Author page: Mishin Yuri V.

Development problems of the Russian integrated system of state strategic planning

DOI: 10.33917/mic-6.101.2021.5-16

The purpose of this work is to prepare proposals for improving the domestic strategic planning system. In modern conditions, the most important directions for its further development are increasing the complexity, consistency and validity, as well as the level of information and analytical support. In this work, the following issues have been resolved: 1) as a result of the analysis of the Russian and Soviet systems, the main shortcomings and unresolved organizational and methodological problems of domestic strategic planning have been identified; 2) the possible area of ​​use in the planned work of the mechanisms of program-target management has been substantiated; 3) a set of organizational and economic measures is proposed to increase the efficiency of the functioning of the domestic system of state strategic planning. Specific measures are given for the organization in Russia under the Security Council of a special governing body – the State Committee for Strategic Development.

Forecasting the performance of credit institutions based on simulation modeling

DOI: 10.33917/mic-3.98.2021.5-14

The purpose of this work is to prepare proposals for the use of simulation methods for solving the problems of planning and forecasting the financial results of credit institutions. The article addresses the following issues: 1) an analysis of the activities of credit institutions of the Russian Federation was carried out, based on the results of which “pain points” were identified – unresolved problems, including the management of overdue loan debt; 2) the feasibility of using simulation modeling methods for the development of scenarios for the development of commercial banks was justified; 3) an approach based on simulation modeling was proposed to determine the impact of the amount of overdue debt on the indicators and economic standards of activity.

Justification of methodological approaches for determining the labor intensity of R&D

DOI: 10.33917/mic-5.94.2020.5-17

The purpose of this work is to prepare proposals for the use of R&D labor intensity standards as one of the main tools for drawing up estimates.

The article addresses the following issues: 1) As a result of comparative analysis of specific features, the «weak» and «strong» points of the methods for the measurement of the complexity of research and design work have been identified, the original methodological assumptions and justifies the most appropriate area of use; 2) Improve the efficiency and validity of design-estimate documents of R&D proposed synthesized a comprehensive approach, which consists in the joint use of three methods – the main (analog) and two support (network planning and management, and expert).

Development of program and target management in Russia

DOI: 10.33917/mic-6.95.2020.5-20

The purpose of this work is to prepare proposals for further development of the methodology and tools for target management in the Russian Federation. The article addresses the following issues: 1) as a result of the analysis of domestic and foreign scientific sources, as well as regulatory documents of the Russian Federation in the field of strategic planning, the main directions for its further improvement are formulated; 2) a methodological approach to the development of state programs for economic and social development of the country is proposed; 3) the expediency of using the coefficients of relative and absolute importance (mutual utility), as well as the method of hierarchy analysis (MAI), when optimizing the distribution of resources between alternative directions – branches of the “tree of goals and objectives” of state programs is justified); 4) methods of forming an information base for calculating the volume of resource support for state programs (standards: specific capital investment, the maximum consumption of the most important types of material resources and the specific labor intensity per unit of the parameter reflecting the main consumer quality of the product) are proposed.

Methodological problems of determining the resource support activities of the national program «Digital economy»

DOI: 10.33917/mic-6.89.2019. 14-21

The purpose of this work is to substantiate methodological approaches to determining the cost of activities of the national program «Digital economy of the Russian Federation». The article presents an analysis of the compliance of this program with the requirements for the structure and content of state programs established in the «Guidelines for the development and implementation of state programs of the Russian Federation» (enacted by the order of the Ministry of economic development of the Russian Federation dated December 26, 2012 № 817). As a result, the main shortcomings were identified and proposals were formulated to improve the level of validity of the main indicators-the volume of financial resources and economic efficiency of measures.

The paper proposes a methodological approach to determining the cost of major activities of major national programs. As a method of solving the problem, it is proposed to use not one but two methods, namely, expert and correlation-regression analysis.