The "Economic Strategies" journal

#5. 2025. The War. Was. Tomorrow




Role of Industrial Policy Measures in Stimulating Creation of High-Tech Bearings Production in the Russian Federation

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.203.2025.74-85

This article examines a successful case of localizing production of tapered axlebox bearings for innovative railway wagons in Russia. The above project was implemented in conditions of high dependence on foreign supplies and restrictions related to international sanctions. The author analyzes in detail economic, technological and organizational aspects of the project, implemented with active government support through a mechanism of special investment contract (SPIC 2.0). The importance of comprehensive industrial policy measures, including tax incentives, financing through the Industrial Development Fund and regulatory support in the context of sanctions pressure is demonstrated. Project implementation resulted in 100% localization of a critical component of railway engineering, providing technological sovereignty, maintaining sustainability of the rail transport and creating production infrastructure of a new technological level. The present case confirms effectiveness of interaction between the government, business and key consumers in implementing strategically significant industrial initiatives.

References:

1. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 20 aprelya 2024 g. N 981 [Order of the Government of the Russian Federation dated April 20, 2024 No. 981]. Garant, available at: https://base.garant.ru/408964851/

2. Uralvagonzavod: Deyatel’nost’ [Uralvagonzavod: Activities]. RUVIKI, available at: https://ru.ruwiki.ru/wiki/Уралвагонзавод

3. Proizvodstvo magistral’nykh gruzovykh vagonov v RF v 2012 g. vyroslo na 13,3% [Production of Mainline Freight Cars in the Russian Federation Increased by 13.3% in 2012]. RZhD-Partner.ru, 2013, 25 yanvarya, available at: https://www.rzd-partner.ru/zhd-transport/news/proizvodstvo-magistral%27nykhgruzovykh-vagonov-v-rf-v-2012-g—vyroslo-na-13-3/?ysclid=maxxsokfg5747409299

4. Postanovlenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 17 iyulya 2015 g. N 719 (red. ot 23 dekabrya 2024 g.) “O podtverzhdenii proizvodstva rossiyskoy promyshlennoy produktsii” [Resolution of the Government of the Russian Federation of July 17, 2015 No. 719 (as amended on December 23, 2024) “On confirmation of the production of Russian industrial products”]. Konsul’tantPlyuc, available at: http://login.consultant.ru/link/?req=doc&base=LAW&n=494410&dst=100001&date= 10.01.2025

5. Shulepov A.A. Podshipnikovaya otrasl’ v RF: tekushchee sostoyanie i perspektivy [Bearing Industry in the Russian Federation: Current State and Prospects]. Innovatsii i investitsii, 2024, no 7, pp. 359–364.

6. Postanovlenie ot 23 marta 2021 g. N 446 “O vnesenii izmeneniy v prilozhenie k postanovleniyu Pravitel’stva Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 17 iyulya 2015 g. N 719” (s izm. i dop.) [Resolution of March 23, 2021 No. 446 “On Amendments to the Appendix to the Resolution of the Government of the Russian Federation of July 17, 2015 No. 719”]. Garant, available at: ht tps://base.garant.ru/400494581/

Methodological Issues of Risk Assessment in Large Investment Projects. Part 2

DOI: 10.33917/es-5.203.2025.64-73

The article substantiates a working toolkit for assessing the risks of implementing alternative projects aimed at creation and production of supersonic passenger aircraft in Russia based on the SWOT analysis techniques. The authors propose a methodological approach to formalizing definition of the competition intensity between manufacturers, as well as the degree of suppliers’ and buyers’ influence on them (developing the conceptual provisions of M. Porter’s five forces of competition model) based on the Herfindahl-Hirschman index. Primary matrix is constructed. Contribution of each factor to the overall integral result is calculated using the modified method of analyzing the internal and external environment profiles, proposed by the authors. The main factors of the project’s effectiveness and threats to its successful completion are identified. Preliminary assessment of the potential need of Russian aviation companies for supersonic aircraft designed for passenger transportation in the Far Eastern Federal District is given.

References:

[1-14] See in no. 4/2025. p. 137.

15. Pukhov A.A., Kolpakov S.K. Uroven’ gotovnosti tekhnologiy zarubezhnykh proektov sverkhzvukovykh grazhdanskikh samoletov novogo pokoleniya [The Level of Readiness of Technologies of Foreign Projects of Supersonic Civil Aircraft of the New Generation]. TVF (Tekhnika vozdushnogo flota), 2023, no 2, pp. 7–28.

16. Matchenko O.V. V razrabotke sverkhzvukovogo passazhirskogo samoleta my mozhem operedit’ Zapad [We Can Get Ahead of the West in Developing a Supersonic Passenger Aircraft]. MashNews. 2023, 29 maya, available at: https://mashnews.ru/v-razrabotke-sverxzvukovogo-passazhirskogo-samolyota-myimozhem-operedit-zapadnyix-konkurentov-chlen-korrespondent-ran-kirill-syipalo.html

17. Amirdzhanyan M. Pervyy v RF sverkhzvukovoy grazhdanskiy samolet mozhet byt’ sproektirovan za sem’-vosem’ let [The First Supersonic Civil Aircraft in Russia Could be Designed in Seven to Eight Years]. TASS, 2018, 29 yanvarya, available at: https://tass.ru/ekonomika/4911172

18. Kramnik I. Illyuziya vozmozhnostey: zachem nuzhen sverkhzvukovoy passazhirskiy samolet [The Illusion of Possibilities: Why We Need a Supersonic Passenger Jet]. Izvestiya, 2019, 19 fevralya.

19. Samofalova O. Ambitsioznyy proekt novogo sverkhzvukovogo avialaynera obrechen na proval [Ambitious New Supersonic Airliner Project Doomed to Failure]. Vzglyad, 2019, 1 fevralya, available at: https://vz.ru/economy/2019/2/1/962052.html

20. Sidnyaev N.I. Perspektivy razvitiya sovremennykh sverkhzvukovykh passazhirskikh samoletov [Prospects for the Development of Modern Supersonic Passenger Aircraft]. Inzhenernyy zhurnal: nauka i innovatsii, 2023, no 1, pp. 1–31.

21. Shchennikov V.S. Perspektivy razrabotki sverkhzvukovykh passazhirskikh samoletov [Prospects for the Development of Supersonic Passenger Aircraft]. Vestnik ekonomicheskoy bezopasnosti, 2018, no 2, pp. 369–373.

22. FAA nastraivaet sverkhzvuk pod sebya [FAA Tweaks Supersonics to Suit Its Needs]. Aeronautica.online, 2019, 23 iyunya, available at: https://aeronautica.online/faa-announces-upcoming -rulemakings — civil- supersonic-flight