History of Energy Prices

#1. Event Horison
History of Energy Prices

In this article long-term trends of the energy market are viewed not from the point of view of supply and demand balance, as it is usually done, but exclusively analyzing quotations. Particular attention is paid to coal prices, which have been traced since 1834. The main conclusion is that there isn’t any shortage of raw materials on the planet, and the tendency of refusing mineral fuel in favor of renewable sources, if it is manifested in quotations — it will happen only in several decades. Much more important for price dynamics are big cycles of the business situation, on the basis of which a long-term forecast is made.

Currency and Credit Policy: Strategies are Already Developed?..

#1. Theodicy of the Future
Currency and Credit Policy: Strategies are Already Developed?..

At the theoretical-methodological level the article investigates the system interrelation of available tools and the complex of targeted parameters while carrying out the currency and monetary policy. From formal positions of economic-mathematical modeling it is shown that volatility of streams of the capital and volatility of the export prices, first of all prices of oil and oil products, directly define volatility of an exchange rate of ruble. It is shown that real transition to targeting of inflation in modern conditions of strategic pressure upon our country from the USA and the EU is represented premature, including in the context of national security of Russia.

Network Wars in the World Economy and International Finance

#4. The Square of Transformation
Network Wars in the World Economy and International Finance

Network wars are the wars of new, sixth generation. The purpose of the present paper — to show the complex nature of warfare on a broad range of life areas.

Oil Prices Forecast for the Period From October 2013 to December 2014

#6. Territory Without Aims?
Oil Prices Forecast for the Period From October 2013 to December 2014

Institute of Energy Strategy in partnership with the Institute for Economic Strategies continues to publish regular forecasts of world oil prices, developed on the basis of a neuron model, which takes into account the accumulated experience of the world oil market in the past decades and allows to estimate the volatility of price dynamics (on a monthly basis) in 2013.