DOI: 10.33917/es-4.202.2025.134-137

The article substantiates a working toolkit for assessing the risks of implementing alternative projects aimed at creation and production of supersonic passenger aircraft in Russia based on the SWOT analysis techniques. The authors propose a methodological approach to formalizing definition of the competition intensity between manufacturers, as well as the degree of suppliers’ and buyers’ influence on them (developing the conceptual provisions of M. Porter’s five forces of competition model) based on the Herfindahl-Hirschman index. Primary matrix is constructed. Contribution of each factor to the overall integral result is calculated using the modified method of analyzing the internal and external environment profiles, proposed by the authors. The main factors of the project’s effectiveness and threats to its successful completion are identified. Preliminary assessment of the potential need of Russian aviation companies for supersonic aircraft designed for passenger transportation in the Far Eastern Federal District is given.

References:

1. Vedmed’ I.Yu. Analiz kolichestvennykh metodov otsenki riskov investitsionnykh proektov: Sb. dokladov XI Mezhdunarodnoy konferentsii “Rossiyskie regiony v fokuse peremen”. Ekaterinburg, 17–19 noyabrya 2016 g. [Analysis of Quantitative Methods for Assessing Investment Project Risks: Collection of Papers from the XI International Conference “Russian Regions in the Focus of Change”. Ekaterinburg, November 17–19, 2016]. Ekaterinburg, Izd-vo UMTs UPI, 2016, part 1, pp. 52–61.

2. Koshechkin S.A. Metody kolichestvennogo analiza riskov investitsionnykh proektov [Methods of Quantitative Analysis of Investment Project Risks]. Planovik.Ru, available at: http://planovik.ru/invest/articles/3.htm

3. Trifonov Yu.V., Plekhanova A.F., Yurlov F.F. Vybor effektivnykh resheniy v ekonomike v usloviyakh neopredelennosti [Selecting Effective Solutions in Economics under Conditions of Uncertainty]. N. Novgorod, Izd-vo NNGU, 1998, 140 p.

4. Chetyrkin E.M. Finansovyy analiz proizvodstvennykh investitsiy [Financial Analysis of Production Investments]. Moscow, Delo, 1998, 256 p.

5. Damodaran A. Investitsionnaya otsenka [Investment Valuation]. Moscow, Al’pina Biznes Buks, 2008, 659 p.

6. Kurilova A.A., Polteva T.V. Uchet riska i neopredelennosti pri otsenke effektivnosti investitsionnykh proektov [Taking Into Account Risk and Uncertainty when Assessing the Effectiveness of Investment Projects]. Karel’skiy nauchnyy zhurnal, 2016, no 4(17), pp. 181–184.

7. Rukovodstvo po effektivnosti investitsiy [Investment Performance Guide]. Moscow, Interekspress, YuNIDO (UNIDO), 1998, 387 p.

8. Metodicheskie rekomendatsii po otsenke effektivnosti investitsionnykh proektov [Methodological Recommendations for Assessing the Effectiveness of Investment Projects]. Moscow, Ekonomika, 421 p.

9. Sinyavskiy N. Otsenka biznesa: gipotezy, instrumentariy, prakticheskie resheniya v razlichnykh sferakh deyatel’nosti [Business Valuation: Hypotheses, Tools, Practical Solutions in Various Fields of Activity]. Moscow, Finansy i statistika, 2008, 240 p.

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.70-77

The article dwells on the problems of creating an innovative advanced scientific-technical reserve (STR) in the rocket and space industry, including innovative uncertainty, inadequacy of the federal regulatory framework to regulate the STR development, absence of a customer and a modern motivation system while creating an advanced STR, backwardness of public-private partnership in the rocket and space industry. Possible mechanisms for creating an innovative scientific-technical reserve are proposed.

References: 

1. Bobryshev A.D., Panova E.S. Primenenie sovremennykh upravlencheskikh instrumentov pri vnedrenii novatsiy na promyshlennykh predpriyatiyakh [Application of Modern Management Tools in the Implementation of Innovations in Industrial Enterprises]. Moscow, Berlin, Direkt-Media, 2016, 152 p.

2. Romanov A.A., Shpotya D.A. Bazovyy podkhod k identifikatsii kriticheskikh tekhnologiy: opredelenie vazhneyshikh inzhenernykh kharakteristik izdeliya [A Basic Approach to Identifying Critical Technologies: Determining the Critical Engineering Characteristics of a Product]. Raketno-kosmicheskoe priborostroenie i informatsionnye sistemy, 2016, vol. 3, vyp. 3, pp. 63–75.

3. Burlakov V.V., Pisarenko O.V. Problemy innovatsionnogo razvitiya predpriyatiy raketno-kosmicheskoy promyshlennosti [Problems of Innovative Development of Enterprises of the Rocket and Space Industry]. Nauchnyy vestnik OPK Rossii, 2020, no 4, pp. 53–61.

4. Panov A.D. Singulyarnaya tochka istorii [Singular Point of History]. Obshchestvennye nauki i sovremennost’, 2005, no 1, pp. 122–137.

5. Rezhimy s obostreniem: Evolyutsiya idei: Sb. statey [Regimes with Exacerbation: Evolution of the Idea: Collection of Articles]. Pod red. G.G. Malinetskogo, 2-e izd., ispr. i dop. Moscow, Fizmatlit, 2006, 312 p.

6. Ivliev G. Formirovanie natsional’noy programmy razvitiya intellektual’noy sobstvennosti [Formation of a National program for the Development of Intellectual Property]. Rospatent, available at: https://ppt-online.org/356849

7. Ivliev G. Dlya chego povyshat’ rezul’tativnost’ NIOKR [Why Improve R&D Efficiency]. Stimul, 2018, 1 dekabrya, available at: https://stimul.online/viewpoint/dlya-chego-povyshat-rezultativnost-niokr/

8. Ledenev V.V. Integratsiya malykh naukoemkikh firm i krupnykh korporatsiy v ramkakh natsional’noy innovatsionnoy sistemy [Integration of Small Knowledge-intensive Firms and Large Corporations within the Framework of the National Innovation System]. Korporativnoe upravlenie i innovatsionnoe razvitie ekonomiki Severa: Vestnik nauchno-issledovatel’skogo tsentra korporativnogo prava, upravleniya i venchurnogo investirovaniya Syktyvkarskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 2011, no 1, pp. 176–182.

9. Pisarenko D. Kto budet liderom? Akademik Marov o tom, kak ne proigrat’ bor’bu za kosmos [Who Will Be the Leader? Academician Marov on How Not to Lose the Fight for Space]. Argumenty i fakty. AIF.ru, 2018, 12 aprelya, available at: https://aif.ru/society/science/kto_budet_liderom_akademik_marov-o-perspektivah_osvoeniya_kosmosa

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.200.2025.62-69

The article examines key features of the economic activity of the Russian military-industrial complex (MIC). At the same time, it is substantiated that terms and concepts used in modern economic theory to characterize the activities of the defence industrial enterprises do not fully reflect the essence of the economic processes taking place in the MIC.

References: 

1. Shcheglov D.K., Pilikov N.A., Timofeev V.I. Kontseptual’nye osnovy tsifrovoy transformatsii organizatsiy oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa [Conceptual Foundations of Digital Transformation of Defense Industry Organizations]. Avtomatizatsiya v promyshlennosti, 2021, no 2, pp. 13–23.

2. Plotnikov V.A., Kharlamov A.V. Rossiyskiy oboronno-promyshlennyy kompleks kak faktor obespecheniya natsional’noy bezopasnosti i ustoychivogo sotsial’noekonomicheskogo razvitiya [The Russian Military-industrial Complex as a Factor in Ensuring National Security and Sustainable Socio-economic Development]. Ekonomika i upravlenie, 2017, no 11, pp. 53–60.

3. Shapoval E.V., Shelest M.V. Oboronno-promyshlennyy kompleks v sovremennoy ekonomike Rossii [The Military-industrial Complex in the Modern Economy of Russia]. Vestnik Gosudarstvennogo universiteta upravleniya, 2015, no 1, pp. 116–122.

4. Ovchinnikova A.V., Matveev V.V. Razvitie oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa Rossii i obespechenie konkurentosposobnosti natsional’noy ekonomiki [Development of the Russian Military-industrial Complex and Ensuring the Competitiveness of the National Economy]. Vestnik Yuzhno-Ural’skogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, Seriya: Ekonomika i menedzhment, 2021, no 15(2), pp. 99–105.

5. Kazantsev S.V. Znachenie oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa dlya pod”ema rossiyskoy ekonomiki [The Importance of the Military-Industrial Complex for the Boom of the Russian Economy]. Finansovyy zhurnal, 2014, no 1, pp. 45–52.

6. Shcherbakov G.V. Tochki Laffera, zona fiskal’nykh protivorechiy i stepen’ soglasiya nalogoplatel’shchikov [Laffer Points, the Zone of Fiscal Contradictions and the Degree of Taxpayer Agreement]. Vestnik Rossiyskogo universiteta druzhby narodov, Seriya: Ekonomika, 2019, no 27(1), pp. 49–62.

7. Polozhikhina M.A. Evolyutsiya obshchestva potrebleniya: ot Zhaklin Kennedi do Grety Tunberg [The Evolution of Consumer Society: From Jacqueline Kennedy to Greta Thunberg]. Sotsial’nye novatsii i sotsial’nye nauki, 2020, no 2(2), pp. 7–36.

8. Byatets I.V. Vliyanie riska na pribyl’ predpriyatiya [The Impact of Risk on Enterprise Profits]. Vestnik Udmurtskogo universiteta, Seriya: Ekonomika i pravo, 2011, no 1, pp. 28–30.

9. Eroshin S.E. Parametricheskiy monitoring predpriyatiy oboronno-promyshlennykh ob”edineniy: Avtoref. dis…. d-ra ekon. nauk: 5.2.3 [Parametric Monitoring of Enterprises of Defense-industrial Associations: Abstract of dis…. Doctor of Economics: 5.2.3]. Moskovskiy gosudarstvennyy universitet. Moscow, 2023, 49 p.

10. Shcheglov D.K., Saybel’ A.G. Formalizovannyy podkhod k prognozirovaniyu srokov i stoimosti razrabotki voenno-tekhnicheskikh system [A Formalized Approach to Forecasting the Timing and Cost of Developing Military-technical Systems]. Oboronnyy kompleks — nauchno-tekhnicheskomu progressu Rossii, 2022, no 3(155), pp. 33–44.