Exchange Rates: in Search of Strategic Equilibrium

#1. Event Horison
Exchange Rates: in Search of Strategic Equilibrium

As a result of further theoretical development of approaches to modeling equilibrium exchange rates developed a generalized dynamic model based on the concepts of macroeconomic equilibrium and the balance of payments with regard to the mechanism of formation relative international competitive advantage. In the framework proposed by the author concept IFEER withdrawn the final formula of the equilibrium exchange rates depending on the fundamental macroeconomic indicators.

Comparative Analysis of Simulation Results of the Global Economy and 12 Civilizations Development in the Period of 1970-2005. Preliminary Outline

#4. 25 000 000: Wo dein Рlatz, Genosse, ist?!

Relying on the concept of development, it is possible to assume that with well-formed strategy of development, taking into account the construction of the supranational institutions (especially for the USSR – CIS), this group of countries within 50 years (until 2050) will overtake the developed countries in terms of development.

Comparative Analysis of Simulation Results of the Global Economy and 12 Civilizations Development in the Period of 1970–2005. Preliminary Outline

#2. Agenda

In the development of all civilizations it is found one fact common to all of them. In 1987–1993 it changes qualitatively the development type of all civilizations, without exception that indicates the achieving a high degree of integration of all countries of the world.

Comparative Analysis of the Simulation Results of the Global Economy And 12 Civilizations Development In the Period of 1970–2005. Preliminary Outline

#1. Hollywood as a password

The development of the world economy shows systematic complication of the construction with periodicity in 70 years. The work offers a verbal description of the development of the world economy as a complex social system and non-linear dynamic model that is based on the population growth on the earth and two fundamental laws: the law of conservation of the economic potential of a system and the principle of minimum dissipation of resources that are implemented by system ability to self-organization. The main principles of conducting numerical experiment and the analysis of the findings are studied together with the model.