DOI: 10.33917/es-5.203.2025.86-91

The article examines special features of state planning for economic sectors in the Far Eastern Federal District based on forecasting the socio-economic development of the regions which constitute it. Factors determining the general principles of forecasting economic development up to 2030 are analyzed. The characteristics of macro-region include migration and natural decline, territorial disintegration and low transport connectivity of the regions. Active use of economic (preferential) regimes requires special attention to forecasting shortfall in revenues of the Russian Federation’s budget system and to assessing the positive effect on economic sectors. It is concluded that general approach to the economic development of the Russian Far East macro-region could be a sustainable development model based on a set of balanced indicators characterizing the overall development of the economy and settlement system within the boundaries of existing and prospective cities and rural areas.

References:

1. Demograficheskaya kharakteristika Dal’nevostochnogo federal’nogo okruga — 2023 [Demographic Characteristics of the Far Eastern Federal District — 2023]. FANU “Vostokgosplan”, available at: https://vostokgosplan.ru/wp-content/uploads/demograficheskaja-harakteristika-dfo.pdf

2. Prokapalo O.M., Bardal’ A.B., Mazitova M.G., Suslov D.V. Ekonomicheskaya kon”yunktura v Dal’nevostochnom federal’nom okruge v 2021 g. [Economic Situation in the Far Eastern Federal District in 2021]. Prostranstvennaya ekonomika, 2022, vol. 18, no 2, pp. 135–182, available at: https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2022.2.135-182

3. Zhurakovskiy V., Novopashina A., Grishin D., Bulyga Ye. Polustrukturnaya model’ ekonomiki Dal’nevostochnogo makroregiona [Semi-structural Model of the Economy of the Far Eastern Macroregion]. TSB RF. Seriya dokladov ob ekonomicheskikh issledovaniyakh, 2024, no 127 (fevral’), available at: https://cbr.ru/StaticHtml/File/158679/wp_127.pdf

4. Bukhonova N.M., Manukovskiy R.I., Yakovlev A.V. Statisticheskaya otsenka ekonomicheskogo potentsiala na osnove mnozhestvennogo regressionnogo analiza [Statistical Assessment of Economic Potential Based on Multiple Regression Analysis]. Sovremennaya ekonomika: problemy i resheniya, 2020, no 7, pp. 25–36, DOI: https://doi.org/10.17308/meps.2020.7/2394

5. Andreev V.A. Determinanty migratsionnoy aktivnosti v kontekste vospriyatiya naseleniem Primorskogo kraya urovnya sotsial’nogo blagopoluchiya [Determinants of Migration Activity in the Context of the Perception of the Level of Social well-being by the Population of Primorsky Krai]. Territoriya novykh vozmozhnostey. Vestnik Vladivostokskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta ekonomiki i servisa, 2020, vol. 12, no 2, pp. 7–18, DOI 10.24866/VVSU/2073-3984/2020-2/007-018

6. Osnovnye rezul’taty prognozirovaniya sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Dal’nevostochnogo federal’nogo okruga 2030 g. [Main Results of Forecasting the Socio-economic Development of the Far Eastern Federal District in 2030]. FANU “Vostokgosplan”, available at: https://vostokgosplan.ru/wp-content/uploads/osnovnye-rezultaty-prognozirovanija-socialno-jekonomicheskogo-razvitija-dalnevostochnogo-federalnogo-okruga-2030.pdf

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.203.2025.74-85

This article examines a successful case of localizing production of tapered axlebox bearings for innovative railway wagons in Russia. The above project was implemented in conditions of high dependence on foreign supplies and restrictions related to international sanctions. The author analyzes in detail economic, technological and organizational aspects of the project, implemented with active government support through a mechanism of special investment contract (SPIC 2.0). The importance of comprehensive industrial policy measures, including tax incentives, financing through the Industrial Development Fund and regulatory support in the context of sanctions pressure is demonstrated. Project implementation resulted in 100% localization of a critical component of railway engineering, providing technological sovereignty, maintaining sustainability of the rail transport and creating production infrastructure of a new technological level. The present case confirms effectiveness of interaction between the government, business and key consumers in implementing strategically significant industrial initiatives.

References:

1. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 20 aprelya 2024 g. N 981 [Order of the Government of the Russian Federation dated April 20, 2024 No. 981]. Garant, available at: https://base.garant.ru/408964851/

2. Uralvagonzavod: Deyatel’nost’ [Uralvagonzavod: Activities]. RUVIKI, available at: https://ru.ruwiki.ru/wiki/Уралвагонзавод

3. Proizvodstvo magistral’nykh gruzovykh vagonov v RF v 2012 g. vyroslo na 13,3% [Production of Mainline Freight Cars in the Russian Federation Increased by 13.3% in 2012]. RZhD-Partner.ru, 2013, 25 yanvarya, available at: https://www.rzd-partner.ru/zhd-transport/news/proizvodstvo-magistral%27nykhgruzovykh-vagonov-v-rf-v-2012-g—vyroslo-na-13-3/?ysclid=maxxsokfg5747409299

4. Postanovlenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 17 iyulya 2015 g. N 719 (red. ot 23 dekabrya 2024 g.) “O podtverzhdenii proizvodstva rossiyskoy promyshlennoy produktsii” [Resolution of the Government of the Russian Federation of July 17, 2015 No. 719 (as amended on December 23, 2024) “On confirmation of the production of Russian industrial products”]. Konsul’tantPlyuc, available at: http://login.consultant.ru/link/?req=doc&base=LAW&n=494410&dst=100001&date= 10.01.2025

5. Shulepov A.A. Podshipnikovaya otrasl’ v RF: tekushchee sostoyanie i perspektivy [Bearing Industry in the Russian Federation: Current State and Prospects]. Innovatsii i investitsii, 2024, no 7, pp. 359–364.

6. Postanovlenie ot 23 marta 2021 g. N 446 “O vnesenii izmeneniy v prilozhenie k postanovleniyu Pravitel’stva Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 17 iyulya 2015 g. N 719” (s izm. i dop.) [Resolution of March 23, 2021 No. 446 “On Amendments to the Appendix to the Resolution of the Government of the Russian Federation of July 17, 2015 No. 719”]. Garant, available at: ht tps://base.garant.ru/400494581/