Problems of global economic development in 2024–2026

Kuzovkin A.I.
,
Stakun A.V.
ECONOMIC FORECASTS
#2. 2025
Keywords:
world economy
,
forecast
,
GDP
,
IMF
,
inflation dynamics
,
economic situation

According to the IMF, the US GDP growth rate in 2025 will decrease to 1,6% with the forecast for US GDP growth in 2024 being 2,1%. Our article [1] provides an analysis of «Black Monday» on August 5, 2024, which marked the beginning of the global financial crisis. In this article, we will outline the further course of this crisis. In Russia, GDP growth for the first half of 2024 was 4,6%, for 2024 – 4,1%. The forecast for real GDP for the world was 3,2% in 2024 and, according to the IMF, the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation gave a conservative scenario, according to which the growth of Russian GDP in 2025 will be 1,7%, inflation 3,7% (Kommersant, 09.14.2024, p. 19).

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References:

1. Kuzovkin A.I., Stakun A.V. Forecast of the dynamics of global economic development for 2024–2025. Microeconomics. 2024;4:27–38.

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