Total Figure: Pandemic as a Portal to the Future

DOI: 10.33917/es-1.175.2021.70-81

Review of 2020 strategic trends presents an analysis of the key components of the country’s integral power — economy, foreign policy, armed forces, territory, natural resources, culture and religion, science and education, population, governance — according to the original methodology developed by specialists of the Institute for Economic Strategies

Modeling and Assessing the National Strength of Russia

DOI: 10.33917/es-2.168.2020.6-19

The article analyzes the world experience of assessing national strength, which is the most informative and popular indicator characterizing the combined national security potential of a particular country, allowing to compare the level of its military power and socio-economic development with other countries. Modeling and evaluating the national strength indicator is extremely important for adjusting strategic documents related to the long-term development of a country, as well as to its foreign policy. In many countries, the national security indicator is assessed by narrow circle of experts or through averaged survey results from a wider range of respondents. The disadvantage of this approach lies in subjectivity, and eventually, in an unreliable estimate. The authors provide a scientifically based methodology for modeling and assessing national power. In forming the components of the national strength integral indicator, key target indicators are used, which are established in the strategic planning documents of Russia. It should be also noted that they contain indicators that are not used by foreign researchers (for example, indicators related to the territory, population, industrial production, energy resources and many others). Results of calculating the integral indicators of national strength, obtained through convolution using factor analysis of group indices, show that at the moment Russia is a world leader (at the level of 3-4 places among 193 countries — members of the UN)

Carlos Prats — Commander Era of Profound Change

#5-6. Five Scenarios for a Century
Carlos Prats — Commander Era of Profound Change

September 11, 1973 in Chili was a military coup. It was not the usual type of rebellion garrison, and well-planned military operation, the of which was made a combined attack using aircraft, artillery and infantry. The rebels were immediately engaged all public and government agencies. The officers refused to support the coup were shot. In a coup toppled President Salvador Allende and the ruling National Unity. To power a military junta, led by General Augusto Pinochet, who succeeded General Cаrlos Prats, a prominent military and political statesman of Chili, which will be discussed in this article. The article tells about the time of his command of the Chilean army, and climax in his military career. His role in the dramatic events which took place in Chile in the 70th of the XX century. Also shows traces of his personal diary, in which General Prats wrote that meant for his country during the government of Salvadore Allende and what was the real role of the armed forces in the political process of the country.

The Concept of “Network-Centric” War for the Russian Army: “Force Multiplier” or a Mental Trap?

#5. The Forerunners of Memory

In recent discussions of future wars character and methods of future warfare Russian authors in their works often use such terms as “network-centric”, “network” war, “network-centric warfare”, “network-centric operations”, “network-centric counteraction”, “network-centricity”,”universal network-centric tools” and etc. up to “defensive network-centricity “. At the same time authors sometimes attribute quite different meanings and significance to these concepts. Just the meaning of the term “network-centric war”, the possibility and feasibility of applying “network-centric” war concept to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are referred to in the article.

State Security under Threat!

#3. Expectation of Light

The President speaks about modernization, but only trifling sum was allocated for those five key areas of modernization, which he outlined in his Address. Funding is neither provided for development of the real sector of economy. You can formulate brilliant ides, you can make world-class discoveries, but there will be nowhere to implement them. We have no machinery construction, no aviation industry, the automotive industry does not develop, robotics is neglected and very little is invested in space.

Military Potential of the Top 100 Countries In the World

#1. Hollywood as a password

At present only the United States correspond in full to the level of a superpower. Russia is still close to this level, but by such indicators as production of weapons in the whole spectrum of modern systems, the strength of the armed forces and equipment of high-precision weapons, advanced systems of control and communication there is a substantial gap with the U.S.