New Model of the Russian Economy Management in the Context of Hybrid Risks and Threats
DOI: 10.33917/es-5.203.2025.6-19
The article examines the problems of transforming the system for economic management of the Russian Federation, which could make it function in conditions of hybrid risks and critical threats. A set of measures for transforming management systems is structured, a number of functional stages is identified. The article substantiates the need to develop both general management and specific technical measures aimed at ensuring that the controlled contour of the system of state and corporate management centers within the resource supply infrastructure should be prepared for these types of risks and threats. The author concludes that the most appropriate management tool is adoption of a digital “twin” model of an economic entity (organizational agent). Obtained results will enable authorities to address organizational challenges in the event of the “drop-out of control centers at various levels” in order to operate with industry (regional) control centers and to work in a dialogue mode with structures of the Russian Federation Government and infrastructure organizations.
References:
1. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. SShA, Kitay, Rossiya: konfliktnye uyazvimosti v usloviyakh tranzita k novoy geostrategicheskoy paradigm [USA, China, Russia: Conflict Vulnerabilities in the Context of Transition to a New Geostrategic Paradigm]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2024, vol. 26, no 6(198), pp. 16–25, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-6.198.2024.16-25
2. Ageev A.I., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Ustoychivost’ ekonomicheskoy supersistemy Rossii i Belorussii v usloviyakh yadernoy ataki [Stability of the Economic Supersystem of Russia and Belarus in the Event of a Nuclear Attack]. Mikroekonomika, 2025, no 2, pp. 5–13. DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.121.2025. 5-13.
3. Perevooruzhenie Evropy [Rearmament of Europe]. Livejournal, 2025, 7 marta, available at: https://spydell.livejournal.com/802118.html
4. Pavel Shpidel’: Raskhody federal’nogo byudzheta Rossii [Expenditures of the Federal Budget of Russia]. Dzen, 2024, 1 oktyabrya, available at: https://dzen.ru/a/ZvwlBD2apwzl2Nap
5. Byudzhet Rossii [Budget of Russia]. TADVISER, 2025, 22 yanvarya, available at: https://www.tadviser.ru/index.php/Статья:Бюджет_России
6. Kak izmenyatsya gosudarstvennye raskhody v Rossii v 2025? [How will Government Spending Change in Russia in 2025?]. Livejournal, 2024, 3 oktyabrya, available at: https://spydell.livejournal.com/789883.html
7. Baza dannykh voennykh raskhodov SIPRI [SIPRI Military Expenditure Database]. SIPRI. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, available at: https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex
8. Dinamika oboronnykh raskhodov Rossii [Dynamics of Russia’s Defense Expenditures], available at: https://yandex.ru/images/
9. Ivanter V.V., Budanov I.A., Korovkin A.G., Sutyagin V.S. Prikladnoe prognozirovanie natsional’noy ekonomiki: Ucheb. posobie dlya vuzov. Gl. 29. Voenno-promyshlennyy kompleks [Applied Forecasting of the National Economy: Textbook for Universities. Chapter 29. Military-Industrial Complex]. Moscow, Ekonomist, 2007, 896 p. P. 711–736, available at: https://ecfor.ru/wp-content/uploads/books/uch/29.pdf
10. Loginov E.L. Razvitie ekonomiki v Rossii pod vozdeystviem sanktsiy [Economic Development in Russia under the Impact of Sanctions]. Moscow, Rusayns, 2024, 198 p.
11. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Pochemu ekonomika Rossii ne rukhnula pod vliyaniem sanktsiy? [Why did the Russian Economy not Collapse under the Influence of Sanctions?]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2024, vol. 26, no 3(195), pp. 16–27, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.195.2024.16-27
12. Ageev A.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Makarov V.L., Loginov E.L., Khabriev B.R. Ekonomicheskiy fundament pobedy: strategicheskiy prognoz ustoychivosti ekonomiki Rossii vusloviyakh sanktsionnykh atak [Economic Foundation of Victory: a Strategic Forecast for the Russian Economy Stability in the Face of Sanctions]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol. 25, no 3(189), pp. 6–15, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.189.2023.6-15
13. Makarov V.L., Ageev A.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Modelirovanie posledstviy yadernogo udara [Modeling the Сonsequences of a Nuclear Strike]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2022, vol. 24, no 4(184), pp. 6–16, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-4.184.2022.6-16
14. Ageev A.I., Grigor’ev V.V., Loginov E.L. Kvantovye simulyatory kak instrument nablyudaemosti tsifrovoy supersistemy s sushchestvennoy komponentoy nepredskazuemogo povedeniya ee elementov [Quantum Simulators as a Tool for Observability of a Digital Supersystem with a Significant Component of Unpredictable Behaviour of its Elements]. Mikroekonomika, 2024, no 5, pp. 5–13. DOI: 10.33917/mic-5.118.2024.5-13.
15. Ageev A.I., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Ispol’zovanie iskusstvennogo intellekta pri realizatsii komandovaniya voyskami i upravleniya grazhdanskimi ob”ektami kak edinym gibridnym polem boya: Neyrokompэyutery i ikh primenenie: Tezisy dokladov XX Vserossiyskoy nauchnoy konferentsii. Moskva, 22 marta 2022 g. [Use of Artificial Intelligence in the Implementation of Troop Command and Control of Civilian Facilities as a Single Hybrid Battlefield: Neurocomputers and Their Application: Abstracts of the XX All-Russian Scientific Conference. Moscow, March 22, 2022]. Moscow, Moskovskiy gosudarstvennyy psikhologo-pedagogicheskiy universitet, 2022, pp. 31–33.
16. Loginov E.L., Grigor’ev V.V., Zarbaliev S.M. Modelirovanie kriticheskikh situatsiy resursosnabzheniya Rossii i Belorussii v usloviyakh chrezvychaynykh situatsiy i osobogo perioda [Modeling Critical Situations of Resource Supply in Russia and Belarus in Emergency Situations and Special Periods]. Iskusstvennye obshchestva, 2024, vol. 19, no 4.
17. Makarov V.L., Ageev A.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Loginov E.L. Yadernaya ataka: strategicheskoe strukturirovanie grazhdanskoy organizatsionno-upravlencheskoy problem [Nuclear Attack: Strategic Structuring of a Civil Organizational Managerial Problem]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2025, vol. 27, no 1(199), pp. 6–23. DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-1.199.2025.6-23
18. Loginov E.L. Strategicheskie vektory podgotovki toplivno-energeticheskogo kompleksa Soyuznogo gosudarstva Rossii i Belorussii k usloviyam chrezvychaynykh situatsiy i osobogo perioda [Strategic Vectors for Preparing the Fuel and Energy Complex of the Union State of Russia and Belarus for Emergency Situations and Special Periods]. Problemy bezopasnosti i chrezvychaynykh situatsiy, 2024, no 6, pp. 49–53.
19. Loginov E.L., Shkuta A.A. Formirovanie dubliruyushchego kontura i tsentrov upravleniya Soyuznogo gosudarstva Rossii i Belorussii dlya raboty v usloviyakh chrezvychaynoy situatsii, prirodnoy ili tekhnogennoy katastrofy: Ekonomika, menedzhment, servis: sovremennye problemy i perspektivy: Materialy VI Vserossiyskoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii. Omsk, 7–8 noyabrya 2024 g. [Formation of a Backup Circuit and Control Centers of the Union State of Russia and Belarus for Work in Emergency Situations, Natural or Man-made Disasters: Economy, Management, Service: Modern Problems and Prospects: Proceedings of the VI All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference. Omsk, November 7-8, 2024]. Omsk, Omskiy gosudarstvennyy tekhnicheskiy universitet, 2024, pp. 225–227.
20. Ageev A.I., Bochkarev O.I., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Setetsentricheskaya sistema povyshennoy zhivuchesti upravleniya energetikoy Rossii v slozhnoprognoziruemykh kriticheskikh usloviyakh [Net-Centric System of Elevated Survivability of Energy Management in Russia Under Difficult-to-Predict Critical Conditions]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2021, vol. 23, no 3(177), pp. 6–17. DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.177.2021.6-17
21. Ageev A.I., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Ispol’zovanie superkomp’yuternykh tekhnologiy dlya upravleniya rabotoy sverkhbol’shikh organizatsionnykh sistem pri realizatsii slozhnykh spetsial’nykh proektov (operatsiy) [Using Supercomputer Technologies to Manage the Work of Very Large Organizational Systems in the Implementation of Complex Special Projects (Operations)]. Mikroekonomika, 2024, no 1, pp. 5–10. DOI: DOI: 10.33917/mic-1.114.2024.5-10.
22. Grabchak E.P., Grigor’ev V.V., Loginov E.L. Monitoring protsessov upravleniya elementami organizatsionno-tekhnicheskoy supersistemy s ispol’zovaniem modeli tsifrovogo “dvoynika” energeticheskogo ob”ekta v usloviyakh gibridnykh atak: Tsifrovye sistemy i modeli: teoriya i praktika proektirovaniya, razrabotki i ispol’zovaniya: Materialy Mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii. Kazan’, 10–11 aprelya 2025 g. [Monitoring of Control Processes of Elements of the Organizational and Technical Supersystem Using the Model of the Digital «Twin» of the Energy Facility under Hybrid Attacks: Digital Systems and Models: Theory and Practice of Design, Development and Use: Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference. Kazan, April 10-11, 2025]. Kazan’, Kazanskiy gosudarstvennyy energeticheskiy universitet, 2025, pp. 171–173.
23. Ageev A.I., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L., Loginova V.E. Tsifrovye imperativy upravleniya ekonomikoy v ramkakh transgranichnykh ekonomicheskikh prostranstv mezhdunarodnykh integratsionnykh ob”edineniy (soyuzov) s uchastiem Rossii [Digital Imperatives of Economic Management within the Cross-border Economic Spaces of International Integration Associations (Unions) with the Participation of Russia]. Mikroekonomika, 2021, no 1, pp. 5–10. DOI: 10.33917 / mic-1.96.2021.5-10.



