT analysis techniques. The authors propose a methodological approach to formalizing definition of the competition intensity between manufacturers, as well as the degree of suppliers’ and buyers’ influence on them (developing the conceptual provisions of M. Porter’s five forces of competition model) based on the Herfindahl-Hirschman index. Primary matrix is constructed. Contribution of each factor to the overall integral result is calculated using the modified method of analyzing the internal and external environment profiles, proposed by the authors. The main factors of the project’s effectiveness and threats to its successful completion are identified. Preliminary assessment of the potential need of Russian aviation companies for supersonic aircraft designed for passenger transportation in the Far Eastern Federal District is given.

References:

1. Vedmed’ I.Yu. Analiz kolichestvennykh metodov otsenki riskov investitsionnykh proektov: Sb. dokladov XI Mezhdunarodnoy konferentsii “Rossiyskie regiony v fokuse peremen”. Ekaterinburg, 17–19 noyabrya 2016 g. [Analysis of Quantitative Methods for Assessing Investment Project Risks: Collection of Papers from the XI International Conference “Russian Regions in the Focus of Change”. Ekaterinburg, November 17–19, 2016]. Ekaterinburg, Izd-vo UMTs UPI, 2016, part 1, pp. 52–61.

2. Koshechkin S.A. Metody kolichestvennogo analiza riskov investitsionnykh proektov [Methods of Quantitative Analysis of Investment Project Risks]. Planovik.Ru, available at: http://planovik.ru/invest/articles/3.htm

3. Trifonov Yu.V., Plekhanova A.F., Yurlov F.F. Vybor effektivnykh resheniy v ekonomike v usloviyakh neopredelennosti [Selecting Effective Solutions in Economics under Conditions of Uncertainty]. N. Novgorod, Izd-vo NNGU, 1998, 140 p.

4. Chetyrkin E.M. Finansovyy analiz proizvodstvennykh investitsiy [Financial Analysis of Production Investments]. Moscow, Delo, 1998, 256 p.

5. Damodaran A. Investitsionnaya otsenka [Investment Valuation]. Moscow, Al’pina Biznes Buks, 2008, 659 p.

6. Kurilova A.A., Polteva T.V. Uchet riska i neopredelennosti pri otsenke effektivnosti investitsionnykh proektov [Taking Into Account Risk and Uncertainty when Assessing the Effectiveness of Investment Projects]. Karel’skiy nauchnyy zhurnal, 2016, no 4(17), pp. 181–184.

7. Rukovodstvo po effektivnosti investitsiy [Investment Performance Guide]. Moscow, Interekspress, YuNIDO (UNIDO), 1998, 387 p.

8. Metodicheskie rekomendatsii po otsenke effektivnosti investitsionnykh proektov [Methodological Recommendations for Assessing the Effectiveness of Investment Projects]. Moscow, Ekonomika, 421 p.

9. Sinyavskiy N. Otsenka biznesa: gipotezy, instrumentariy, prakticheskie resheniya v razlichnykh sferakh deyatel’nosti [Business Valuation: Hypotheses, Tools, Practical Solutions in Various Fields of Activity]. Moscow, Finansy i statistika, 2008, 240 p.

DOI: 10.33917/es-1.187.2023.130-142

The main purpose of this work is to develop theoretical and methodological provisions for substantiation of strategic decisions in the field of forming (in the context of military production and import substitution diversification) plans for manufacturing high-tech civilian products by enterprises of the domestic military-industrial complex (DIC).

The following issues are addressed and resolved in the paper: 1) comparative analysis of the specific features of the organization of the of military products manufacturing was carried out; 2) proposals were made on the range of high-tech civilian products that can be produced by defence industry enterprises in the context of the military production diversification; 3) the expediency of using simulation modeling in formation and justification of military production diversification programs was proved; 4) the fundamental principles of building simulation models were formulated and substantiated; 5) the sequence, order, methods and procedures for developing medium-term and annual plans for economic and social development of diversified defence industry enterprises in the context of diversifying military production were developed.

Scientific novelty of the present article consists primarily in qualitative assessment of the impact of changing external factors on the results and performance of economic entities (enterprises), carried out with the help of simulation modeling as a working tool.

References:

1. Bratukhin A.G., Dmitriev O.N., Koval’kov Yu.A. Potentsial konversii [Conversion Potential]. Moscow, Mashinostroenie, 1992, 453 p.

2. Bratukhin A.G., Kulichkov E.N., Kalachanov V.D. Konversiya aviakosmicheskogo kompleksa Rossii [Conversion of the Russian Aerospace Complex]. Moscow, Mashinostroenie, 1994, 272 p.

3. Bratukhin A.G., Kalachanov V.D., Yakovlev S.P. Diversifikatsiya rossiiskogo aviatsionnogo promyshlennogo kompleksa [Diversification of the Russian Aviation Industrial Complex]. Moscow, MAI, 1999, 131 p.

4. Manturov D.V., Kalachanov V.D., Efimova N.S. Organizatsiya proizvodstva v aviatsionnoi promyshlennosti: analiz i perspektivy [Industrial Organization in the Aviation Industry: Analysis and Perspectives]. Monografiya. Moscow, Red. izd. Tsentr ITEP, 2013, 152 p.

5. Chemezov S.V., Volobuev P.A., Koptev Yu.I., Kashirin A.I. Diversifikatsiya, kompetentsii, problemy i zadachi. Novye vozmozhnosti [Diversification, Competencies, Problems and Challenges. New Opportunities]. Innovatsii, 2017, no 4, pp. 3–26.

6. Bat’kovskii A.M., Klochkov V.V. Upravlenie material’no-tekhnicheskoi bazoi predpriyatii oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa v usloviyakh diversifikatsii [Managing Material and Technical Base of Enterprises of the Defence-industrial Complex in the Context of Diversification]. Voprosy innovatsionnoi ekonomiki, 2020, vol. 10, no 1, pp. 363–374.

7. Bat’kovskii A.M., Fomina A.V. Razrabotka programmy diversifikatsii predpriyatiya oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa [Development of a Diversification Program for a Defence-industrial Complex Enterprise]. Nauka bez granits, 2020, no 5(45), pp. 151–157.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.180.2021.134-142

One of the key ones and most cost-effective technology from an economic point of view for the real sector is the Internet of Things (IoT) technology, which is usually provided in the form of Internet of Things (IoT) platforms, still does not have its own framework for assessing its economic efficiency. The author proposes a methodological approach based on a combination of classical methods of investment analysis and an architectural approach. From the information point of view the scientific work is based on cost-effectiveness studies of IoT projects, domestic and foreign scientific publications, IT cases and research on taxonomy of IoT platforms. The proposed approach may serve as the basis both for preparation of financial business cases and for facilitating the development of tools for objective assessment of the project initiatives attractiveness as part of implementation of the state digital development programs in Russia.

Источники:

1. Tsifrovoe desyatiletie. V nogu so vremenem [Digital Decade. In Step with the Times]. PriceWaterhouseCoopers, 2017, available at: https://www.pwc.ru/ru/publications/global-digital-iq-survey-rus.pdf.

2. Tsifrovaya Rossiya: novaya real’nost’ [Digital Russia: New Reality]. McKinsey, 2017, available at: https://www.mckinsey.com/ru/~/media/mckinsey/locations/europe%20and%20middle%20east/russia/our%20insights/digital%20russia/digital-russia-report.pdf.

3. Pasport federal’nogo proekta “Tsifrovye tekhnologii” [Passport of the “Digital Technologies” Federal Project]. Tsifrovaya ekonomika, available at: https://files.data-economy.ru/Docs/FP_Cifrovye_texnologii_pdf.

4. Internet of Things, IoT, M2M market in Russia. TADVISER, available at: https://tadviser.com/index.php/Article:Internet_of_Things%2C_IoT%2C_M2M_%28Russian_market%29#IDC:_The_Internet_of_Things_market_in_Russia_will_grow_to_.249_billion_in_2020.

5. Kaczorowska A., Sloniec J., Motyka S. Comprehensive methods of evaluation and project efficiency account. Proceedings of the 2016 Federated Conference on Computer Science and Information Systems, 2016, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., pp. 1159–1168.

6. The State of Today’s IT: Process Maturity, Business Alignment, and Digital Transformation. HDI, available at: https://www.thinkhdi.com/~/media/HDICorp/Files/Industry-Reports/state-of-todays-IT-2017.pdf.

7. SDG Digital Investment Framework — A whole-of-Government Approach to Investing in Digital Technologies to Achieve the SDGs. International Telecommunication Union, available at: https://www.itu.int/pub/D-STR-DIGITAL.02-2019.

8. 2021 List of IoT Platforms Companies. IOT-ANALYICS, available at: https://iot-analytics.com/product/list-of-iot-platform-companies/

9. APQC Cross Industry Process Classification Framework version 7.2.1. APQC. 2021, available at: https://www.apqc.org/resource-library/resource-listing/apqcprocess-classification-framework-pcf-cross-industry-excel-7.

10. Porter M. Konkurentnoe preimushchestvo: Kak dostich’ vysokogo rezul’tata i obespechit’ ego ustoichivost’ [Competitive Advantage: How to Achieve High Result and Ensure Its Sustainability]. Moscow, Al’pina Pablisher, 2016, 1020 p.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.180.2021.46-57

In modern conditions, implementation of sustainable progressive movement of the country by carrying out large-scale structural changes can be realized only on the basis of a centralized identification of areas, goals, priorities of socio-economic development, as well as indicators of strategies, programs and plans interconnected at all levels of the country’s national economy management. Methodologically the article is based on dialectical method of scientific knowledge, as well as systemic and institutional approaches. Scientific periodicals (monographs, scientific articles, etc.) and official documents of legislative and executive authorities of the Russian Federation on the issues of state strategic and long-term planning in Russia and the USSR were used as an information and analytical base. The article dwells on the following issues: 1) as a result of analysis of domestic and foreign literary sources, as well as regulatory and methodological guidelines in the field of state strategic planning, its main shortcomings were identified. According to the authors, these include: dissemination of program-targeted management methods not only into all spheres of socio-economic development, but also to the areas of budget allocations, the lack of sufficient information base of calculations; 2) methodological approach (stages, sequence of work, methods and procedures) to elaborating state programs for the economic development of the country, industries and regions is proposed; 3) application of the methods of hierarchies analysis (MHA) and network modeling (NPM) as the main methods for developing state programs is substantiated; 4) proposals on the composition and structure of the information base for calculating indicators of state programs are given.

Источники:

1. Kondrat’ev N.D. Izbrannye sochineniya [Selected Works]. Moscow, Ekonomika, 1993, 543 p.

2. Leont’ev V.V. Ekonomicheskie esse. Teoriya issledovaniya, fakty i politika [Economic Essays. Research Theory, Facts and Politics]. Moscow, 2003, 156 p.

3. Kantorovich L.V. Matematicheskie metody organizatsii planirovaniya proizvodstva [Mathematical Methods for Organizing Production Planning]. Moscow, Izd-vo Leningradskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 1939, 67 p.

4. Afonina I.A., Ivanova O.D., Panasevich O.E. O konferentsii “Strategicheskoe planirovanie v usloviyakh narastaniya vneshnikh ugroz: neobkhodimost’ mobilizatsii vnutrennikh resursov dlya razvitiya Rossii” [On the Conference “Strategic Planning in the Face of Growing External Threats: the Need to Mobilize Internal Resources for the Development of Russia”]. Mikroekonomika, 2014, no 6, pp. 138–144.

5. Buzgalin A.V., Kolganov A.I. Vozrozhdenie planirovaniya, uroki (politiko-ekonomicheskii diskurs) [Revival of Planning, Lessons (Political and Economic Discourse)]. Problemy teorii praktiki upravleniya, 2016, no 1, pp. 8–18.

6. Bukhval’d E.M. Strategicheskii dolgostroi; viden li itog? [Strategic Long-Term Construction; is There Any Result?]. ETAP. Ekonomicheskaya teoriya, analiz, praktika, 2017, no 6, pp. 33–47.