In work integrated (synergetic) approach to a problem of evolution of national (state) idea is used. In him mathematical modeling, the dynamic theory of information and the concept of civilizations are combined. It allows to define accurately the concept “national idea” and to track his role in evolution of society. The special attention is paid to a situation in modern Russia.
A good model can give a reasonable forecast in the field of its competence, subject to maintaining the existing economic relations, can identify threats to established order, but it does not allow to predict what will replace this order after the crisis.