25 Years of New Russia. Economic and Social Level: Remaining at a Standstill

#2. Sisyphean Task
25 Years of New Russia. Economic and Social Level: Remaining at a Standstill

The article analyzes three periods of the Russian economy: the transformation crisis of 1990–1998, characterized by depth and duration, the period of regenerative economic recovery in 1999–2008, during which a shift into nationalization and monopolization of the economy took place, as well as the period of 2009–2017, called the “lost decade” by the author, the period of deep financial and socio-economic crisis as part of the global world crisis. Possible prospects for development and ways of entrance into high-quality significant socio-economic growth are described.

25 Years of New Russia. Economic and Social Level: Remaining at a Standstill

#1. Event Horison
25 Years of New Russia. Economic and Social Level: Remaining at a Standstill

The article analyzes three periods of the Russian economy: the transformation crisis of 1990–1998, characterized by depth and duration, the period of regenerative economic recovery in 1999–2008, during which a shift into nationalization and monopolization of the economy took place, as well as the period of 2009–2017, called the “lost decade” by the author, the period of deep financial and socio-economic crisis as part of the global world crisis. Possible prospects for development and ways of entrance into high-quality significant socio-economic growth are described.

Global Economy in a Transitional State

#6. Forecasts and Results
Global Economy in a Transitional State

The article draws parallels between the state of the present-day global economy and the Soviet economy in the 1980s. It is assumed that in both cases the diagnosis can be similar and is defined as the socio-economic stagnation. Its main features are: excessive and increasingly growing accumulation of commitments in economic, social, institutional and political spheres as well as lagging and eventually reducing in the course of time possibilities of their implementation. Accordingly, transition to a new model of the global economy may be associated with the same stages, which are known from domestic economic history — crisis, transition period, slow recovery. It is assumed that consumption boom unfolding in Asian countries, which is based on consumer crediting of the population, is becoming a key driver of transition from stagnation to crisis. The author analyses possible consequences for the global economy of a consumer society creation in Asian countries, especially in China. The basic painful consequences of competition between two models of consumer society are defined. The author formulates new global challenges with regard to such consequences and experience of the transition period in our country. It is proposed to take into account these challenges in developing long-term strategies for the development of certain countries or groups of countries, including Russia.

Global Economy in a Transitional State

#5. To Understand. To Prevent. To Overcome
Global Economy in a Transitional State

The article draws parallels between the state of the present-day global economy and the Soviet economy in the 1980s. It is assumed that in both cases the diagnosis can be similar and is defined as the socio-economic stagnation. Its main features are: excessive and increasingly growing accumulation of commitments in economic, social, institutional and political spheres as well as lagging and eventually reducing in the course of time possibilities of their implementation. Accordingly, transition to a new model of the global economy may be associated with the same stages, which are known from domestic economic history — crisis, transition period, slow recovery. It is assumed that consumption boom unfolding in Asian countries, which is based on consumer crediting of the population, is becoming a key driver of transition from stagnation to crisis. The author analyses possible consequences for the global economy of a consumer society creation in Asian countries, especially in China. The basic painful consequences of competition between two models of consumer society are defined. The author formulates new global challenges with regard to such consequences and experience of the transition period in our country. It is proposed to take into account these challenges in developing long-term strategies for the development of certain countries or groups of countries, including Russia.

The Trend is Not Changing

#1. Choice of Identity
The Trend is Not Changing

The paper considers changes of the “Economic Strategies” opportunistic index (OIES) in 2013. The contribution of supply and demand indices into OIES is estimated. Industrial production analysis is performed.

Deterioration of Conjuncture

#6. Territory Without Aims?
Deterioration of Conjuncture

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January – July 2013 is considered. The contribution of supply and demand indicators to CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production for 2012 is carried out.

Steady Decrease

#5. The Forerunners of Memory

The Russian economy continues to deliver distressing news. In the first five months of 2013 market index of “Economic Strategies” (MIES) grew up by only 3.1 points. The article authors examine in detail the current state of the Russian economy in January – May 2013.

Russian Economy in 2012-2014: Trends, Analysis, Forecast

Market Pessimism

#1. Beyond Design Basis Evaluations

Major indicators dynamics of “Economic Strategy” market index (MIES) has negative character. In octobernovember MIES decreased by 1 point, and the industrial production index — by 1.3 points.

Essays of Economic Optimism in Times of Stagnation

#9. Any problem with?

 Historical analogies and parallels are dangerous, as conditions of development are radically changing. Yet I would run risk to call the post-crisis period in the development of new Russia – 2010-2011 and the number of successive years – the new times of stagnation.