DOI: 10.33917/mic-2.127.2026.89-97

This article examines the conflict between transport electrification and the traditional oil market. It analyzes global trends in the growth of electric vehicle use and production, reviews the experience of China, which currently leads the way in electric transport use, and considers the prospects for electric vehicle development in Russia. The article provides current data on the reduction in demand for hydrocarbon fuels, due to the increasing share of electric vehicles, and forecasts changes up to 2040. Based on a review of international studies and forecasts, conclusions are drawn about a possible decline in global oil demand as a result of the electrification of transport, and the risks and opportunities for the Russian oil industry in the context of the global energy transition are noted.

References:

1. Malik F.R. et al. Energy transition towards electric vehicle technology: Recent advancements. Energy Reports. 2025;13:2958-2996. URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484725001118

2. AUTOSTAT Analytic Agency. URL: https://www.autostat.ru

3. The Ministry of Economic Development presented a forecast for socio-economic development until 2028. Vedomosti. 2025. 26 September. URL: https://www.vedomosti.ru/economics/news/2025/09/26/1142429-minek-predstavil-prognoz

DOI: 10.33917/mic-6.125.2025.35-46

This article analyzes the prospects of integrating renewable energy sources into Russia’s power systems, which are facing the depletion of traditional generation resources. Using the Krasnokamensk CHP plant – critical for the Zabaykalsky Krai – as a case study, the paper explores a hybrid solution involving wind power installations to offset coal shortages. The study evaluates the techno-economic aspects of this approach, including the use of the Weibull distribution function to accurately assess the wind energy potential of the region. It is demonstrated that a synergy between wind power and CHP is the optimal strategy for extending the operational life of the plant, diversifying the fuel mix, and achieving sustainable development goals.

References:

1. International Energy Agency. Coal 2024: Analysis and Forecast to 2027. Paris: IEA, 2024. 188 p. URL: https://www.iea.org/

2. The Global Economy. URL: https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/

3. Power Systems of Russia. Website of the System Operator of the Unified Energy System. URL: https://www.so-ups.ru/functioning/ups/ups2024/

4. Ryabov G. A., Dolgushin I. A., Gutorov V. F. Developments Justifying the Creation of New Generation Coal CHP Plants. Modern Science. Moscow, 2012. pp. 31–35.

5. Online platform EnergyBase. Technological Equipment of the Krasnokamensk CHP of PPGHO. URL: https://energybase.ru/power-plant/chp-ppgho-krasnokamenskaya/process-facilities#unit-947

6. Annual Report of PJSC «PPGHO» for 2023. URL: https://priargunsky.armz.ru/images/File/priargunsky/2024/Godovoy_otchet_2023.pdf

7. Truck Queues Form at the Urtuy Coal Mine in Zabaykalsky Krai. Not Everyone Manages to Buy Coal. Chita Ru. URL: https://www.chita.ru/text/economics/2024/11/08/74312840/

8. Zhukov P.A., Ilkovsky K.K. Providing the Far East with Electricity Using Wind Power Stations: The Case of Sovetskaya Gavan in Khabarovsk Krai and Nakhodka in Primorsky Krai. Microeconomics. 2025;3:110–118.