Recessive Economy — Collapse or the New Reality?

#7. Hysteresis Loop
Recessive Economy — Collapse or the New Reality?

The article provides an analysis of the possible stabilization of world GDP in the forecast period, including explanation by the systemic long-term falling of oil prices. Given that the world GDP is the value of all goods and services of final consumption, the GDP decline can be attributed to their cheapening. This price reduction can be caused by high rates of innovation and technological development of the world economy. The article presents argumentation that the decline in the world GDP has a longterm nature. Even recessionary development of the global economy is possible. But it is not disastrous. The world economy under the influence of innovation processes is reconstructed through information technology replenishment and through reducing production costs of goods and services for final consumption. The article shows at the model level that countries with a low GDP per capita may have even greater potential for transition to an information economy than countries with a high GDP per capita. This opens a window of opportunities for Russia to modernize the economy in accordance with the evolving trends of the global innovation process.

Economic Uncertainty — the Main Obstacle to Further Growth

#7. Hysteresis Loop
Economic Uncertainty — the Main Obstacle to Further Growth

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January – August 2016 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

The Crisis Spring is Shrinking

#6. Forecasts and Results
The Crisis Spring is Shrinking

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January – July 2016 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

The Output of the Russian Economy from the Crisis is Delayed

#4. Window of Opportunities
The Output of the Russian Economy from the Crisis is Delayed

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January – March 2016 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

The Russian Economy is in the Grip of Stagflation

#3. Immortal Power
The Russian Economy is in the Grip of Stagflation

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January – February 2016 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

Deterioration of Market Conditions Takes a Protracted Nature

#2. Noah’s Caste
Deterioration of Market Conditions Takes a Protracted Nature

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the january – december 2015 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

The Deepening Recession

#1. Theodicy of the Future
The Deepening Recession

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the january – november 2015 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

The Bottom of the Crisis is Still not Visible

#9. Preserving humanness
The Bottom of the Crisis is Still not Visible

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the january — october 2015 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

Negative Trends are Increasing

#8. Logic and ethic of fake
Negative Trends are Increasing

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January – August 2015 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

The Deepening Recession

#7. Maint Games
The Deepening Recession

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January — July 2015 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.