DOI: 10.33917/es-5.203.2025.64-73

The article substantiates a working toolkit for assessing the risks of implementing alternative projects aimed at creation and production of supersonic passenger aircraft in Russia based on the SWOT analysis techniques. The authors propose a methodological approach to formalizing definition of the competition intensity between manufacturers, as well as the degree of suppliers’ and buyers’ influence on them (developing the conceptual provisions of M. Porter’s five forces of competition model) based on the Herfindahl-Hirschman index. Primary matrix is constructed. Contribution of each factor to the overall integral result is calculated using the modified method of analyzing the internal and external environment profiles, proposed by the authors. The main factors of the project’s effectiveness and threats to its successful completion are identified. Preliminary assessment of the potential need of Russian aviation companies for supersonic aircraft designed for passenger transportation in the Far Eastern Federal District is given.

References:

[1-14] See in no. 4/2025. p. 137.

15. Pukhov A.A., Kolpakov S.K. Uroven’ gotovnosti tekhnologiy zarubezhnykh proektov sverkhzvukovykh grazhdanskikh samoletov novogo pokoleniya [The Level of Readiness of Technologies of Foreign Projects of Supersonic Civil Aircraft of the New Generation]. TVF (Tekhnika vozdushnogo flota), 2023, no 2, pp. 7–28.

16. Matchenko O.V. V razrabotke sverkhzvukovogo passazhirskogo samoleta my mozhem operedit’ Zapad [We Can Get Ahead of the West in Developing a Supersonic Passenger Aircraft]. MashNews. 2023, 29 maya, available at: https://mashnews.ru/v-razrabotke-sverxzvukovogo-passazhirskogo-samolyota-myimozhem-operedit-zapadnyix-konkurentov-chlen-korrespondent-ran-kirill-syipalo.html

17. Amirdzhanyan M. Pervyy v RF sverkhzvukovoy grazhdanskiy samolet mozhet byt’ sproektirovan za sem’-vosem’ let [The First Supersonic Civil Aircraft in Russia Could be Designed in Seven to Eight Years]. TASS, 2018, 29 yanvarya, available at: https://tass.ru/ekonomika/4911172

18. Kramnik I. Illyuziya vozmozhnostey: zachem nuzhen sverkhzvukovoy passazhirskiy samolet [The Illusion of Possibilities: Why We Need a Supersonic Passenger Jet]. Izvestiya, 2019, 19 fevralya.

19. Samofalova O. Ambitsioznyy proekt novogo sverkhzvukovogo avialaynera obrechen na proval [Ambitious New Supersonic Airliner Project Doomed to Failure]. Vzglyad, 2019, 1 fevralya, available at: https://vz.ru/economy/2019/2/1/962052.html

20. Sidnyaev N.I. Perspektivy razvitiya sovremennykh sverkhzvukovykh passazhirskikh samoletov [Prospects for the Development of Modern Supersonic Passenger Aircraft]. Inzhenernyy zhurnal: nauka i innovatsii, 2023, no 1, pp. 1–31.

21. Shchennikov V.S. Perspektivy razrabotki sverkhzvukovykh passazhirskikh samoletov [Prospects for the Development of Supersonic Passenger Aircraft]. Vestnik ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti, 2018, no 2, pp. 369–373.

22. FAA nastraivaet sverkhzvuk pod sebya [FAA Tweaks Supersonics to Suit Its Needs]. Aeronautica.online, 2019, 23 iyunya, available at: https://aeronautica.online/faa-announces-upcoming -rulemakings — civil- supersonic-flight

DOI: 10.33917/es-4.202.2025.134-137

The article substantiates a working toolkit for assessing the risks of implementing alternative projects aimed at creation and production of supersonic passenger aircraft in Russia based on the SWOT analysis techniques. The authors propose a methodological approach to formalizing definition of the competition intensity between manufacturers, as well as the degree of suppliers’ and buyers’ influence on them (developing the conceptual provisions of M. Porter’s five forces of competition model) based on the Herfindahl-Hirschman index. Primary matrix is constructed. Contribution of each factor to the overall integral result is calculated using the modified method of analyzing the internal and external environment profiles, proposed by the authors. The main factors of the project’s effectiveness and threats to its successful completion are identified. Preliminary assessment of the potential need of Russian aviation companies for supersonic aircraft designed for passenger transportation in the Far Eastern Federal District is given.

References:

1. Vedmed’ I.Yu. Analiz kolichestvennykh metodov otsenki riskov investitsionnykh proektov: Sb. dokladov XI Mezhdunarodnoy konferentsii “Rossiyskie regiony v fokuse peremen”. Ekaterinburg, 17–19 noyabrya 2016 g. [Analysis of Quantitative Methods for Assessing Investment Project Risks: Collection of Papers from the XI International Conference “Russian Regions in the Focus of Change”. Ekaterinburg, November 17–19, 2016]. Ekaterinburg, Izd-vo UMTs UPI, 2016, part 1, pp. 52–61.

2. Koshechkin S.A. Metody kolichestvennogo analiza riskov investitsionnykh proektov [Methods of Quantitative Analysis of Investment Project Risks]. Planovik.Ru, available at: http://planovik.ru/invest/articles/3.htm

3. Trifonov Yu.V., Plekhanova A.F., Yurlov F.F. Vybor effektivnykh resheniy v ekonomike v usloviyakh neopredelennosti [Selecting Effective Solutions in Economics under Conditions of Uncertainty]. N. Novgorod, Izd-vo NNGU, 1998, 140 p.

4. Chetyrkin E.M. Finansovyy analiz proizvodstvennykh investitsiy [Financial Analysis of Production Investments]. Moscow, Delo, 1998, 256 p.

5. Damodaran A. Investitsionnaya otsenka [Investment Valuation]. Moscow, Al’pina Biznes Buks, 2008, 659 p.

6. Kurilova A.A., Polteva T.V. Uchet riska i neopredelennosti pri otsenke effektivnosti investitsionnykh proektov [Taking Into Account Risk and Uncertainty when Assessing the Effectiveness of Investment Projects]. Karel’skiy nauchnyy zhurnal, 2016, no 4(17), pp. 181–184.

7. Rukovodstvo po effektivnosti investitsiy [Investment Performance Guide]. Moscow, Interekspress, YuNIDO (UNIDO), 1998, 387 p.

8. Metodicheskie rekomendatsii po otsenke effektivnosti investitsionnykh proektov [Methodological Recommendations for Assessing the Effectiveness of Investment Projects]. Moscow, Ekonomika, 421 p.

9. Sinyavskiy N. Otsenka biznesa: gipotezy, instrumentariy, prakticheskie resheniya v razlichnykh sferakh deyatel’nosti [Business Valuation: Hypotheses, Tools, Practical Solutions in Various Fields of Activity]. Moscow, Finansy i statistika, 2008, 240 p.

DOI: 10.33917/es-3.195.2024.126-137

In modern conditions the primary tool for attracting qualified specialists, minimizing staff turnover and stabilizing a workforce, maintaining and developing staff’s desire to improve professional knowledge and skills is the system of motivation and stimulation of their work activity. That is why the present article, which dwells on choosing the most suitable system for enterprises and organizations of the defenсe industry, based on specific industry characteristics, seems undoubtedly relevant. In the work: 1) literary sources dealing with the issues of labour stimulation are analyzed and summarized; 2) an analytical study was carried out using real data on dependence of the most important indicator of the production and economic activity – revenue from product sales – on the qualitative professional and age characteristics of the business entities’ personnel; 3) a comparative assessment of the personnel motivation and incentive systems used in developed foreign countries is given (information base, mechanisms for forming personnel remuneration rates, advantages, disadvantages, possible areas of application); 4) a justification is given for the expediency of using the Japanese system of lifelong employment, seniority and organization of groups from enterprises’ employees for searching and resolving the “bottlenecks” in the Russian military-industrial complex as the basic fundamental elements; 5) proposals (a set of organizational and economic measures) were formulated to attract young specialists into defence-industrial complex.

References:

1. Sokolov A.V. Sravnitel’naya otsenka finansovo-ekonomicheskogo polozheniya predpriyatiy oboronnoy promyshlennosti RF [Comparative Assessment of the Financial-Economic Situation of the Defence Industry Enterprises in the Russian Federation]. Novosibirsk, IEOPP SO RAN, 2010, 196 p.

2. Pisareva O.M. Analiz sostoyaniya i kharakteristika potentsiala razvitiya instrumentariya strategicheskogo planirovaniya v usloviyakh tsifrovoy transformatsii ekonomiki i upravleniya [Analysis of the State and Characteristics of the Development Potential of Strategic Planning Tools in the Context of Digital Transformation of Economy and Management]. MIR (Modernizatsiya. Innovatsii. Razvitie), 2018, vol. 9, no 4, pp. 502–529.

3. Shapiro S.A. Teoretiko-metodologicheskie osnovy upravleniya chelovecheskimi resursami v ekonomke Rossiyskoy Federatsii: Monografiya [Theoretical-Methodological Foundations of Human Resource Management in the Economy of the Russian Federation: Monograph]. Moscow, ID “AT i SO”, 2003, 274 p.

4. Kapitanova E.V., Suvalova T.V. Sovremennye tendentsii kadrovogo obespecheniya predpriyatiy oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa Rossii: problemy sistemy podgotovki kadrov i puti resheniya [Modern Trends in Staffing Enterprises of the Russian Military-Industrial Complex: Problems of the Personnel Training System and Solutions]. E-Management, 2021, vol. 4, no 4, pp. 86–96.