Countering Coups D’etat and Attempts to Forcefully Seize the Power in the Russian Federation

DOI: 10.33917/es-1.205.2026.14-23

Attempts to violently seize the power in post-Soviet states can be reduced to operation of complex organizational systems, which means that adaptive application of general principles and tools for managing such systems is possible. It is necessary to analyze such processes from scientific point of view and proactively plan measures or better yet, systemic mechanisms, to counter these processes, which will ensure the stability of public administration at various levels of hierarchy and administrative infrastructure of the Russian Federation.

References:

1. Ageev A.I. Rol’ sanktsiy, konfliktov i spetsoperatsiy: razmyshleniya o budushchem. Chast’ 2 [The Role of Sanctions, Conflicts, and Special Operations: Reflections on the Future. Part 2]. Nauchnyy vestnik oboronno-promyshlennogo kompleksa Rossii, 2024, no 1, pp. 33–42.

2. Ageev A.I., Grigor’ev V.V., Loginov E.L. Kvantovye simulyatory kak instrument nablyudaemosti tsifrovoy supersistemy s sushchestvennoy komponentoy nepredskazuemogo povedeniya ee elementov [Quantum Simulators as a Tool for Observability of a Digital Supersystem with a Significant Component of Unpredictable Behavior of its Elements]. Mikroekonomika, 2024, no 5, pp. 5–13.

3. Lyuttvak E. Gosudarstvennyy perevorot: Prakticheskoe posobie [Coup d’État: A Practical Handbook]. Moscow, Russkiy fond sodeystviya obrazovaniyu i nauke, 2015, 326 p.

4. Abramov V.I., Loginov E.L. Agentno-orientirovannye podkhody k analizu i prognozu politicheskikh nastroeniy v obshchestve i postroeniyu mekhanizmov korrektirovki polozhitel’nykh i otritsatel’nykh reaktsiy na sotsial’no-politicheskie situatsii: Rossiya v XXI veke: global’nye vyzovy i perspektivy razvitiya: Materialy Sed’mogo Mezhdunarodnogo foruma [Agent-based Approaches to the Analysis and Forecasting of Political Sentiment in Society and the Development of Mechanisms for Adjusting Positive and Negative Reactions to Socio-political Situations: Russia in the 21st Century: Global Challenges and Development Prospects: Proceedings of the Seventh International Forum]. Moscow, IPR RAN, 2018, pp. 373–376.

5. Ageev A.I., Loginov E.L. Modelirovanie protsessov obespecheniya ustoychivosti gosudarstvennykh organizatsionnykh sistem k popytkam zakhvata vlasti identifitsirovannym i neidentifitsirovannym protivnikom [Modeling the Processes of Ensuring the Resilience of State Organizational Systems to Attempts to Seize Power by an Identified and Unidentified Enemy]. Mikroekonomika, 2025, no 3, pp. 5–14.

6. Loginov E.L. Perekhvat upravleniya slozhnymi organizatsionnymi sistemami v usloviyakh razmyvaniya granits mezhdu fizicheskimi, kognitivnymi i tsifrovymi prostranstvami deyatel’nosti i sredami upravleniya [Taking Control of Complex Organizational Systems in the Context of Blurring Boundaries between Physical, Cognitive, and Digital Activity Spaces and Management Environments]. Ekonomika: teoriya i praktika, 2024, no 1(73), pp. 3–10.

7. Loginov E.L., Matveev A.G., Shkuta A.A. Opredelenie parametrov lokalizovannykh sostoyaniy neyavnykh grupp s sobstvennoy komponentoy aktivnogo povedeniya, ne sovpadayushchego s vektorom deystviy gosudarstvennoy supersistemy [Determination of the Parameters of Localized States of Implicit Groups with Their own Component of Active Behavior That does not Coincide with the Vector of Actions of the State Supersystem]. Iskusstvennye obshchestva, 2019, vol. 14, no 1, p. 5.

8. Rossiyskoe obshchestvo i vyzovy vremeni. Kniga shestaya [Russian Society and the Challenges of the Time. Book Six]. FNISTs RAN, Institut sotsiologii. Moscow, Ves’ Mir, 2022, p. 159.

9. Loginov E.L. Ispol’zovanie tekhnologiy Big Data dlya protivodeystviya massovym besporyadkam v usloviyakh nedostatka informatsii i neopredelennosti razvitiya situatsii: Iskusstvennyy intellekt (bol’shie dannye) na sluzhbe politsii: Sb. statey mezhdunarodnoy nauchno-prakticheskoy konferentsii [Using Big Data Technologies to Counter Mass Unrest in Conditions of Information Shortage and Uncertainty of the Situation Development: Artificial Intelligence (Big Data) in the Service of the Police: Collection of Articles from the International Scientific and Practical Conference]. Moscow, Akademiya upravleniya Ministerstva vnutrennikh del Rossiyskoy Federatsii, 2020, pp. 145–150.

10. Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Problemy predotvrashcheniya katastrof pri narushenii resursoobespecheniya v sistemakh kriticheskoy infrastruktury v usloviyakh s nizkoy dostovernost’yu informatsii i neopredelennost’yu razvitiya situatsii [Problems of Preventing Disasters in the Event of Resource Supply Disruption in Critical Infrastructure Systems in Conditions of Low Information Reliability and Uncertainty of the Situation Development]. Fundamental’nye osnovy mekhaniki, 2023, no 11, pp. 73–75.

11. Ageev A.I., Bakhtizin A.R., Makarov V.L., Loginov E.L., Khabriev B.R. Ekonomicheskiy fundament pobedy: strategicheskiy prognoz ustoychivosti ekonomiki Rossii v usloviyakh sanktsionnykh atak [Economic Foundation of Victory: a Strategic Forecast for the Russian Economy Stability in the Face of Sanctions]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2023, vol 25, no 3(189), pp. 6–15, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-3.189.2023.6-15

12. Ageev A.I., Grabchak E.P., Loginov E.L. Novaya model’ upravleniya ekonomikoy Rossii v usloviyakh gibridnykh riskov i ugroz [New Model of the Russian Economy Management in the Context of Hybrid Risks and Threats]. Ekonomicheskie strategii, 2025, vol. 27, no 5(203), pp. 6–19, DOI: https://doi.org/10.33917/es-5.203.2025.6-19